Weather Will Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: Some of that for the NW areas is for the late week deal, which we know is going to be slop. WB GEFS mean last 7 days of run. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: All sorts of action today and end of euro run is like a “Buy milk and TP!” warning sign, but we’re at a low point If this is a low point, than I’m more excited for next week. Gonna deb for a sec but end of model runs are always pants tent. What we need is something solid inside of 10 days. The ghost of Snowmas future shows wonderful things. The ghost of Snowmas past are all these analogs saying ghost of future is right. Meanwhile in ghost of present land we are barely hanging on like Tiny Ji. All crippled, losing FB fans and outlook is bleak. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: I actually predicted that this is what you would post right before you posted the snow probs and total snow map lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: I actually predicted that this is what you would post right before you posted the snow probs and total snow map lol. Need a predictive model for Will’s posts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Whats happening here? Im at work so just briefly looked at the euro, cmc, and gfs (maybe i peeked at the jma too) and things look darn good/active for next week. I pop in banter and Ji says no blue, and talks of suppression about and Nina being Nina and no hope. Oh wait, i forgot that was normal. Ok cool, sorry to clog the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Need a predictive model for Will’s posts He is pretty steady with posting the snow maps, so probably not needed lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: I actually predicted that this is what you would post right before you posted the snow probs and total snow map lol. I saw it!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Whats happening here? Im at work so just briefly looked at the euro, cmc, and gfs (maybe i peeked at the jma too) and things look darn good/active for next week. I pop in banter and Ji says no blue, and talks of suppression and no hope. Oh wait, i forgot that was normal. Ok cool, sorry to clog the thread Ji had a meltdown during 2009-2010... 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: My issue is that it showed another cutter before that one, I have never been on the pattern cancel train but it's upsetting to have it "delayed" again according to this one run. That said its just one Euro and CMC run but if it comes true I'll be slightly upset. How likely do you think it is that we get another cutter after this one? Hard to say. As I’ve said, I think we need to clear this week’s storm before getting good clarity on next week. But even if a storm cuts, I think we have a solid chance of front end frozen with a good airmass in place. 4 minutes ago, H2O said: Gonna deb for a sec but end of model runs are always pants tent. What we need is something solid inside of 10 days. The ghost of Snowmas future shows wonderful things. The ghost of Snowmas past are all these analogs saying ghost of future is right. Meanwhile in ghost of present land we are barely hanging on like Tiny Ji. All crippled, losing FB fans and outlook is bleak. I get that, but I think we clearly have a window here starting next Sunday/Monday. Whether we score at the beginning, middle, end, or all points during that window I don’t know. But we’ll have chances I think. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Whats happening here? Im at work so just briefly looked at the euro, cmc, and gfs (maybe i peeked at the jma too) and things look darn good/active for next week. I pop in banter and Ji says no blue, and talks of suppression about and Nina being Nina and no hope. Oh wait, i forgot that was normal. Ok cool, sorry to clog the thread This is the standard “it’s looking good but still 7+ days away and I want my snow now” angst 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Not a bad look, too bad its 10 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 I hear the good looks are 10 days out. Any truth to this rumor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Always 10 days out… 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I hear the good looks are 10 days out. Any truth to this rumor? only if there is precip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 The big ones are always modeled 10 days out. Weenie handbook chapter 11 section 5 subsection A. 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Always 10 days out… Only in a Nina bud....oh wait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 28 minutes ago, forkyfork said: all -4 or lower daily AO indices since feb 2010 Found this in the New York subforum 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 This is going to be a December to Remember one way or the other…. Definitely the most hyped December in recent memory…. Only one happy so far is Doug From Channel 4 with the Grinch forecast. Latest WB EURO control will probably verify. Can’t make this stuff up… 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: This is going to be a December to Remember one way or the other…. Definitely the most hyped December in recent memory…. Only one happy so far is Doug From Channel 4 with the Grinch forecast. Latest WB EURO control will probably verify. Can’t make this stuff up… #nina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: This is going to be a December to Remember one way or the other…. Definitely the most hyped December in recent memory…. Only one happy so far is Doug From Channel 4 with the Grinch forecast. Latest WB EURO control will probably verify. Can’t make this stuff up… On the board with a 0.1….things are lookin good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Sorry for the rant above, WB 12Z EPS does still have the pre Christmas chance later next week. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Let’s keep things in perspective….we aren’t in full panic mode like 9/10 Decembers where we are wondering if we will need our AC on Christmas Eve! The possibility that we actually have possibilities of real winter is positively refreshing! 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 ^agreed. how often do we see the deepest shades of blue on CPC outlook 8-14 days over us for 20-26 Dec?...not that often. BN is basically a lock now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 this is why i dont pay attention to long range stuff. too many ups and downs. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: Sorry for the rant above, WB 12Z EPS does still have the pre Christmas chance later next week. Pretty sweet look. Lack of 50/50 doesnt concern me with that look up top. Would those higher heights at 50/50 act in essence to slow things down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, H2O said: only if there is precip Glad to see folks coming around to this idea lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 What a stream of moisture coming on Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Man... Happy Hour GFS is trying REALLY hard at about Hr180.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Gfs drops the tpv west idea this run. Would create opportunity for multiple ways to get something 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, Bob Chill said: Gfs drops the tpv west idea this run. Would create opportunity for multiple was to get something Think you might be in the wrong thread, either way it’s nice to hear this analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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