WxWatcher007 Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just not enough buns for this. 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I dunno...that would sort of ruin the Holiday. I'm good with several inches falling that day or having people buried alive two days before or after Christmas. I like the idea of everything stopping. Part of what I dislike about the holiday is feeling forced to visit other places rather than taking the time to just be at home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Seem like that Dec 8th timeframe threat has started retreating back in the other direction after cooling some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Seem like that Dec 8th timeframe threat has started retreating back in the other direction after cooling some That's never been a real chance here. Just one poster in NE CT at 995' that bought it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Seem like that Dec 8th timeframe threat has started retreating back in the other direction after cooling some I'm not sure what DT likes about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: JMA has weeklies? You pay to access that? Its like me paying to access @weatherwiz's drunken accounts of Wolfpack games while 4 40s deep. Too bad Only Fans wasn't around 10-12 years ago...I could have been rich. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's never been a real chance here. Just one poster in NE CT at 995' that bought it. I don’t think that is accurate will mentioned it was close to being a lot more wintry for more of the forum if we could get the PV press 100-200 miles south at an 8 day lead time on Tuesday it just hasn’t trended that way in last 36 hrs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a dream that many wouldn't like...but just once in my life, I want an epic, grind-society-to-a-halt blitz to start slowly around midday of xmas eve.....go nuts all xmas eve, maybe a slight let up before dawn just for the sake of being realistic, and then rage on again through xmas morning and not winding down until around sunset xmas evening. As much as I adore Xmas, I want plans ruined and holiday travel incapacitated. I have this same dream. This aligns well with wanting as many trees and lines downed as possible in wind/ storm events. Don’t want anyone getting hurt , but do like, need, want and enjoy tree and line damage. 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's never been a real chance here. Just one poster in NE CT at 995' that bought it. You initially started it Dec 5th then you pushed it to Dec 8th.. now you’ve got it at Dec 13th. The delay and worry we had last week was 100% the correct call 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You initially started it Dec 5th then you pushed it to Dec 8th.. now you’ve got it at Dec 13th. The delay and worry we had last week was 100% the correct call What?? I'm talking about the event next week. Beer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 I said two weeks ago post 12/5. Looks pretty good to me. Go ahead and cry about a 2 day delay. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I don’t think that is accurate will mentioned it was close to being a lot more wintry for more of the forum if we could get the PV press 100-200 miles south at an 8 day lead time on Tuesday it just hasn’t trended that way in last 36 hrs Pretty sure Will was not enthusiastic about it. I said it was something to watch for NNE and commented again to watch it (thinking maybe nrn and western areas here in SNE may get something wintry) ...but both of us said more or less it was a long shot in most areas of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What?? I'm talking about the event next week. Beer. Two more warm cutters to go lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a dream that many wouldn't like...but just once in my life, I want an epic, grind-society-to-a-halt blitz to start slowly around midday of xmas eve.....go nuts all xmas eve, maybe a slight let up before dawn just for the sake of being realistic, and then rage on again through xmas morning and not winding down until around sunset xmas evening. As much as I adore Xmas, I want plans ruined and holiday travel incapacitated. Let's get this up to James Jr levels, I want a 16 bun salute 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Two more warm cutters to go lol Saturday and a wedgy event with cold rain until the last minute for many next week? Looks on track to me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty sure Will was not enthusiastic about it. I said it was something to watch for NNE and commented again to watch it (thinking maybe nrn and western areas here in SNE may get something wintry) ...but both of us said more or less it was a long shot in most areas of SNE. Yeah it was intriguing that it was trending colder, but now that the trend sort of stopped....it's pretty meh. It was always tougher for us too vs NNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 23 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Too bad Only Fans wasn't around 10-12 years ago...I could have been rich. What do you mean by this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 28 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Too bad Only Fans wasn't around 10-12 years ago...I could have been rich. It's never too late- I believe I have a picture of you in one of my dresses if you would like to build your account. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Saturday and a wedgy event with cold rain until the last minute for many next week? Looks on track to me. I’m actually happy it might be a couple days after 12/5….every day now brings a better climatological window of opportunity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, #NoPoles said: It's never too late- I believe I have a picture of you in one of my dresses if you would like to build your account. Tempting but I think my girlfriend would send me packing 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: I’m actually happy it might be a couple days after 12/5….every day now brings a better climatological window of opportunity. Or another lost day of an already shortened season 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 god i hate this forum sometimes lmao 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 The GFS at 12 Z offers yet another option… Completely remove any effect of the NAO exertion …allowing 13.14.15 to Grinch through the Lakes. you know the recurrence of that kind of phenomenon is getting more and more difficult as the years go by to believe it’s purely random lol No but I’m not sure this model run really fits the mode of what’s going on here. I’d probably give this run a lower probability of success 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: god i hate this forum sometimes lmao It's typically a massive internet hormone this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it was intriguing that it was trending colder, but now that the trend sort of stopped....it's pretty meh. It was always tougher for us too vs NNE. It will trend colder just you wait. Btw ignore the nonsense of the SE ridge and block linking up. Models do this because they dump the trough out west after day 4 however you can clearly see a trend of models building a ridge in the Rockies before that. The Rockies ridge trend will continue and press the Hudson PV further S&E. I think everything after Day 4 is garbage on this suite, ops & ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: The GFS at 12 Z as yet another option… Completely remove any effect of the NAO exertion …allowing 13.14.15 to Grinch through the Lakes. you know the recurrence of that kind of phenomenon is getting more and more difficult as the years go by to believe it’s purely random lol No but I’m not sure this model run really fits the mode of what’s going on here. I’d probably give this run a lower probability of success Is it really a Grinch if there are no gifts (snow) to steal? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: god i hate this forum sometimes lmao How come? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is it really a Grinch if there are no gifts (snow) to steal? lol Oh it’s even worse… I mean after two weeks of build up that should’ve gone the other direction then do that? It’s even worse because at least in the other since you did get some snow at some point. I guess just since we’re being silly here… the upshot is that that happens on the 13th and 14th and there’s plenty of time to manufacture something in the recovery period after - assuming there will be one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Or another lost day of an already shortened season See I don’t look at it like that on 12/1…by 12/20 then yes, it would be a lost day. But not yet. Imo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: See I don’t look at it like that on 12/1…by 12/20 then yes, it would be a lost day. But not yet. Imo. Anything before mid December is gravy. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anything before mid December is gravy. Yes, I’m of the same feeling. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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