TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 1pm!!!!!! SOLD…. ) 50 miles East track for everyone and not a smidge further west. I’d be pretty ticked if that came true with 4” in Westminster and over 20” like 15 miles west. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Looks like good skiing at Seven Springs next weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Absolutely amazing if it verifies…. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Seems like most models show the jackpot Central PA, Upstate NY and NNE. Typical Inland runner, miss for I95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VA Mad Man Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: That EURO run looks like get a cabin in Deep Creek and enjoy. Been told my work is fully remote till at least the holidays so… very tempting. Hey @NorthArlington101- if I didn't have the silly commitments I do through the Holidays.....I'd do it in a second! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 With temps this marginal it is going to be a nail biter. But I was just NAM’D by the EURO. Maybe my two hour commute to DC will pay off for this storm…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Hey [mention=9980]NorthArlington101[/mention]- if I didn't have the silly commitments I do through the Holidays.....I'd do it in a second! I’ll chase it as long as we see somewhat similar runs within 36 hours. I have a feeling with this H5 setup we will see more NW bumps. Hope I’m wrong. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Re euro, handoff happens plenty far south.... a little more east would be gold.....white gold. So, we are in the game, and we still have time Ralph! Actually, its pretty early in the game only 2 minutes into the 1st quarter. (Football analogy there) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Too bad the euro is a shit model 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Absolutely amazing if it verifies…. Pass. F that noise! I would go all JI and whatnot if I get 2-3 and MoCo gets 14.5. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Too bad the euro is a shit model Usually when it’s the only model showing snow it is lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Absolutely amazing if it verifies…. This forum might be unreadable if that map was reality. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 14 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Get that Low over Delaware instead of MD, and we are golden What's that 40-70 miles with 5.5 days left that's doable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Pass. F that noise! I would go all JI and whatnot if I get 2-3 and MoCo gets 14.5. Have to say I’m glad I live close to Leesburg not Alexandria. (Not believing the location of that brutal gradient for a minute, too far out for details like this) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2022 Author Share Posted December 10, 2022 Miller B wraparound! Always a winner for us 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Have to say I’m glad I live close to Leesburg not Alexandria. (Not believing the location of that brutal gradient for a minute, too far out for details like this) Yeah, way too far for those fine details but this setup and potential track (and time of year) favors interior for sure. Coastal plain will have temp issues (most storms we do so its no surprise with this one). I'm excited for our first real threat of the season to track though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Miller B wraparound! Always a winner for us When have Miller Bs ever crawled and hit a wall? Sandy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Numb Clown Maps all week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Anyone have an ice accumulation map? I could’ve swore CMC at minimum used to have that product available on TT but I don’t see it anywhere. Not looking great down here with ice storm potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Numb Clown Maps all week Ya I’ll be numb alright when this turns to all cold rain. Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 If you are in the snow zone, you are ecstatic for 6 hours. If you are not, it is a clown map…. I will be happy with 1-3 Inches by the way. If I get 1-2 feet before Christmas you can have the coastal storm when all I see is cirrus later in the year (like last year). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: If you are in the snow zone, you are ecstatic for 6 hours. If you are not, it is a clown map…. I will be happy with 1-3 by the way. If I get 1-2 feet before Christmas you can have the coastal storm when all I see is cirrus later in the year. An op run snow map at this range is clown either way dude. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: An op run snow map at this range is clown either way dude. As is an op run rain map right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Everyone along 95 looking at the euro 3 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 27 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: So, we are in the game, and we still have time Ralph! Actually, its pretty early in the game only 2 minutes into the 1st quarter. (Football analogy there) I think it is more tho than just the handoff and the track verbatim. Even a perfect track is playing with fire in the i95 corridor and even just slight n and w mainly because of the prolonged SE fetch out ahead. You have a rotting primary somewhere in the midwest with the nao forcing redevelopment way far S and e away from said primary. Especially without an anomalously cold antecedent airmass, those mid levels are going to get toasted most likely. But as you said, lots of time to fine tune. If i were in elevated interior areas i would be bricked up after 12z fr fr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 11 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: As is an op run rain map right? Pretty much the same. No one here cares about rain this time of year though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: An op run snow map at this range is clown either way dude. Today the GFS caved to the EURO. And we are supposed to take its new solution when everyone is saying the GFS just made a thermal adjustment of some kind???? I think this could go either way five days out as it always can, but there is no reason to give the GFS more credence when it is playing catch-up. And when is the Canadian ever correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 WB 12Z EPS: pick a low position; track not set in stone could go either way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 It's a shame there is literally zero deep cold anywhere to help. Mid level temp maps look terrible. Lol. You know there's something really wrong when a blocked surface low totally ignores the baroclinic zone off the coast because it's impotent. So what's left is a complicated mess both at the surface and upper levels. Our "complicated" batting avg needs a pinch hitter or something 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS: pick a l0ow position Thanks Will, how does that compare to 00z low positions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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