Amped Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 18z GFS splits the 50/50 low and sends a piece of energy back over Ontario This happens in a lot of big east coast snowstorms.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 WB 18Z GFS… at least Christmas is cold…. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 10:58 PM, CAPE said: Shit at least give me some rain followed by a flash freeze or something. Expand Only we could have what appears to be a frigid Christmas but still better than average chance of it being green…or brown. Bah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:03 PM, Amped said: 18z GFS splits the 50/50 low and sends a piece of energy back over Ontario This happens in a lot of big east coast snowstorms.. Expand It was *this* close to producing a massive Miller B early on the 24th. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 What happened to letting this storm pass to see how it affects next week and beyond? This is a pretty big beast I'm sure it's messing with the models performance down the road 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:03 PM, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GFS… at least Christmas is cold…. Expand Now that is some cold. Just need the snow to go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 With windchills…most exciting thing about the 18Z WB GFS. Close only counts in horseshoe games. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Kind of an ideal look leading up to an east coast snowstorm, other than a chunk of the PV is coming with it lol. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:21 PM, CAPE said: Kind of an ideal look leading up to an east coast snowstorm, other than a chunk of the PV is coming with it lol. Expand if we cant get snow for that 500mb chart...might as well quit the hobby and watch the washington wizards 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:25 PM, Ji said: if we cant get snow for that 500mb chart...might as well quit the hobby and watch the washington wizards Expand 100% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Man! That GEFS is like a picture frame of what we need for snow! Let's see continued improvement and one of the OPS runs is gonna spit out a big dog! Just hope we get the full benefits! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:21 PM, CAPE said: Kind of an ideal look leading up to an east coast snowstorm, other than a chunk of the PV is coming with it lol. Expand The last few cycles have left that shortwave up in the Yukon, which is cutting off our PNA ridge. Not sure entirely what that entails for us or what we’d want… taller PNA ridge would help our storm dig farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:08 PM, leesburg 04 said: What happened to letting this storm pass to see how it affects next week and beyond? This is a pretty big beast I'm sure it's messing with the models performance down the road Expand I bet we get more clarity come Saturday to Monday as the current storm that is coming tonight clears out of the way and the models see the new pattern. We have to see where the baroclinic zone sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:36 PM, WxUSAF said: The last few cycles have left that shortwave up in the Yukon, which is cutting off our PNA ridge. Not sure entirely what that entails for us or what we’d want… taller PNA ridge would help our storm dig farther south. Expand I'm thinking maybe that wave drops SE and becomes the trigger for the following coastal storm around the 27th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 There we go. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 the 50/50 popping up thanks to the increasingly strong block really helps you guys. this is a tremendous storm signal if the blocking forces it underneath, there’s basically no ceiling to this setup haha 8 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:51 PM, CAPE said: There we go. Expand Is that good? I feel like I have no idea what looks good anymore. That looks like an off shore fish storm to me with a WAR to the NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 A little offshore but nice to see a signal at this range for a coastal with plenty of cold in place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:51 PM, CAPE said: There we go. Expand #CAPEStorm2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:55 PM, CAPE said: A little offshore but nice to see a signal at this range for for a coastal with plenty of cold in place. Expand Impressive precip signal too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:56 PM, WxUSAF said: #CAPEStorm2022 Expand Exactly....Eastern shore signal. I think CAPE should start his own forum for coastal areas and off shore oil rigs. LOL j/k 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 15, 2022 Author Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:53 PM, brooklynwx99 said: the 50/50 popping up thanks to the increasingly strong block really helps you guys. this is a tremendous storm signal if the blocking forces it underneath, there’s basically no ceiling to this setup haha Expand We’ve definitely gotten nice trends on the Atlantic side the last 24 hours or so. More mixed out west it seems. I’d love for that ULL to dig for Memphis, but haven’t seen any sign of that. Still time for large changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 Dare I say this evening is the peak, or close to it. Give it a couple days, then we trough. Rinse, repeat. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/14/2022 at 11:56 PM, WxUSAF said: #CAPEStorm2022 Expand No, The Eskimo Express. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/15/2022 at 12:12 AM, Terpeast said: Dare I say this evening is the peak, or close to it. Give it a couple days, then we trough. Rinse, repeat. How is this peak lol..not one model gives us snow 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/15/2022 at 1:16 AM, Ji said: On 12/15/2022 at 12:12 AM, Terpeast said: Dare I say this evening is the peak, or close to it. Give it a couple days, then we trough. Rinse, repeat. Expand How is this peak lol..not one model gives us snow Expand Well…CMC has a little back end snow on the 23rd. But yes mostly void of blue. I know you are big game hunting. You may get squirrel. Which are oddly enough high in cholesterol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/15/2022 at 1:16 AM, Ji said: On 12/15/2022 at 12:12 AM, Terpeast said: Dare I say this evening is the peak, or close to it. Give it a couple days, then we trough. Rinse, repeat. Expand How is this peak lol..not one model gives us snow Expand No snow for you but here...have potato Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/15/2022 at 1:25 AM, BristowWx said: Well…CMC has a little back end snow on the 23rd. But yes mostly void of blue. I know you are big game hunting. You may get squirrel. Which are oddly enough high in cholesterol. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 On 12/15/2022 at 1:16 AM, Ji said: On 12/15/2022 at 12:12 AM, Terpeast said: Dare I say this evening is the peak, or close to it. Give it a couple days, then we trough. Rinse, repeat. Expand How is this peak lol..not one model gives us snow Expand At least the models aren’t showing 70 degrees the whole holiday week. we’re talking about a really low bar here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now