IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 There's frogs still active in my pond and it's almost January. Can we get this shit on the road for crying out loud? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 There's frogs still active in my pond and it's almost January. Can we get this shit on the road for crying out loud? I’m in Pennsylvania and the grass still looks like it’s September. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Just now, IronTy said: There's frogs still active in my pond and it's almost January. Can we get this shit on the road for crying out loud? Oh it’s coming. Don’t you fret shits gettin real now…real…shit…real….I got nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: Oh it’s coming. Don’t you fret shits gettin real now…real…shit…real….I got nothing Drinkin' again, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 2 minutes ago, anotherman said: I’m in Pennsylvania and the grass still looks like it’s September. I'm about to get the mower out, with the leaves having dropped the lawn gets much more sun and it grows much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: IIRC, that year we had the -EPO rocking, but also a super ++NAO much of the time as long as the pERleR VerTeX didn’t pay us a visit. So that could give us more space for storms to slow down. It was a wild stretch. The tpv acted like a block when we needed it. Set the lanes up just right underneath. 34 minutes ago, BristowWx said: With the -NAO/AO why is it progressive? I thought those indices make it not progressive and allow storms to amplify and slowdown. With a nasty tpv drop like that, effective blocking will happen north of us. Flow will always be fast underneath a big tpv. I'm just calling what I see. I'd prefer less amplification and more blockification but hard to be picky at all rn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 10 minutes ago, IronTy said: Drinkin' again, eh? Yeah. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 12 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Yeah. Jealous. I'm hanging wallpaper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 9 minutes ago, IronTy said: Jealous. I'm hanging wallpaper. Sorry. Hate wallpaper it sucks. Just pay the guy and grab the egg nog…it’s practically snowing outside…haven’t seen storm mode in a long time. Let’s pray we see it someday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 57 minutes ago, IronTy said: There's frogs still active in my pond and it's almost January. Can we get this shit on the road for crying out loud? Just got bit by a mosquito hanging lights 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 We had the first no show as predicted Friday so let’s hope upcoming event does not defer or the “delayed but….” pattern will be underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: It is a very similar look. In 2009 eventually a piece of the TPV did drop in and phase while there was a 50/50 in the way to prevent a cutter. But keep in mind it took a while. We had a cutter and a sheared wave after that date before finally getting the win. Great setup doesn’t mean “next wave is definitely a big snow”. Even in our best patterns we often need multiple chances before we get a hit. I would disagree experientially that “even in our best patterns we often need multiple chances before we get a hit” In our best patterns it snows just about every time it can . When we are speaking of multiple misses beforehand we are mostly In trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 18z GFS better upslope setup for the mountains after the initial ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 GFS slightly better this run with what appears to be a further west TPV, less weakness in the heights over Canada, and weaker ridging over Great Lakes/OH Valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Just got bit by a mosquito hanging lights It's over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 All the hope for a great pattern and we ain’t going to see one flake are we? Lol. But seriously come on snow we need you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 GFS setting something up for the 23. 50/50 low, 1043 HP over Canada, system developing in the south. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: GFS setting something up for the 23. 50/50 low, 1043 HP over Canada, system developing in the south. Really been keying in on that for at least several runs. One hell of a HP as well. TT only goes out to 240 for Euro. Did it show the 23rd as well? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Really been keying in on that for at least several runs. One hell of a HP as well. Gonna be very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 6 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Really been keying in on that for at least several runs. One hell of a HP as well. The HP was actually strengthening as it was dropping south, too. Christmas-eve-eve snow breaking out in DC Friday morning. Moderate to heavy snow Friday afternoon. Yes, I’m doing PBP on a 280H+ run of the GFS OP. ETA: NS vort dropping down from the plains creates a low in the Great Lakes. GFS eventually has a low in the gulf, low off the Jersey coast, and a low in the Great Lakes. A window to certainly keep an eye on. 6 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 The Happy Hour GFS delivers. What a weenie run for the holiday week. We get smoked twice. Including on Christmas day. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Even Benson is bored of this shit weather pattern and he eats poop on the regular. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Well, this is a great thread by Allan where he provides composites of the 500 mb anomalies and surface tempertures based on the CPC super ensembles then rolled them forward 5 days from Dec 22 nd to Dec 27 th and then another 5 days centered on 1/1/23. Wow !!! HM chimes in at the end. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Pivotal just broke 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Pivotal just broke Yep, too much traffic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Oh shit 18Z went plaid for SoMD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 That snow would have staying power with the advertised cold that will shift east at the end of December as @frd posted. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 1 minute ago, nj2va said: That snow would have staying power with the advertised cold that will shift east at the end of December as @frd posted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Siberian Express and snow too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: That snow would have staying power with the advertised cold that will shift east at the end of December as @frd posted. Yeah. Negative 16-20 departures. Anything that does fall will become a glacier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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