jayyy Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Yeah but when you are getting into late December, it is becoming our climo wheelhouse. The days will be the shortest they are all year. Not really. We rarely see December snow anymore, especially significant snow. It’s not about the amount of daylight. It’s about the cold air masses and being in the heart of winter. Late January into February is our climo wheelhouse. Especially for a MECS/SECS/HECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 25 minutes ago, Interstate said: Yeah but when you are getting into late December, it is becoming our climo wheelhouse. The days will be the shortest they are all year. When you consider since 1888, the Washington DC reporting station has only had snow on the ground 19 times on Christmas Day, late December still isn’t our wheelhouse. From a climo sense its more likely the 23rd storm favors the interior. Hope I’m wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 when you guys west of the bay get a KU storm I get a FU storm. lets get a region wide 3-6 storm while I open my underwear and socks on xmass day 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 FWIW the ICON still looks to be in the GFS's camp 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Would be pretty lame to get skunked in December given that there has absolutely 100% been cold around (or attainable) for the entire last year going back to November '21. Another battle is against the GOM and Atlantic temps which still seem to be on the warmer side of the anomalies (though I don't how much that would impact interior sections). Re the storm prospects, looks like there's a way to score with that initial wave/overrunning on the GFS before a flip, and then again on the tail end as the front sweeps through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Not really. We rarely see December snow anymore, especially significant snow. It’s not about the amount of daylight. It’s about the cold air masses and being in the heart of winter. Late January into February is our climo wheelhouse. Especially for a MECS/SECS/HECSBlizzard of 73 in South Carolina happened in February 2010 had that February snow So this has been a case for awhile Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 24 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Thanks You made me a reindeer. Thank you sir. Drinks are me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 when you guys west of the bay get a KU storm I get a FU storm. lets get a region wide 3-6 storm while I open my underwear and socks on xmass dayThis Even if not a blizzard, let the whole forum score SOMETHING for ChristmasSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 12z ICON won't make any friends at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 33 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Thanks That was hilarious! Really creative! We need a good laugh after the roller coaster ride! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z ICON won't make any friends at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: That was hilarious! Really creative! We need a good laugh after the roller coaster ride! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z ICON won't make any friends at 120 Nice warm heavy rain event! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, yoda said: Nice warm heavy rain event! Tornado Watches. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Kmlwx said: Tornado Watches. Thursday night severe lol... 60 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Thursday night severe lol... 60 degrees Imagine an H5 map like the ICON during the severe season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 11 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z ICON won't make any friends at 120 From Volkswagen to Volvo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Cold Christmas Eve though in the 20s... sad trombone prize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 So far, doesn't look like the GFS is backing down 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So far, doesn't look like the GFS is backing down If anything the northern vorticity looks a bit stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 OH valley ridge slightly weaker and trough “bridge” starting to appear north of MN & MI. GFS still appears to be digging into its own camp. (At 48h) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Ridging out west is getting flatter each run. Subtle but Looping last 6 runs its noticeable. Going to be a challenge to keep this one along/off the coast. Just my preliminary thoughts. I keep saying by Sunday I would committ one way of the other. Still time to go and still sone opportunity even with an inland track for some frozen for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So far, doesn't look like the GFS is backing down Wrt the TPV in Canada it’s not. That’s good. I think there is a reasonable chance the Gfs is more right there. The reason I’m not more bullish on this setup is even if the Gfs scores the coup there…and the tpv sides east on top…it still stalls west of ideal and the pna is west of where we want and with mo 50/50…it would still be a struggle to prevent a cutter. Just might cut up the Apps not to Chicago. But with a more Gfs progression we might have a better shot with a thump on the front or 1-2” on the back. So it’s better. Hope I’m wrong and this trends to a HECS but I’d be rooting for that lead wave as our best shot to get on the board. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Doubt the GFS makes many people happy this run with how much more consolidated and west the NS energy is as it drops out of Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Doubt the GFS makes many people happy this run with how much more consolidated and west the NS energy is as it drops out of Canada Yup it’s cutter time. Was fun while it lasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Yeah, this run is going to cut. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Yep. Digging further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The guidance is clearly in the process of meeting in the middle, which is what happens 90% of the time, and why we lose when we’re rooting for the most extreme solution to be 100% correct in either direction. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 It's ugly and a nod toward the other models. It aint over till it's over, but this run ain't gonna do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Wintry mix for BR west at 123 NW VA/C MD and westward get a quick thump at 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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