stormtracker Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 So storm is still there, but a bit warmer for I-95 this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Early Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 If it's any consolation, the west track results in a pretty good paste job for my backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 4am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Yeah, not a good run for the region in terms of temps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 it’s still worlds apart BUT the Gfs did take a baby step towards the other guidance wrt the TPV which is why the further west track initially. Little weaker to our north. Slightly stronger out west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, psuhoffman said: it’s still worlds apart BUT the Gfs did take a baby step towards the other guidance wrt the TPV which is why the further west track initially. Little weaker to our north. Slightly stronger out west. I was just going to say...so, could one argue that the GFS is actually a step toward the ECMWF camp, but just farther south with the trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: it’s still worlds apart BUT the Gfs did take a baby step towards the other guidance wrt the TPV which is why the further west track initially. Little weaker to our north. Slightly stronger out west. Kinda suspected that was a small step...if it does it again later the cave has begun, unfortunately... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 7am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Apps rubber right up the gun pipe... Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Who doesn't love a good dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Listening to Beethoven's 7th now...the 2nd mvt with all the drama...as we watch the threat turning warmer and cuttier and the GFS caving, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Kinda suspected that was a small step...if it does it again later the cave has begun, unfortunately... Sure. Except it’s already caved too much for our purposes. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Bernie Rayno called it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Weenie run for the mountains, with the upslope cranking behind it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 It was pretty obvious fairly on in the run that it was digging way too far west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 We suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: Weenie run for the mountains, with the upslope cranking behind it too. At this rate they'll be out of it too later, lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 We will take our T-2 and be happy 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Sure. Except it’s already caved too much for our purposes. Lol. You you right, lol Well, at least we know now instead of two days before...the spring will wear off by Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, osfan24 said: It was pretty obvious fairly on in the run that it was digging way too far west. This is still not in the Euro camp though by any means. This is a change from the 12z run that would be reasonable at 72-96hr leads, let alone 160. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Still a long ways to go. Doesn't really look like the Euro or Ggem. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: We suck Way ahead of you. Man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, WxUSAF said: This is still not in the Euro camp though by any means. This is a change from the 12z run that would be reasonable at 72-96hr leads, let alone 160. Could be a bleed though (but that's not my logical brain talking though; just the "we can never get a good trend" weenieism) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Looks like most would get on board before it's washed away lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Still a long ways to go. Doesn't really look like the Euro or Ggem. Small enough move towards the other globals to warrant concern. I'm just hoping at this point that we still get the arctic outbreak for Dec 25 at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, Chris78 said: Looks like most would get on board before it's washed away lol For a lot of us, there won't be anything to be washed away!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Small enough move towards the other globals to warrant concern. I'm just hoping at this point that we still get the arctic out real for Dec 25 at least. Well at least that part hasn't disappeared so far...still a big push if cold air being modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 Incrementally weaker with the TPV under the block since 6z. Ultimately it ends up more like the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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