Hoosier Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 CFS is much colder now at the end of Jan into Feb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: CFS is much colder now at the end of Jan into Feb. Are you talking 23 or 24!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Not much to be excited about through near the end of the month if the op Euro is to be believed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 ride it^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Not much to be excited about through near the end of the month if the op Euro is to be believed. Arctic air over bare ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Definitely a SE part of the sub pattern setting up. Maybe some good phasing will throw some moisture far enough back into the deeper arctic air?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 It's the throw crap at the wall pattern. Should remain pretty active overall. I'd be surprised if we don't score at least once. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 7 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It's the throw crap at the wall pattern. Should remain pretty active overall. I'd be surprised if we don't score at least once. Wish you could mix the shit with military grade adhesive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 36 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It's the throw crap at the wall pattern. Should remain pretty active overall. I'd be surprised if we don't score at least once. Euro trying to make next weekend interesting but would suck to miss this current one to the nw then the next to the se. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Too bad the GFS is on an island with its nw solution to the weekend threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 12z Euro total snow Chicago maxes out at 1 inch 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 36 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 12z Euro total snow Chicago maxes out at 1 inch CMC shows a similar look. Euro seemed to be furthest NW initially with Thursdaysystem and now reflects suppressionof SER and miss to the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 46 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 12z Euro total snow Chicago maxes out at 1 inch Meanwhile yesterday 12z run was good for Chicago. Main thing I'm looking for is an active look for the sub. Don't want to see that evaporate. Details can be figured out later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 never gonna happen....an inch that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 Cold really looks to settle in at the end of the run. Maybe a nice clipper pattern for once! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Too bad the GFS is on an island with its nw solution to the weekend threat Per usual, wait for this lead storm to roll through before getting too excited/bummed about the next one. As many have stated, atleast it's looks more active with some cold air to work with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 17, 2023 Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: Cold really looks to settle in at the end of the run. Maybe a nice clipper pattern for once! NW Ohio sitting very pretty for Sundays event. As the heat miser I’ll do my best to keep the snow away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Last week of January and first week of February look cool to cold across the sub. Looks like the SE ridge will flex after than and shift the cold to the NW. The real question will be how the PV weakening event around the 25th of January will impact weather the last half of February and into March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 I was going to let OHweather and Ricky handle the final 1/3rd of January into the start of February with their posts from a few days ago, but I changed my mind. Let's toss some more thoughts into the ring. As expected, the long awaited pattern change is underway, essentially being kicked off with the current storm system moving through the region. This pattern really isn't one that will be set in stone or locked in place as a whole, with things likely to be ever changing/evolving as we work through this final 1/3rd of January and through the first 1/3rd of February. Things will start off with what everyone can see being modeled for this weekend and through next week. The lower atmosphere PV axis will be elongated, extending from the Svalbard region to Greenland to the Hudson. There will be a few attempts at a -NAO, but nothing too significant or overpowering as it looks now. Additionally, we will see constant troughing into the Western/Central US, though this trough axis will be displaced east, with a mor eneutral PNA in place. Pac waves will top the -EPO ridge, and then crash into Canada and down into the Western/Central US. It should be noted that this does not look like as signififcant of a -EPO as was seen about a month or so ago. This pattern leads to a continued active time across the CONUS and leads us to the upcoming potential for the weekend and mid next week storm systems, both of which will heavily rely on phasing and wave interaction. Beyond the mid-week storm system there looks to finally be support for a shot at some colder temperatures for a period of time for at least part of the sub-forum, supported by SPV stretching movement and MJO movement. As we move into the period of the final weekend in January, the shared week of the end of January/beginning of February and the first weekend of February, we will see the pattern continue to evolve. The lower atmosphere PV axis will continue to be elongated from the Svalbard region to Greenland to the Hudson. Any attempts at a -NAO may tend to subside a bit with time, and we will steadily see a transition to a more significant -PNA/Western US trough and a relax of the -EPO. This should allow for a continued active pattern across the CONUS. This will be sort of a gamblers pattern....With cold air nearby finally, Western US/North-Central US trough and some from of SE ridge. Who will end up on the right/wrong side of things will is tbd. The early February portion of this period is still 2 weeks + away, so could expect possibly some changes, especially with how volatile things will be for quite a while...But did want to mention where things may head. The changing teleconnections, evolving MJO and assault on the SPV will make for volatile times in general, from late this month on into February, that's for sure. 14 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 ^ this is tremendous. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I'll take a "volatile" weather pattern any day. Endless CAD/WAD/AA-but-still-chilly and overcast are the worst. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Hoping for a Feb torch to remember. Overcast and 30s gets old after awhile. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Been way too much WAW this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted January 21, 2023 Share Posted January 21, 2023 Don't look now, but there's some indications on the models that we could see a serious cold shot right around the end of the month. Giving some 2019 vibes, without the snow ahead of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 extended looks....good? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 looks like we got a clipper and some kinda hybrid fgen setup to track coming up quick after the mid week lil dog deep extended looking good too, prospect rich 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2023 Author Share Posted January 22, 2023 extended looks....good?Pattern continues to look solid, as we have shifted from long range/ENS range to more short and mid range. Winter lovers can’t ask for more right now.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 yeah looks p rockin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said: yeah looks p rockin Late Jan and early Feb are our time to shine, as always. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Yeah, like the look of this if it can hold. Feels like that should produce somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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