WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. We sit back and watch it unfold while we beat the pope with a ruler. He gets the wooden spoon across the knuckles from Mother Teresa…don’t know what that guy sees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 35 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: settle down Beavis Fart knocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 58 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Noticed that ... The key is the aft regiom of the ORD S/W...If that pops taller into Canada ... it will trigger that western SPV to curl and subsume - that's a 1978 redux look there, but is hardly claiming analog - just the 'behavior' in principle... This GFS solution doesn't get it done ..but it's damn close! Yeah I bet we’ll have a few runs between now and end of next week that show some ridiculous solutions out in clown range. Fwiw, not exactly same evolution but the “blocky fujiwara” type development happened in the already-mentioned Dec ‘81 storm http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1981/us1206.php#picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period. Rain in Burlington, snow in NYC all over again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, Hoth said: Rain in Burlington, snow in NYC all over again? A mega block is not a requirement up here, Actually, We can get away with none and have before but it does slow systems down to give the big dog potential which usually end up further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period. Block all snow to DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period. The time of elephants…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: A mega block is not a requirement up here, Actually, We can get away with none and have before but it does slow systems down to give the big dog potential which usually end up further south. Yeah, maybe the big dog comes when it breaks down a la 2011. You crushed in that didn’t you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yeah, maybe the big dog comes when it breaks down a la 2011. You crushed in that didn’t you? Jan 12th? Better chance when it relaxes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period. It can go well too…..Feb 22-28, 1969 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It can go well too…..Feb 22-28, 1969 That fuji'd in the right spot but there was a lot of cold around with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 8 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Is there a modal upgrade today? What's being updated. https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn22-104_gfs.v16.3.0.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: Blocky fujiwara, Mentions of 2010, All nightmarish reminders of a really bad period. You had 3 feet Dec 81 great month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: You had 3 feet Dec 81 great month. Hmm, Don't remember that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn22-104_gfs.v16.3.0.pdf Ahh yes I saw that last month. Thanks for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 No weather balloon launches at Albany NWSFO until March! Won’t know if storms are coming until the day before lol!Public Information StatementNational Weather Service Albany NY943 AM EST Tue Nov 29 2022...The National Weather Service office at Albany, NY will be temporarily suspending weather balloon launches...Effective December 1 and until further notice, the National Weather Service office at Albany, NY will be temporarily suspending weather balloon launches. The reasoning behind this decision is twofold, the first of which continues to be the global supply chain disruption of helium, with a secondary reason attributed to the delayed arrival of a new upper air inflation building and helium piping at our new facility located in the ETEC building on the University at Albany campus.file:///var/mobile/Library/SMS/Attachments/d9/09/83B4799F-AF9E-4B2C-8F3F-4E674BD00C5B/UA_Outage_Dec1.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You had 3 feet Dec 81 great month. I have that pic of me in wonderful early 80s winter attire somewhere. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Jan 12th? Better chance when it relaxes. Yes. You got smoked 1/12/11, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Just now, Hoth said: Yes. You got smoked 1/12/11, right? 15.5" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Better clown maps coming............ GFS overestimates the accumulated snow depth for mixed precipitation events with marginal temperatures and underpredicts for events with very cold temperatures. The undesired snow depth predictions are associated with GFDL microphysics and the improper density used in the Noah land surface model for different frozen precipitation types. In this upgrade, the land surface model is addressed first by providing proper density to various frozen hydrometeors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 really nice to see the GEFS make continuous improvements over the Pacific for the last model cycle this is part of the reason why I think the EPS is handling this pattern better, as it’s been way more consistent over the WC and AK 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2022 Author Share Posted December 1, 2022 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It can go well too…..Feb 22-28, 1969 I predict some epic melts this month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I predict some epic melts this month. Who do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who do you think? someone in SE mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 What you get and what you see Things that don't come easily Feeling happy in my vein Icicles within my brain Something blowing in my head Winter's ice, it soon will spread Death would freeze my very soul Makes me happy, makes me cold My eyes are blind but I can see The snowflakes glisten on the tree The sun no longer sets me free I feel there's no place freezing me Let the winter sun shine on Let me feel the frost of dawn Fill my dreams with flakes of snow Soon I'll feel the chilling glow Don't you think I know what I'm doing Don't tell me that it's doing me wrong You're the one who's really the loser This is where I feel I belong Crystal world with winter flowers Turns my day to frozen hours Lying snowblind in the sun Will my ice age ever come? Black Sabbath 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: What you get and what you see Things that don't come easily Feeling happy in my vein Icicles within my brain Something blowing in my head Winter's ice, it soon will spread Death would freeze my very soul Makes me happy, makes me cold My eyes are blind but I can see The snowflakes glisten on the tree The sun no longer sets me free I feel there's no place freezing me Let the winter sun shine on Let me feel the frost of dawn Fill my dreams with flakes of snow Soon I'll feel the chilling glow Don't you think I know what I'm doing Don't tell me that it's doing me wrong You're the one who's really the loser This is where I feel I belong Crystal world with winter flowers Turns my day to frozen hours Lying snowblind in the sun Will my ice age ever come? Black Sabbath I am Irroooonnn man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 31 minutes ago, snowgeek said: No weather balloon launches at Albany NWSFO until March! Won’t know if storms are coming until the day before lol! Public Information Statement National Weather Service Albany NY 943 AM EST Tue Nov 29 2022 ...The National Weather Service office at Albany, NY will be temporarily suspending weather balloon launches... Effective December 1 and until further notice, the National Weather Service office at Albany, NY will be temporarily suspending weather balloon launches. The reasoning behind this decision is twofold, the first of which continues to be the global supply chain disruption of helium, with a secondary reason attributed to the delayed arrival of a new upper air inflation building and helium piping at our new facility located in the ETEC building on the University at Albany campus. file:///var/mobile/Library/SMS/Attachments/d9/09/83B4799F-AF9E-4B2C-8F3F-4E674BD00C5B/UA_Outage_Dec1.pdf Use that site for records for upper air soundings that sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Starting to see that classic 50/50 with a dip in the trough in the east on the mean. Even a little western ridge action. Long way out, but can’t complain about this 10-12 days out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: someone in SE mass Tblizz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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