Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Terpeast said: See how the butterfly effect in Alaska makes a huge difference? It’s almost as if a polar bear farts in a certain direction… If a polar bear farts in the wind but no models are there to sample it, did it happen?? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Warning level event from RIC to BOS, with solid cold behind it. Yes please. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, tstate21 said: And for those counting, the 00z CMC sticks to the cutter idea this round. More consolidated energy dropping down into the CONUS. Would been nice to see it cave but also the CMC is a Dogshit model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: In the game EA sports? 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: That was a f-ed up looking evolution. Not sure what to make of that but ok look at my H5 chart I posted at 144. That's what dreams are made of right there. We have that same look in 2 days from now and I would love to say the surface is gonna look damn sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: See how the butterfly effect in Alaska makes a huge difference? It’s almost as if a polar bear farts in a certain direction… Alright get the beans: we're goin' up to Alaska 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, tstate21 said: And for those counting, the 00z CMC sticks to the cutter idea this round. More consolidated energy dropping down into the CONUS. Haven’t even looked, but the model wars continue for at least another day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 I'm willing to bet the se coast fro trunner Co tinues to slow and this becomes one extended storm. It has that look to it. I can't see it escaping.If it does it will put down massive totals deep into the South Carolina low countrySent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, yoda said: I'd take this run all day. 6"+. We take Abscond, as it were. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, tstate21 said: And for those counting, the 00z CMC sticks to the cutter idea this round. More consolidated energy dropping down into the CONUS. I mean dang CMC...it can't even make a believable cutter, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Very intrigued to see the trends on the 00z GEFS tonight. You can tell early on in the game whether the run is going to be a good one or not based on that PV split. I wouldn't be concerned with surface depictions at this juncture until that is resolved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: look at my H5 chart I posted at 144. That's what dreams are made of right there. We have that same look in 2 days from now and I would love to say the surface is gonna look damn sexy. I love sexy surfaces Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The amount of scenarios revolving around flatulence today is making me laugh audibly. @HKY_WX warned earlier in the Southeast forum that any remote fart could pop a SECS with the pattern setup. Now we have baked beans, butterflies, and polar bears involved. Whale tidal waves are the tip of the iceberg. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 GFS with a warning event. ICON moved towards the GFS. CMC sticking to its guns. Solid 00z suite so far. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Solution Man said: I love sexy surfaces Wrong forum.... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Would been nice to see it cave but also the CMC is a Dogshit model. Dude people were posting the Icon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: I love sexy surfaces But there needs to be a sexy H5 heart too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 GFS maintains a 957mb low through central quebec, somehow not weakening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: Dude people were posting the Icon CMC is to dogshit what the ICON is to polar bear dysentery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Looping the CMC h5, it made a very, VERY subtle cave towards the GFSSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 The GEFS looks very similar to the main GFS with respect to the trend. Maybe it's SLIGHTLY to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Sandstorm94 said: Looping the CMC h5, it made a very, VERY subtle cave towards the GFS Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Saw that too up top. Minor stretchiness in the pv to the east. Better than bleeding the other way. I accept this. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said: Looping the CMC h5, it made a very, VERY subtle cave towards the GFS Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk the ensembles are what i'm looking to hear about because they have been in disagreement with the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just a quick check-in before bed. I mentioned yesterday there will be multiple ways to obtain snowfall for the region in this pattern. Even a cutter with a massive arctic front would likely produce snow squalls and whiten the place up for the holidays. Big storms need everything to go right. That’s obviously still on the table, but probalistically that’s not the most viable solution. GFS was a solid compromise this evening. Also, keep an eye on that initial SLP ahead of the digging 5H trough. That’s a way to squeeze an advisory level snow out before even looking at the main show everyone is hoping. Solid look on guidance this evening. Still 7+ days away. A lot of time and I doubt we’ve seen the real solution at any point. 21 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 If the GFS scores the coup, is it crowned the new Winter King? Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 GEFS through 120 has a stronger blocking TPV lobe north of the great lakesSent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Sandstorm94 said: If the GFS scores the coup, is it crowned the new Winter King? Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Euro won’t go down without a fight. I’ll have to wake up later for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Just now, Sandstorm94 said: GEFS through 120 has a stronger blocking TPV lobe north of the great lakes Sent from my SM-S102DL using Tapatalk Was just about to post that. I like this GEFS run so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 ICON is very similar to the GFS. Just about 12 hrs quicker and 100 miles further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 Ridge on the west coast on the GEFS has been trending west the past few runs which, which has allowed a bit separation between the two waves, but has also allowed our diving wave to be more west also. Ideally, we would like to see it trend back stronger and a bit more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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