Ji Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: That's amped we should expect errors in his analysis in the daily time frame we have a better chance to hit 70 then get snow from this pattern 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 20 minutes ago, CAPE said: Latest edition of the Euro Weeklies for the first week of Jan. Very similar to the GEFSX for the same period. thats the only blue were going to see--is on temp charts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: Man... Happy Hour GFS is trying REALLY hard at about Hr180.. Isn’t that right where we want it at 1 week out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 36 minutes ago, Ji said: we have a better chance to hit 70 then get snow from this pattern What happen to the young carefree optimistic fella we all knew and loved. I hear the phone….it’s Ji calling from Jan 25 2000….answer it 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What happen to the young carefree optimistic fella we all knew and loved. I hear the phone….it’s Ji calling from Jan 25 2000….answer it Ji is floating in between worlds of despair now, this weeks ice potential and the next 10 days. He’s our Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 This seems most accurate. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, IronTy said: This seems most accurate. I count 4 misses to the south and OTS. Something tells me the mega baroclinicity between atlantic warm water and the coming cold air will not let storms miss. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 14 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I count 4 misses to the south and OTS. Something tells me the mega baroclinicity between atlantic warm water and the coming cold air will not let storms miss. Hopefully we can get some tight cyclonic looping followed by some decent occlusion. I'm bored of this blah weather pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 36 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Isn’t that right where we want it at 1 week out? Precisely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Certainly doesn't give the indication of cutters during this period. Maybe not a big storm but it looks cold and there is some moisture. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 ^Snow mean for the period sort of matches. Like seeing more to the SE at this juncture. Yeah I know. Sorry WW! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, CAPE said: ^Snow mean for the period sort of matches. Like seeing more to the SE ant this juncture. Yeah I know. Sorry WW! I would rather have no precipitation than rain for Christmas. Maybe a trip to OC will be in order… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 oh hey. the claw. swell. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: ^Snow mean for the period sort of matches. Like seeing more to the SE at this juncture. Yeah I know. Sorry WW! Some people just like to watch the I-95 corridor burn... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 38 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I would rather have no precipitation than rain for Christmas. Maybe a trip to OC will be in order… I was referring to ''stealing your thunder' lol. These snow maps are pretty useless at this range imo, thus the eye roll for ME posting it. That said, I like seeing the moisture focused more along the coast plus the advertised negative temp anomalies. It gives confidence that this will indeed be a colder period with the baroclinic boundary predominately to our SE, and waves taking a more favorable track. This idea has been pretty consistent on the ens means over recent runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 WB 18Z CFS coldest period is 25-29th. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z CFS coldest period is 25-29th. What does -25 departures look like at 2m? Like 15F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 13, 2022 Author Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What does -25 departures look like at 2m? Like 15F? Normal high/low the last week of December is like 45/28? Gives a mean daily temp of 36ish. So 25F off that is mean daily temp of 11F. I’ll take the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Normal high/low the last week of December is like 45/28? Gives a mean daily temp of 36ish. So 25F off that is mean daily temp of 11F. I’ll take the over. Woah. Not bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Woah. Not bad at all. Don't like coldest anomalies over us. Probably means dry also. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Don't like coldest anomalies over us. Probably means dry also. We can’t have it all. Cold Christmas…gotta like that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We can’t have it all. Cold Christmas…gotta like that. It wouldn’t be a Christmas tradition if it’s not 60-70° 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 28 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Normal high/low the last week of December is like 45/28? Gives a mean daily temp of 36ish. So 25F off that is mean daily temp of 11F. I’ll take the over. Was Christmas 1983 the lowest December mean daily temp in DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 22 minutes ago, mappy said: It wouldn’t be a Christmas tradition if it’s not 60-70° Pepperidge farms remembers running the a/c just a few years ago on Xmas day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 55 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Don't like coldest anomalies over us. Probably means dry also. But when it starts to moderate look out. People will likely take that as kicking the can if we do go cold/dry which in actuality it is not. It's a practice in patience. Those that have been here for a while know these are the risks we take. Get the cold in place....thats always phase 1. We will accomplish that portion it seems certain. Eta: by no means am i punting next week whatsoever. Just replying to the op topic re: coldest anomalies post christmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: But when it starts to moderate look out. People will likely take that as kicking the can if we do go cold/dry which in actuality it is not. It's a practice in patience. Those that have been here for a while know these are the risks we take. Get the cold in place....thats always phase 1. We will accomplish that portion it seems certain. Phase 1: Establish Cold Phase 2:... Phase 3:... PROFIT...er I mean SNOW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Was Christmas 1983 the lowest December mean daily temp in DC?I was born on that day and remember my father telling me how cold and snowy it was. Even the following week. He said it was rough driving me home. I miss him. . 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 Quite impressive how this huge blob misses us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 13, 2022 Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: Quite impressive how this huge blob misses us Time for your famous - "We are too far north, south or east for good snows" quote! (Maybe the east is not in that!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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