Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 27 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Wow, nice that it's black. Paradise Pond in LSF was crusty, except for thin part that just froze over... Stayed away from there. Yeah in your area, for sure. I always go out with a spud bar, ice picks, and wear a life jacket early season while I check thickness before setting up. Only way to be safe. Can't just go slap on your skates and beeline it for the other shore like some jabronies. People ice fishing today here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 You need to know your ice types and certainly test with a chisel. 4” black ice is rock solid. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: This is the last 3 weeks mean pattern. Hard to believe we didn’t do better. NNE didn’t do too bad…so much for fearing suppression. 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: And if you get rid of the transition period between 12/5 and 12/8, it looks even more classic Epic 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: How to get screwed out of a KU in one easy lesson Yeah. Mega storm still happened but just not in the way we wanted in our backyards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Whineminster said: Wow, nice that it's black. Paradise Pond in LSF was crusty, except for thin part that just froze over... Stayed away from there. Yeah in your area, for sure. I always go out with a spud bar, ice picks, and wear a life jacket early season while I check thickness before setting up. Only way to be safe. Can't just go slap on your skates and beeline it for the other shore like some jabronies. That's what we did as kids, one of my friends fell up to his neck, on a 5 degree day, by the time we got him home he was an icicle. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Plenty of bog skating on the south shore. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Author Share Posted December 28, 2022 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: This is the last 3 weeks mean pattern. Hard to believe we didn’t do better. NNE didn’t do too bad…so much for fearing suppression. I never, ever feared suppression this month...no brainer IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Author Share Posted December 28, 2022 9 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: How to get screwed out of a KU in one easy lesson This is why it's never wise to go with 2010-2011 totals in a la nina. The DM pattern may very well end up looking similar, but alot went right that year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 wow weekiles of gfs and euro show nada. no winter. It's because i bought the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 What a winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 6 minutes ago, ice1972 said: What a winter Patience, it'll happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Ugh….been super patient since Jan 2011….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 4 hours ago, ice1972 said: Ugh….been super patient since Jan 2011….. Unfortunately you are in a terrible spot in CT for great winters... even during some great winters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 18.9F low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 13.3F for a low around 3AM. prob the last “cold” morning for a while 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2022 Author Share Posted December 28, 2022 15.8 for the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 6 hours ago, ice1972 said: Ugh….been super patient since Jan 2011….. Forgot you guys missed out in 2015. I didn't get the brunt but still had a nice pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 hours ago, UnitedWx said: Unfortunately you are in a terrible spot in CT for great winters... even during some great winters Even so the recent winters have been shit…..they were better when we moved here in 2004 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 2 hours ago, UnitedWx said: Unfortunately you are in a terrible spot in CT for great winters... even during some great winters I thought Hartford historically averaged over 50” per year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I thought Hartford historically averaged over 50” per year? It’s around there…..better than being down on the shore……but we do get sucker holed being in the CTRV…..still….been shit lately 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 8 minutes ago, ice1972 said: It’s around there…..better than being down on the shore……but we do get sucker holed being in the CTRV…..still….been shit lately Early 90s winters were good in the Valley but generally it's not as good as East or West for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: Forgot you guys missed out in 2015. I didn't get the brunt but still had a nice pack. Had a real nice pack here too in ‘15…missed the real big stuff out east, but it was no joke here either. Ya, unfortunately he’s in a snow hole for a lot of the bigger storms there in West Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 meso guidance for tomorrow's highs is suspect. Too cold. Reading a cold tuck, with the warm front into Bangor ME, and a stronger HP to our south, than to our north. Strange. Been noticing this a lot lately for the short term mesos - it's as though the data assimilation has been to correct for cold tucks this time of the year; but it has "over-corrected". 850's are cooked. The 6z euro is 5-10 degrees warmer than the 12z Nam at 18z Thursday. Sun is out; no easterly/northeasterly winds. Buy the euro, sell the Nam. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 8 minutes ago, jbenedet said: meso guidance for tomorrow's highs is suspect. Too cold. Reading a cold tuck, with the warm front into Bangor ME, and a stronger HP to our south, than to our north. Strange. Been noticing this a lot lately for the short term mesos - it's as though the data assimilation has been to correct for cold tucks this time of the year; but it has "over-corrected". 850's are cooked. The 6z euro is 5-10 degrees warmer than the 12z Nam at 18z Thursday. Sun is out; no easterly/northeasterly winds. Buy the euro, sell the Nam. Looking at the soundings it's mostly just garbage mixing giving those 2m Ts. Should mix a little better than modeled with some light SW flow kicking in by the afternoon. Even NAM mos is 48 for MHT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I thought Hartford historically averaged over 50” per year? Yes, but isn't that measured at BDL? Also that valley area is the first to take a hit in marginal storms. Many years when I lived in Granby we were well above West Hartford, and would have snow otg when they had none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, ice1972 said: Even so the recent winters have been shit…..they were better when we moved here in 2004 You moved in during a decent period at the time. Usually does better than the shore yes, but sometimes not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: Looking at the soundings it's mostly just garbage mixing giving those 2m Ts. Should mix a little better than modeled with some light SW flow kicking in by the afternoon. Even NAM mos is 48 for MHT Yea. That number makes a lot more sense. And I'd take 50 for MHT before 45 given the overall setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: meso guidance for tomorrow's highs is suspect. Too cold. Reading a cold tuck, with the warm front into Bangor ME, and a stronger HP to our south, than to our north. Strange. Been noticing this a lot lately for the short term mesos - it's as though the data assimilation has been to correct for cold tucks this time of the year; but it has "over-corrected". 850's are cooked. The 6z euro is 5-10 degrees warmer than the 12z Nam at 18z Thursday. Sun is out; no easterly/northeasterly winds. Buy the euro, sell the Nam. ...and likely the start of at least a 7-10 day span of virtually no true winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Can't even shake a flake out of the clouds.Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Can't even shake a flake out of the clouds.Sent from my SM-G981U1 using TapatalkLt sn now.Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 nice little burst of snow at PIT2. That and the ice on the river are the only things that look like winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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