ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 That Euro look was much better than last run....that blocking is in a great spot. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ray loves this depiction. Rain for Methuen, heavy snow for NYC I think there are still more changes in store, but yea.....if that happened, then this season would be challenging 2009-2010 for seasonal trauma inflicted in short order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Lucky to have a few other hobbies to partake in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: it’s the cmc but it’s been showing a big one pretty consistently over the last several runs. Euro is dead nuts with it now. Plenty of time to trend east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Euro is dead nuts with it now. Plenty of time to trend east. I think that maybe the deepest H5 low that I can recall seeing...at least at our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 That Euro look was much better than last run....that blocking is in a great spot.Give me 12z Icon confluence with 12z Euro shortwave ftw . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think that maybe the deepest H5 low that I can recall seeing...at least at our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Buffalo might as well be Antarctica if this run verified . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 These are the types of systems that conjure up the spirit of @Zeus 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2/15/15 had a similar strength H5 low....though the one on the euro today is much larger in size. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Yeah get that to the Atlantic please. My goodness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/15/15 had a similar strength H5 low....though the one on the euro today is much larger in size. You sick SOB lmao. I was literally posting that when I saw this come across. I believe it was sub 500 under us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2022 Author Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/15/15 had a similar strength H5 low....though the one on the euro today is much larger in size. How deep was '78 at H5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 EPS is much more favorable with the confluence ahead of the system of interest… thank the stronger blocking. it’s really a gorgeous block 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/15/15 had a similar strength H5 low....though the one on the euro today is much larger in size. One of my all time favorite beat downs. Cantore going insane in Plymouth with the thunder snow was icing on the cake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoth said: One of my all time favorite beat downs. Cantore going insane in Plymouth with the thunder snow was icing on the cake. I feel like this is underrated. Nearly 2' of snow in 6-8 hrs from near TAN to EWB. TSSN up the azz in PYM. Some of the heaviest snow I've ever driven in on my way to work...to the point I had to follow the guardrail on the expressway to know where I was going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 confluence is much stronger this run due to the better block. this greatly increases the odds of the ULL going underneath 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 I wonder when ‘ big events show up really early in the guidance ‘ should apply 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I feel like this is underrated. Nearly 2' of snow in 6-8 hrs from near TAN to EWB. TSSN up the azz in PYM. Some of the heaviest snow I've ever driven in on my way to work...to the point I had to follow the guardrail on the expressway to know where I was going. And all on top of like a 30” base. The pictures I took after that just make me shake my head in amazement. In fact I believe my avatar picture is one of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 EPS 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You sick SOB lmao. I was literally posting that when I saw this come across. I believe it was sub 500 under us. We sick… We remember… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Tongue out, slightly salivating… 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 The big ones most always present themselves with a huge signal even in LaLa Land. Anything close to verifying would be Major...details to be worked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I wonder when ‘ big events show up really early in the guidance ‘ should apply That's also where the melts come in. Because if not every run shows a blockbuster people panic And when people track for 9-10 days they lose it 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The way my luck is going, you'll get it. Shift the whole operation 75 miles east...and the dream comes true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That's also where the melts come in. Because if not every run shows a blockbuster people panic And when people track for 9-10 days they lose it Pretty rare for the models to latch on in the long range and never waver. March ‘17 rings a bell, and the ‘16 mid Atlantic blizzard too. But I can’t think of any since. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That's also where the melts come in. Because if not every run shows a blockbuster people panic And when people track for 9-10 days they lose it Mm talking about stuff that’s already happened though… Looking back in lore, the biggest events were in the models for like 15 days or something prior to the actual event verifying. At minimum a week. This signal got really bright about three days ago and it’s actually been there in vestige probably prior to that for several days as well right out to the very edge of the ensemble means when it was back when. If this becomes a blockbuster event do we add this to the list of those that showed up really early in the guidance I’m not talking about people setting up their expectations. I’m talking about how to use this as a prognostic tool 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Pretty rare for the models to latch on in the long range and never waver. March ‘17 rings a bell, and the ‘16 mid Atlantic blizzard too. But I can’t think of any since. Wasn't 2013 like that also iirc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Wasn't 2013 like that also iirc No....Euro caught on around 132-138 hours out and no other models joined until like 2 or 3 runs later. 12/17/20 was seen over a week out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Wasn't 2013 like that also iirc The goofus never got on board for that one, but Euro was all over it. Back when it was the King. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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