Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Have we reached the point where we want the Thurs/Fri system to amplify and bomb out as far W as possible so as to set the baroclinic boundary for the next wave (CAPE Dec 27) or are we still hanging by a pube still on this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I'm all-in. Bring it home @CAPE I gotta ride this one till its dead. @WxUSAF has pegged it #CAPEstorm22 (second edition) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Stayed away for two days because sensed a switch from coastal to cutter would show up and now it’s here. Barbell highs to west and east and low cutting up the middle. These depictions are not forecasting tools, they are examples of all possible outcomes. The fly shuts in Saskatchewan and everything changes is 20 years too old. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 12z GEFS for NYE. Would be pretty comfy in Times Square. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z GEFS for NYE. Would be pretty comfy in Times Square. Ffs I'm moving to Ukraine. At least it's cold and who knows how a nuclear winter pattern could perform. Too soon? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 #EpicPatternFail #RapidBreakdown #Reload? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 It'll be interesting to see the upslope potential after this storm passes by in the mountains. Probably only excited about upslope because I'm headed to Wisp from the 23rd to the 26th haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Oh shit, Sine wave graph needs updating. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 We need to start a new LR thread. This one lost its mojo. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Ffs I'm moving to Ukraine. At least it's cold and who knows how a nuclear winter pattern could perform. Too soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: We need to start a new LR thread. This one lost its mojo. Good idea. Do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: #EpicPatternFail #RapidBreakdown #Reload? Wash, rinse, repeat until we score, or 2024… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: We need to start a new LR thread. This one lost its mojo. I thought that is what the panic room was… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: Good idea. Do it. Everyone can blame me when we’re sipping mai-tais as the ball drops on NYE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Stayed away for two days because sensed a switch from coastal to cutter would show up and now it’s here. Barbell highs to west and east and low cutting up the middle. These depictions are not forecasting tools, they are examples of all possible outcomes. The fly shuts in Saskatchewan and everything changes is 20 years too old. What gets me is after we only have two days of cold and now warms up to the lower forties but all we've been hearing about was an extended deep freeze 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 We can track this. Might be our last chance prior to the torch. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 16 minutes ago, CAPE said: 12z GEFS for NYE. Would be pretty comfy in Times Square. Hey remember when models were spitting out way below normal temps for pretty much all of North America from Christmas to new years? Pepperidge Farms remembers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 12z GEFS for NYE. Would be pretty comfy in Times Square.Below avg in the entire arctic? Give me 70s for NYE if it means a rebuild for late Jan/Early Feb, increasing the snowpacl is a massive winSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 53 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Hey remember when models were spitting out way below normal temps for pretty much all of North America from Christmas to new years? Pepperidge Farms remembers. If it can do that, then it can flip to cold from warm. WE CAN DO IT. It will snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Two days ago it was a coastal monster. Now its 700 mikes further west . That’s not science. That’s example giving. In the year 2022 with all the great supercomputing it is Not Too Much To Ask that some Forecasting be added instead of constant wavering to all possible examples. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 No NAM extrapolations? I guess the towel has been thrown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 29 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: If it can do that, then it can flip to cold from warm. WE CAN DO IT. It will snow. The warm almost always verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Slight push east on gfs. Also secondary pops. Backside snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Slight push east on gfs. Also secondary pops. Backside snows. Yeah I saw that. Maybe it’s a new east trend… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 8 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Have a feeling eps/gefs will continue to merge and final solution will be smack dab in the middle. Could be a track like Hatteras->Assateague->Wilminton DE to Apps sort of thing with a lobe of LP hanging back near MI. Actually thus what hinted at by guidance recently as 36 hrs ago. Ha! GFS 18z track. Fml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Well we have to admit no does failure as well as the MA. Be proud. You live with Lucy more than any other region in the country. What a shit show. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 And I have no idea why my post became 5 pages long. Fail is the name of the game. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: And I have no idea why my post became 5 pages long. Fail is the name of the game. I was waiting for a picture to appear. And yes we really know how to fail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 0z GFS OP taunting us through 120...Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 If we were to have a shot, we need that ridge on the west coast to trend stronger. Last couple runs have done that, but we need about 3 to 4 more runs of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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