ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 40 minutes ago, Heisy said: Makes sense, if you look at todays EPS members, the ones that drop snow start around Day 11 or so. Hopefully in 2-4 days we get some tease rollin’ . I’m sure there will be OP GFS and Euro runs in the next week days that pop fantasy storms. It’s funny though how much hand-wringing there is over not seeing them consistently yet. GFS has shown some modest snow events out in clown range but the angst over no KU type storms showing up reveals just how much the operational runs are dopamine for some of the forum. Show me something inside 6 days, and then we’ll talk. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 14 minutes ago, weathafella said: How much spread? The euro with 51 members should have less influence from outliers on either side. I was somewhat joking but you make a great point and that goes into what I mentioned in a post to Will (or maybe Ray) earlier about just taking a static ensemble image at face-value. In reality you probably also want to assess each individual member as well (but I mean who has time for this). The static ensemble mean is just giving you an averaged-look...which again can look fantastic and all but when you think of our biggest events they don't happen in a stagnant pattern...the pattern is typically evolving and morphing. Now during periods which are highly active, the pattern can be a bit more stagnant (and we have a wave train going on). I guess my point is ultimately its about the pieces and evolution of things during a short-term time scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Coating of snow possible for northern Mass elevations Thurs morning? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 @tunafishWere you by chance rooting for Iran today? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Coating of snow possible for northern Mass elevations Thurs morning? Highest spots may see some flakes to end? I don’t know if it’s enough to coat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Greenmtn won’t like the gfs again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Greenmtn won’t like the gfs again. Rains to Greens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Rains to Greens And all in between…everywhere that can be seen-the pattern is obscene but to the ensembles to see what’s to be gleaned 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 That’s it we’re fucked. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 30 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Greenmtn won’t like the gfs again. Pattern change right on schedule around the 11/12th. Wolfie is going to snarl just for posting the image, it’s only a joke. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Greenmtn won’t like the gfs again. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pattern change right on schedule around the 11/12th. Wolfie is going to snarl just for posting the image, it’s only a joke. Ahh whatever….he(GreenMountain) was/has been obsessing over GFS OP runs, that seems to be a waste of time imo, especially 10 plus days out. Like what was said earlier by some of our METS, it’s hard to find a problem with the Ensembles of both the American and European suites. That’s a nice problem to have. A few of us said a couple days ago, that we’d probably be better off if the nice look took hold more in the mid December time frame, and that just may happen. Which would probably benefit most areas in SNE, rather than in early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ahh whatever….he(GreenMountain) was/has been obsessing over GFS OP runs, that seems to be a waste of time imo, especially 10 plus days out. Like what was said earlier by some of our METS, it’s hard to find a problem with the Ensembles of both the American and European suites. That’s a nice problem to have. A few of us said a couple days ago, that we’d probably be better off if the nice look took hold more in the mid December time frame, and that just may happen. Which would probably benefit most areas in SNE, rather than in early December. I’m just busting your balls. It’ll snow, won’t rain all winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 28 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pattern change right on schedule around the 11/12th. Wolfie is going to snarl just for posting the image, it’s only a joke. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: @tunafishWere you by chance rooting for Iran today? I genuinely have no idea what you're talking about. My 'confused' reaction was because you're randomly chanting USA in the December thread. Did the NAM show something you liked? ---- 34/24F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 32 f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 15 minutes ago, tunafish said: I genuinely have no idea what you're talking about. My 'confused' reaction was because you're randomly chanting USA in the December thread. Did the NAM show something you liked? ---- 34/24F I figured he was cheering and rooting for the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 Nice snow event in Seattle today. It would be funny if this turned into a PAC NW deal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I figured he was cheering and rooting for the GFS. One word describes his posts. Beer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 24 minutes ago, tunafish said: I genuinely have no idea what you're talking about. My 'confused' reaction was because you're randomly chanting USA in the December thread. Did the NAM show something you liked? ---- 34/24F I mean only the World Cup which unless you’re living under a Tunafish how would you not know ? Even if not a sports fan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 wow at that 18z gfs. Half of December gone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 33 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’m just busting your balls. It’ll snow, won’t rain all winter. Oh I know..I got a laugh out if it. . Well Tigertorch is taking over where Greenmountaincoffee left off…lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Oh I know..I got a laugh out if it. . Well Tigertorch is taking over where Greenmountaincoffee left off…lol. Green wasn’t trolling though…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Green wasn’t trolling though…. Ha right, he was just making a post. Tiger is out here dragging a dead animal carcass across the tundra seeing if a Wolf will come bite it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Green wasn’t trolling though…. No, you’re right…he was legitimately worried, unlike Tigertorch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 wow at that 18z gfs. Half of December goneDon't we always lose at least one winter monthSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 I wonder what people are actually anticipating this pattern will do . We talk about being realistic in all and I know will and Scott do pretty good job doing that , I just wonder what folks will be satisfied with by New Years . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: Don't we always lose at least one winter month Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk We’ve already lost September, October, and November. How much more can a weenie take?! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I wonder what people are actually anticipating this pattern will do . We talk about being realistic in all and I know will and Scott do pretty good job doing that , I just wonder what folks will be satisfied with by New Years . I’d like to ask will and Scott this. What would be an acceptable snow amount for the pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d like to ask will and Scott this. What would be an acceptable snow amount for the pattern? It’s certainly going to vary by region and being early season distance from ocean (I would assume ). The goal posts will always be wide thus far out . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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