Snowcrazed71 Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: Remember two days ago when the GFS said this? LMAO. Brings tears to my eyes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 17, 2022 Share Posted December 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: I'm always amazed how cutters can be locked in several days in advance. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk I know what you mean. Cutters can be shown at d8 and rarely not verify. But how many times have we seen a big hit even 3-4 days out turn into a whiff or meh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2022 Author Share Posted December 17, 2022 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I am on the January is not going to rock train. Fair enough. We'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2.54" of water since Thursday. Sump pump has been running occasionally today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I am on the January is not going to rock train. Yeah it's going to be trash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 13 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I never thought the medium range would fail this spectacularly, though...not trying to imply that. My foreecast, never read yours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 11 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Fair enough. We'll see. Some serious mega torches showing up on ensembles and ops to start January. Massive Alaskan vortex 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Pigs gonna pig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 With that look, we may have to close some shades until at least the middle of January. At least the heating bills won't be so bad during the coldest time of the year...Hoping the ensembles are wrong, but who knows. We couldn't snow in SNE with a good look, maybe we will get lucky in a not so good look? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 New Historical site for records @dendrite @ORH_wxman https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Close them tight. Another terrible December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Yikes at the extended ensembles. Looks like late October the entire end of the runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Yikes at the extended ensembles. Looks like late October the entire end of the runs. Choo choo! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 We end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We end If the pig goes away, it will just shift into the west as a deep trough....rinse, repeat it seems. It all leads to warm/wet cold/dry for us. It might just stay warm/wet with that look.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, Spanks45 said: If the pig goes away, it will just shift into the west as a deep trough....rinse, repeat it seems. It all leads to warm/wet cold/dry for us. It might just stay warm/wet with that look.. The ratter word is starting to surface in some circles 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Nice slab of new snow near Mt Washington. Avalanche city up there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 The pattern would prob get pretty good if that low retrogrades to Aleutians like guidance is showing near the end. That’s an El Niño look…so for those wanting to flush La Niña, that’s what you should be rooting for. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The pattern would prob get pretty good if that low retrogrades to Aleutians like guidance is showing near the end. That’s an El Niño look…so for those wanting to flush La Niña, that’s what you should be rooting for. The GEPS is the best obviously while the GEFS is the worst, largely because it seems it does not want to go +PNA whereas even the EPS does...the good news may be that the GEFS denied the +PNA fairly strongly we are currently headed into 10-15 days ago while the GEPS/EPS did not so perhaps its wrong again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Yeah you can see the low retrograde a bit into early January. That would be a change to what we have now. More of a +PNA. We would need Canada to cool a bit first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah you can see the low retrograde a bit into early January. That would be a change to what we have now. More of a +PNA. We would need Canada to cool a bit first. I don’t want to be a alarmist but it could take 2-3 weeks to reset all of that… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you can see the low retrograde a bit into early January. That would be a change to what we have now. More of a +PNA. We would need Canada to cool a bit first. The question is does Canada really torch as fast as the ensembles show...it seems remarkable to me that we are torched by 12/29, usually it takes time when things go to crap for it to effectively muck up things downstream this far...I would not be surprised if the anomalies D10-12 end up cooler than currently shown, albeit above normal as the vortex does not really begin flooding Canada til 12/25 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Pretty close to punting until mid Jan. Gunna take a while to flush the piggy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah you can see the low retrograde a bit into early January. That would be a change to what we have now. More of a +PNA. We would need Canada to cool a bit first. Homebrew cold climo isn’t bad at least in early January. So even if Canada isn’t frigid I’d still take our chances in +PNA if we can get any sort of amplitude on that ridge. Further south you go, obviously it becomes more perilous. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Homebrew cold climo isn’t bad at least in early January. So even if Canada isn’t frigid I’d still take our chances in +PNA if we can get any sort of amplitude on that ridge. Further south you go, obviously it becomes more perilous. Yeah it works….I meant just the overall look. Should the EPS be right, it eventually shakes things up and cools the east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pretty close to punting until mid Jan. Gunna take a while to flush the piggy It’s not really a permanent feature. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The ratter word is starting to surface in some circles Damn you!!! Lolol I hoped you were wrong about December. Now please say something like we're going to have an amazing January. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I haven't even seen a dusting yet down here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Speaking of dustings… I had a minor one overnight or early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not really a permanent feature. Right, but to flush it and reset, it’s going to take time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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