SouthCoastMA Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh, it’s early, and guidance is waffling a bit. I think it’s prudent for most people to keep expectations in check. I think a disappointment at this time year would be a shutout through 12/20. Despite the good pattern ahead, I would take 2-4" in mid December and be content. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: I think a disappointment at this time year would be a shutout through 12/20. Despite the good pattern ahead, I would take 2-4" in mid December and be content. 2-4” should be Doable…I’m down with that too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Big picture-not alot of change in today's guidance. But I"m kind of astounded that people are crying over 12/7-8. We have to get some snow to calm weenies down! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's possible no threat materializes before mid-month. That wouldn’t shock me , The volatility on the runs is going to be so extreme and if the feature of west coast heights getting lower after the 10’th solidifies ill be adjusting a tad downward . Nothing dramatic but just noting . I honestly really just want the cutters to stop raining all over ski country every 3 days And I’ll be pretty content . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will posting 360 hr clown maps Seems like a contrarian signal People want clown maps that show good snow. That’s really what the anxiety is all about. Deep down many won’t admit that it’s the OP runs not showing blizzards is what is concerning to them….it’s not the ensemble mean they are concerned about. You’d think it wouldn’t be that way since most posters here have been on these forums for years (if not decades). 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Big picture-not alot of change in today's guidance. But I"m kind of astounded that people are crying over 12/7-8. We have to get some snow to calm weenies down! I still think we need to watch the follow up wave (Dec 9…maybe as early as Dec 8 or late as Dec 10) for something. It wouldn’t be huge but it could be one of those fast movers if things align. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: People want clown maps that show good snow. That’s really what the anxiety is all about. Deep down many won’t admit that it’s the OP runs not showing blizzards is what is concerning to them….it’s not the ensemble mean they are concerned about. You’d think it wouldn’t be that way since most posters here have been on these forums for years (if not decades). I think it’s partially that and partially that people have been talking and posting about this period now a solid week but it seems the Chance increase that the good pattern got kicked back today Another couple days , so we maybe kinda waiting and hoping for la la land (2 week out period to hold ) that is part of it , maybe it’s not . But I’m really just more having fun with posts today , it’s a long wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 Anyone else getting flurries? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anyone else getting flurries? A few here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anyone else getting flurries? Ya been flakes in Nashua occasionally since 2 . Light mood stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Big picture-not alot of change in today's guidance. But I"m kind of astounded that people are crying over 12/7-8. We have to get some snow to calm weenies down! And a happy birthday to the Fella! 64 impressive years on the planet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: And a happy birthday to the Fella! 64 impressive years on the planet. Where was he the other 11? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 48 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think we can push things back to say the 14’th or so and nobody will blink Many are watching , waiting .. expecting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya been flakes in Nashua occasionally since 2 . Light mood stuff Nice holiday mood day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1/2" here in the squalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 20 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: And a happy birthday to the Fella! 64 impressive years on the planet. Thanks Dave! I wish but I did turn 64 in 2010. Analog? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where was he the other 11? Jerry didn’t become impressive until the fifth grade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Where was he the other 11? Digging out of 1888 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: is this the part where everyone starts freaking out? Not everyone, only the village idiots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Pattern change set in during early Dec 2010....here's what it looked like for 16 days Dec 5-20, 2010.....BOS, ORH, and PVD all had zero measurable snow during this 16 day stretch. BDL had 0.3" from a squall I think. This isn't trying to scare anyone, but it reiterates that great patterns can sometimes not produce, or take a while to produce. WE know it eventually went gangbusters, but it didn't happen right away. OTher years like 1995 it happens almost right away. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 What a tool 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Weeklies tank the NAO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: 2-4” should be Doable…I’m down with that too. That would be a good solid coating and give us the winter vibe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies tank the NAO how can they tank the NAO any further, jesus. If that ridge builds any taller the Artemis missions may as well be scrubbed because astronauts could just step from the top of that doom right upon the surface of the moon 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I see no issues on the EPS compared to 00z. Maybe even slightly better in 11-15 day. This is the one post I need or care to read after a bust afternoon. All good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is the one post I need or care to read after a bust afternoon. All good. Let me give the disclaimer that I don't care if the heights over SC were 5 meters higher than 00z. I am talking from a more broader look. I'm not getting into the nitty gritty of minor details. For instance the GFS guidance definitely was a change. That deserves a discussion. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Where was he the other 11? Or 12 - he's only a few months younger than me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Let me give the disclaimer that I don't care if the heights over SC were 5 meters higher than 00z. I am talking from a more broader look. I'm not getting into the nitty gritty of minor details. For instance the GFS guidance definitely was a change. That deserves a discussion. Yea, I don't care about the noise that people like @greenmtnwxuse as a vehicle for torture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 I think even if everything works out and goes according to plan, people need to be prepared for the chance that most of the snow comes in January. It takes a while more often than not. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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