frd Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: For the lols Jeez, another @CAPE Dewey beach blizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 This is the Unicorn - all snow event followed by arctic air for Christmas. Lock it up! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Verbatim, we would be pissed. But the signal is huggee Yeah a 240 hour snow map = who cares. Need a huge NESIS-5 pasting like that 4x per day for next 96 hours to believe. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 what a monster, and maybe another wave coming behind it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Ji won’t like it. PSU will rationalize it. CAPE will love it but downplay it. I’ll be like “whatever”. You will make jokes regardless. Yeoman will crack me up 5 times. Mattie will be mad about stupid comments (like this one). Mappy will ban someone. H2O will philosophically tie this to something funny. Clskinsfan will say he’s happy for the cities. NPZ will lament moving further west. WxUSAF will sarcastically predict mixing. Bob will leave the forum for a month. Millville will post optimism that keeps everyone suckered in. This is how it will go. 1 3 23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, mappy said: yeah, we would be on the lower end of totals. low is too far south when it exits the coast for us to get the really good stuff. Verbatim it is still closer to the coast than 12z so...the trend is our friend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We are fringed but whatever. The idea is there. Those are minor details. The pattern screams big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, mappy said: 3" for you and me, while H20 gets 6+ St Marys Co in MD cashes with 12+ Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Make this happen lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Paleocene said: For the lols Would be the greatest Christmas present in my entire life. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 And THIS is where the hobby can be it's most mentally treacherous. Like, logically, you know...you KNOW we got a long way to go, and so much can change. But emotionally...the temptation, lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, mappy said: 3" for you and me, while H20 gets 6+ St Marys Co in MD cashes with 12+ One whole week for it to adjust so far north I will still end up with weather like we have today. And usual places look like LES Buffalo from a few weeks ago 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, H2O said: One whole week for it to adjust so far north I will still end up with weather like we have today. And usual places look like LES Buffalo from a few weeks ago lol i just got the dog situation worked out for next weekend and here it is showing chances of snow on their drop off day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 That upper-level map is a Beaut! 6 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 This is like triple the heartache because it’s not just snow, it’s not just a big snow, it’s a potential white Christmas too. But we know this isn’t happening. Come on guys… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, IronTy said: Would be the greatest Christmas present in my entire life. yeah, you'd cash in for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, H2O said: One whole week for it to adjust so far north I will still end up with weather like we have today. And usual places look like LES Buffalo from a few weeks ago Yea, worried about this given the trend for all coastals lately for those of us along/east of 95. Please Santa, let this depiction of 850mb temps and wind direction when the storm is cranking be true. (yeah yeah op run 200+ hours I know, but this is a beautiful storm headed to the benchmark...) and to further, 2m temps are basically in the teens/low 20s across our region at this point lol. weeniest run in a while 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Short Pump? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Jeez, another [mention=1005]CAPE[/mention] Dewey beach blizzard STRONGLY approve (I live in Rehoboth )Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Regardless of the precise snow amounts shown, fact is we all would stand to get at least a halfway decent amount or more in time for Christmas. The other day everyone was all excited about that Arctic front blast that was showing up, even as it gave far less snow than this depicts now today. I'm glad it's showing more of a potential for a coastal storm at this point instead of a frontal passage. (ETA: Looking at the temps, it would be like cold powder for everyone too) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just out of a meeting, am I looking at this correctly, GFS now showing a big storm like EURO!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 The shortwave that gets it done shoots SE out of an EPO ridge wave break, after a lead piece comes out and moves into the 50-50 position. The 0z run did this, but 12z did it better. (The 6z run brought too much energy out in the lead wave, with not much trailing energy). PNA ridge axis is perfect. Beautiful progression. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: Just out of a meeting, am I looking at this correctly, GFS now showing a big storm like EURO!!! Yes. We just discussed it for 2 pages lol 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 We all know this dance. PSU will scream fringed 1000000000 times and run after run will adjust until Mt. Westminster becomes Donner pass and the low gets so TUCKED that a beverly hill plastic surgeon will be impressed. Too add: I will sweat the warm nose again because in order to get that sweet non fringed set up for the N folks we need it 10 miles off OC and blasting 850s above 3C 4 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 anybody able to get the Canadian out past 120 hours? was wondering what it showed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 When was the last time Atlanta got more than 2" of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, ryanconway63 said: anybody able to get the Canadian out past 120 hours? was wondering what it showed? Swing and a miss, fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: anybody able to get the Canadian out past 120 hours? was wondering what it showed? slides off the coast near GA/SC and nothing up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 1 2 punch 5 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Meanwhile the Ukie is dumping all the energy out West like the data was showing few days ago and CMC overwhelms the pattern with the lead wave. We are 7-8+ days away. So temper expectations and don’t fret the details. Just keep hoping you see it he same general setup around 144 hours with the 50/50 and main S/W behind it. We’re still at the range where everything can go poof. I honestly don’t really care what the Ukie shows beyond 96 hours unless it gives us a blizzard, just posting for a reality check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now