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December 2022 Medium-Long Range Disco


WxUSAF
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  On 12/16/2022 at 7:04 PM, Maestrobjwa said:

Now see I don't understand their psychology...They are not nearly as starved for snow as we are (and I'd bet their White Christmas is more recent...and yet they meltdown? Lol 

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They have higher expectations and it hasn’t snowed much at all yet in many places. 

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  On 12/16/2022 at 7:16 PM, psuhoffman said:

But the eps is an improvement over the last run. 

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This is where I'm immediately out of my depth haha. Toggling back and forth between 06z I see a possible narrow improvement on that same view -- if it's improved elsewhere would love if you could share 

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  On 12/16/2022 at 7:21 PM, paxpatriot said:

Given the early differences between the GFS and Euro, we should get a fold-em soon from one of them, correct?

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You'd think given the PV changes out west occur inside 84 that yeah probably....the coastal low idea is probably gone but there is a chance this just ends up a strung out POS still...I am not sold the wild amped Op Euro idea is right...it may in the end trend to a FROPA but this most likely can no longer be an EC snow event unless somehow the W Canada PV evolution today is simply a blip by the Euro/CMC 

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  On 12/16/2022 at 7:23 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

You'd think given the PV changes out west occur inside 84 that yeah probably....the coastal low idea is probably gone but there is a chance this just ends up a strung out POS still...I am not sold the wild amped Op Euro idea is right...it may in the end trend to a FROPA but this most likely can no longer be an EC snow event unless somehow the W Canada PV evolution today is simply a blip by the Euro/CMC 

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Well based on what you said there, many of us had the best hour and a half of our lives between the GFS and the Euro...it was fun for sure. 

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A model war: this forum in its highest form. You know where my money is at. GFS scored some nasty coups last year… and if the Euro folds I’ll be ready to crown the GFS king. 

It’s probably meaningless (as the real action is at h5) but I had to lol at the euros temp map that someone posted earlier. Just a weird thumb of arctic air sticking into the middle of the country,

Regardless, we know it’s going to be cold. Be ready to bundle up weenies.

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