Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Whats 1,018 miles in distance between Green Bay WI to Chesterfield VA? Because that's where the LP was modeled at 12Z and now where the 0Z shows before going up into DC. That in my book is a huge win for the GFS, even if it is the ICON. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Way better but the surface is still garbage Yeah it's not there but quite the change for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Whats 1,018 miles in distance between Green Bay WI to Chesterfield VA? Because that's where the LP was modeled at 12Z and now where the 0Z shows before going up into DC. That in my book is a huge win for the GFS, even if it is the ICON. Fish storm by morning for sure 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Thru 48hrs on gfs.. little to no change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: Fish storm by morning for sure With the ICON it literally wouldn't surprise me in the least bit LMAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Thru 48hrs on gfs.. little to no change Shortwave in AK is more amplified. Not smart enough to say what it means downstream though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Thru 48hrs on gfs.. little to no change How does it look over AK? If one polar bear shits on an igloo it might give us the nudge we need 2 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: How does it look over AK? If one polar bear shits on an igloo it might give us the nudge we need Nah we need some orcas to create a synchronized tidal wave 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: How does it look over AK? If one polar bear shits on an igloo it might give us the nudge we need Straighten the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 0z GFS I notice the Alaska s/w is holding back behind the UL. Most obvious change to me. Don’t know where that’s going but may help with more separation? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: Shortwave in AK is more amplified. Not smart enough to say what it means downstream though. HR 69 the s/w being more amped is noticeable and standing out vs 18z. The west coast ridge doesn't seem as pronounced either but that's me speculating with extreme amateur eyes. Terp and High Risk could clarify if they so choose to in hopes to provide clarity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, nj2va said: The ICON is a shitty model but at least it’s a model that took a big step away from the other camp. Never a good sign when its one model vs everything else so even though its the ICON, still good. Lol. Night and day from 18z definitely a move towards the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 This is a new evolution up top through 81... We shall see where this goesSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Pretty significant changes in the NW at 90. We are about to see a new type of solution I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 If what I am looking at hour 60 in AK is correct that is different for sure. More amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I like seeing the PV stronger at through 84H. Would like to see that continue in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Can't help but have visions of Jan 25, 2000 with that front runner area of slp sitting off the se coast. I remember in said storm that was supposed to do similar to what the gfs has been showing ie run out ahead. But I remember with that storm seeing the energy kind of sitting off the se coast but never really moving ENE....it sat and waited for the approaching energy to link up and it came N. Not expecting a repeat but everytime I see that lp sitting off the se coast in these setups I harken back to that event. Heck, I would take a redux of that one In a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I have no idea what's going on, but it looks like it is holding less back in the Pacific Northwest, but it's also further west. Instead of two different lobes, it is one closed off low on the ND/Canada border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Definitely further west at 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Energy about to get dumped west with that ridge from Greenland to TexasSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Pretty decent block there… should I say should shove this under. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The GFS has been adamant about splitting the PV into two parts and now the 00z puts the majority of the energy into the front piece. Need to wait for the 2nd piece to drop down here. May not be a bad thing if the front end can establish a more robust 50-50 low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 This run appears OK at quick glance. No more bleeding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Looks like ICON, but slightly east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Won't be as west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Is there any chance that the weak coastal low that initially forms trends into a light event? It looks somewhat close right now. Is there not enough cold for that to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 INCOMING 138 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Won't be as west Nope. Interesting for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Snow breaking out Central VA 138 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 This is looking pretty awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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