Baum Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 53 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: Remember when I said it would be a warm, record setting winter back in early December and people teased me for that? no. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 We should do a board meet-up... Somebody bring a bucket so we can all shit in it and send it to palmguy so he can fertilize his plants 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 17 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: East will translate to weaker, less phased and more sheared. . on cue: A SOMEWHAT WEAKER MID-LEVEL WAVE LIFTING ACROSS THE MIDWEST, WITH LESS-ROBUST PHASING OCCURRING WITHIN A PROGRESSIVE DEVELOPING LONG-WAVE UPPER TROUGH. SOME SPREAD REMAINS IN THE DETAILS OF COURSE, THOUGH THE GENERAL CONSENSUS AT THIS DISTANCE IS FOR A WEAKER SURFACE LOW PASSING OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 4 hours ago, Baum said: on cue: A SOMEWHAT WEAKER MID-LEVEL WAVE LIFTING ACROSS THE MIDWEST, WITH LESS-ROBUST PHASING OCCURRING WITHIN A PROGRESSIVE DEVELOPING LONG-WAVE UPPER TROUGH. SOME SPREAD REMAINS IN THE DETAILS OF COURSE, THOUGH THE GENERAL CONSENSUS AT THIS DISTANCE IS FOR A WEAKER SURFACE LOW PASSING OVER OR JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. 12z GFS really made some big changes to support that compared to 00 and 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 This me about every day looking at the models coming in 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 51 minutes ago, Weather Mike said: 12z GFS really made some big changes to support that compared to 00 and 6z 12z Canadian puts more emphasis on the first wave and barely has any cold sector precip for the bigger modeled storm for the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Canadian probably went too extreme in the other direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 UKMET 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 2 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: UKMET There's your thread the needle for Chicago. Weak ass, but a thread the needle nonetheless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, Hoosier said: There's your thread the needle for Chicago. Weak ass, but a thread the needle nonetheless. I will take that for Chicago based on what the models over the past several days showed. Threading that needle is right. Lets see how this unfolds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 5 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: Euro I bet that wouldn't even be 2" in Chicago. Mild temps/warm ground leading in would eat away at some of the accumulation in the absence of good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Baum trying to reel this in 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 23 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Meaning I have an 8 hour drive (staying in L'anse near the Keweenaw) And some sort of storm looks like a certainly statewide later Thursday into Thursday night. Looking good for you to rendezvous with a storm in progress. That's the best adventure if you ask me. When I chased the 3/5/12 Big Dawg in Traverse, M-72 was near impassible for non-4x4 vehicles. It was like 1-1/2 lanes. #funtimes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: lol Posted the same thing with a comment about how that's been a common theme in recent winters. We be in the sux zone lately after a strong run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Cary67 said: Baum trying to reel this in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: I bet that wouldn't even be 2" in Chicago. Mild temps/warm ground leading in would eat away at some of the accumulation in the absence of good rates. THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SHAPING UP AS A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FOR THE AREA AT THIS TIME. -LOT start the thread. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Good posting baum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 43 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: Posted the same thing with a comment about how that's been a common theme in recent winters. We be in the sux zone lately after a strong run. Not really. We've gotten far more advisory and warning criteria snowstorms than Indiana and Ohio. It's the model fantasy storms that turn to dust that annoy us all. One of these days a storm is not gonna shear out and it will be like the boy who cried wolf. No one will believe it and someone will get absolutely buried. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 12 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Good posting baum It's a sick hobby, my friend. Who attends a Super bowl bash, downs 3 bloody marys and posts commentary on a run of a weather model and uses the Rolling Stones as a reply. Life of the party. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 That's why we're friends, cheers and stay safe out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 An SSW is supposed to take place later this week. However, it's a displaced SSW. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/11828-will-the-sudden-stratospheric-warming-next-week-bring-winters-revenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted February 12, 2023 Share Posted February 12, 2023 Yikes. We are gonna redo Morch. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 46 minutes ago, hardypalmguy said: Yikes. We are gonna redo Morch. Wishful thinking again. 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 my favorite part of the hardypalmguy experience is all of you responding to them in earnest. lol. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 my favorite part of the hardypalmguy experience is all of you responding to them in earnest. lol.People respond when they are scared of the outcome. Morch is michsnowfreaks worst nightmare. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 Looks like the same corridor that just cashed in with this past system (CR to Dubuque/Madison) will be ground zero for the Thursday system. Areas just to the southeast will continue the screwage. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like the same corridor that just cashed in with this past system (CR to Dubuque/Madison) will be ground zero for the Thursday system. Areas just to the southeast will continue the screwage. Story of this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 13, 2023 Share Posted February 13, 2023 14 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Not really. We've gotten far more advisory and warning criteria snowstorms than Indiana and Ohio. It's the model fantasy storms that turn to dust that annoy us all. One of these days a storm is not gonna shear out and it will be like the boy who cried wolf. No one will believe it and someone will get absolutely buried. and it’s not like we’re south of you either… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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