H2O Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 People are stealing my meme’ing job 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It’s 10:49pm here in Thailand, I’m at a club and shooing my friend away because I’m in a f*cking corner watching the GFS come out. What’s wrong with us? can you pick up a package for me? Go to the Nana plaza. Ask for Matilda! thanks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Kaiser says NEIN although probably some eis if I can interpret from TT charts. Dat storm after the storm tho… Which on are we talking about here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 12 GFS is looking different compared to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 WB 12Z GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 7pm Th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 The west coast is COMPLETELY different…more consolidated energy in the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Gfs fold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1am but too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: 7pm Th Unfortunately a rain storm for us as the costal low tracks directly over @CAPE’s yard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: The west coast is COMPLETELY different…more consolidated energy in the Midwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Well gfs goes from crushed to over amped. Love it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, LP08 said: The west coast is COMPLETELY different…more consolidated energy in the Midwest. That's the big difference. The ejecting low has more separation from the trough digging along the west coast and thus is stronger over the central US. Primary holds on too long. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 WB 12Z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 10, 2022 Author Share Posted December 10, 2022 To somehow stay majority frozen for us we want that coastal capture by upper level energy as far south and east as we can get it. That capture will yank the low NW like the GFS shows. Combine a Midwest primary with a warm ocean and it’s really hard to keep the column below freezing. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 12z CMC starts frozen at 114 Still frozen i95 and west at 126 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z CMC starts frozen at 114 Still frozen i95 and west at 126 Everyone goes to rain by 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 I81 and i66 corridor get smoked with ice if you accept the 12z CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Awful runs today. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: Awful runs today. Over the past 36-48 hours of runs concerning this system late week they are all over the place perfect evolution, to crushed sheared south, to now over amped. I will wait. Somehow, I think the solution is somewhere in between let's see the Euro. I do not trust the GFS especially way too volatile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said: Over the past 36-48 hours of runs concerning this system late week they are all over the place perfect evolution, to crushed sheared south, to now over amped. I will wait. Somehow, I think the solution is somewhere in between let's see the Euro. I do not trust the GFS especially way too volatile. It’s also 5 days out so there’s about 0 chance what any models shows will be right at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Agreed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, Ji said: Awful runs today. Don’t ever change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Ens still east of Op 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 And just like that we’re all rooting for suppression. Which, given the past few years, is not a bad place to be at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ens still east of Op This looks pretty good at face value. The OP has been all over the place so still sticking with the ENS here for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: This looks pretty good at face value. The OP has been all over the place so still sticking with the ENS here for sure. The mean is not bad. Temps super marginal verbatim, but it implies colder air coming in as precip is still going(that always works!) It would probably be good enough to get the NW crew on the board for sure. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 WB 12Z GEFS. Around Thanksgiving I said I would be happy if by Christmas I had a 1-3 inch storm and below normal temps for the holiday. Still in the game two weeks out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 The GFS took a pretty big step toward the Euro at 12Z IMO. It is still insistent on trying to drive LP's into the wall to the north. It tries to do it again after the late week storm with another cutter. Still think it is struggling with the block in the longer range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 51 minutes ago, Ji said: Awful runs today. Yea, but they look like we should expect for this type of system. Primary into the Midwest in mid December without an arctic airmass in place…not the way we win. Is it within the realm of possible sure, if we get super lucky in every detail, but we need more than just a block to snow. It gets annoying everytime we get blocking and then some assume every storm has to be snow suddenly. We rain during a blocking pattern all the time. Maybe even still more than snow! We need blocking AND the right synoptic setup. This ain’t it. Root for a fluke but don’t expect anything from this setup. It’s a bonus. Our better chances come after. Waves between the 20-25 need to be watched closely imo. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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