Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Pacific pattern flip We'll start tracking snowstorms once the Pacific gets out of this -PNA+EPO. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Even with a pretty crappy PAC. This plot is pretty nice. Tons of blocking and a 1040+ HP dropping into the plains, 50/50 and something popping off on the Gulf coast. The opp ends up with a cutter out of this. But I will take my chances with that look if we can ever actually get there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Kinda crazy to think, but by next Thursday the 15th, it’s quite plausible that we will only have had 3 AN in the month! The 3rd, 7th, and today. But because all 3 of those days are double-digit warm departures, the total monthly departure by next week could be pretty modest. Poor @leesburg 04. No 70F before the pre-Xmas torch 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Kinda crazy to think, but by next Thursday the 15th, it’s quite plausible that we will only have had 3 AN in the month! The 3rd, 7th, and today. But because all 3 of those days are double-digit warm departures, the total monthly departure by next week could be pretty modest. Poor @leesburg 04. No 70F before the pre-Xmas torch There's a reason i never win any of the contests 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Pacific pattern flip We'll start tracking snowstorms once the Pacific gets out of this -PNA+EPO. I dont disagree necessarily but here we are again 13 days out showing an EPO / AO / NAO ridge bridge. 0-1 pitch coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 What the GFS spit out at hour 210 got me thinkin'.....How much could/would that block flex in such a scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I dont disagree necessarily but here we are again 13 days out showing an EPO / AO / NAO ridge bridge. 0-1 pitch coming. 13 days out? ridge bridge showing up within 7 days 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Ridge Bridge 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Ridge Bridge Promising sign at 10 days out. Before it was always 14-15 days+ 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 31 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: 13 days out? ridge bridge showing up within 7 days Ffs im under a rock. Why am i dating everything dec 2 today? Ty for noting this....lock it in! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Ffs im under a rock. Why am i dating everything dec 2 today? Ty for noting this....lock it in! Lmaoo dw about it, probably can't kick the can any further Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Promising sign at 10 days out. Before it was always 14-15 days+ And that's a killer -EPO getting established there. Looks like the cold air moderates a little by the time it gets to us, but we're still BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, mattie g said: And that's a killer -EPO getting established there. Looks like the cold air moderates a little by the time it gets to us, but we're still BN. Will need the PNA to be less hostile to get the direct shot of cold. Of course Some -PNA may be useful in fighting off the cold/dry tendency of big -EPOs for you MA guys/gals. Not so much for us SE weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 26 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: Lmaoo dw about it, probably can't kick the can any further Been bed ridden for 8 days with covid and finally up and out feels like i just woke from a coma. Hits everyone differently i guess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Will need the PNA to be less hostile to get the direct shot of cold. Of course Some -PNA may be useful in fighting off the cold/dry tendency of big -EPOs for you MA guys/gals. Not so much for us SE weenies. The PNA is modeled to go more neutral towards mid-month. With the - EPO , - AO, and - NAO cold should not be a problem. The pattern is looking very good after the 15 th. Wave breaking may extend the - NAO. Overall should be an active and cold period between the 15 th and Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Been bed ridden for 8 days with covid and finally up and out feels like i just woke from a coma. Hits everyone differently i guess. Hope you feel better man. Nature should give you some snow as a get well soon gift. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 17 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Will need the PNA to be less hostile to get the direct shot of cold. Of course Some -PNA may be useful in fighting off the cold/dry tendency of big -EPOs for you MA guys/gals. Not so much for us SE weenies. I was thinking that. In our neck of the woods, we can have too much of a good thing in that regard, but there's temperature risk for us pretty much any time and in any pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Been bed ridden for 8 days with covid and finally up and out feels like i just woke from a coma. Hits everyone differently i guess. sorry to hear! I had it last week. feel better soon! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 GEPS puts a ridge on the West Coast around Day 12 and keeps it there for basically the remainder of the run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 GEPS really poking that AK ridging poleward. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 16 minutes ago, nj2va said: GEPS really poking that AK ridging poleward. Also has a more legit looking -NAO. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 23 minutes ago, nj2va said: GEPS really poking that AK ridging poleward. Wouldn’t be surprised to see record cold in the midwest with that setup. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 This looks good to me unless I'm wrong... which is possible lol. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 bring it on! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: This looks good to me unless I'm wrong... which is possible lol. 50/50 low, -NAO... cold air coming in from Canada... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 10 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: bring it on! bring what on? there aint no bit of blue for us through 240 on any model. this winter sucks ass 4 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ji said: bring what on? there aint no bit of blue for us through 240 on any model. this winter sucks ass I did not even post about Christmas like some did, or the favorable pattern finally showing up! I take no blame this time! OK - Edit: I did last week! That is true! Maybe that was the domino that led to this one.. I did mention favorable pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 12 gfs dream pattern. Lows in wisconsin. Awesome 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 34 minutes ago, CAPE said: Also has a more legit looking -NAO. Literally night/day from last December. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 aM i dumb? I thought a pattern change was an arctic front with lows in georgia not wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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