HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Sorry kids...there is no Santa Claus. Just a raw screw zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Even 1 more south of pike deal could do the trick...maybe another powdery CJ storm where scooter snorts streamers off of the ocean, and I get chocked out by subsidence. All of the kid's fuc*ing toys...out from under the tree and propagating or down welling onto the street..whatever the hell you want to call it. I'm ready to decouple. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: That makes me dizzy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That makes me dizzy I think it is because of looking at too many models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 56 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Is it wrong that I'd rather a hugger/cutter than a suppressed storm that crushes DC? No... At least with those first 2 options, st least you get some actual weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 GEFS will likely slide another few tics east and then Euro will play catch-up with its usual Messenger slides east under day 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Rays off the rails lol. One Euro OP run, and winter 22-23 is toast. The pattern is Incredibly ripe. We just had 3-5”+ last night, and more chances coming. I like where we stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: GEFS will likely slide another few tics east and then Euro will play catch-up with its usual Messenger slides east under day 3 I gotta agree on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: I gotta agree on that. I wonder what @brooklynwx99thinks? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Rays off the rails lol. One Euro OP run, and winter 22-23 is toast. The pattern is Incredibly ripe. We just had 3-5”+ last night, and more chances coming. I like where we stand. Well, there hasn't been much to support accumulating snow in his hood with this event in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Well, there hasn't been much to support accumulating snow in his hood with this event in a while. Ya I get it…been there many times myself. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 34 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That is an insane pattern on all the ensembles....doesn't matter whether its the EPS, GEPS, or GEFS. They all show it. Looks almost El Nino in N PAC. Idk if that will hold. Models have had a tendency to dump the trough out west first, a common Nina theme. They're doing that after the Friday storm now when they had ridging out west in earlier runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I wonder what @brooklynwx99thinks? Most likely something along the lines of everything looks good at day 9+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 This is nutZ. 400 m positive anomaly in the EPO region. What goes up must go down. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Idk if that will hold. Models have had a tendency to dump the trough out west first, a common Nina theme. They're doing that after the Friday storm now when they had ridging out west in earlier runs. Models dump the trough initially in the west at D6-7....but there is still a potent Baffin block, so it just slides east with time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, FPizz said: Most likely something along the lines of everything looks good at day 9+ Low blow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Models dump the trough initially in the west at D6-7....but there is still a potent Baffin block, so it just slides east with time. EPS look dude...let's go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: EPS look dude...let's go Big signal for Christmas storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS look dude...let's go Yeah here's the animation on day 7 through day 10....this isn't in total clown range. You can see how the big Baffin block just forces the trough to move east and not torch us....while heights behind it have to build....simple conservation of mass going on there. It's a nice look....hopefully it produces snow before Xmas, otherwise lots of melts, lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Low blow Ya I don’t get some folks? Guy brings great info and insight, and peeps making fun of that? SAD. The pattern is as good as it gets. But It doesn’t guarantee a snowstorm in your back yard. But it does make it much easier when the pattern looks good. Nuances can be a bitch. But I’ll take what’s coming up any F’n Day. Let the trolls troll. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah here's the animation on day 7 through day 10....this isn't in total clown range. You can see how the big Baffin block just forces the trough to move east and not torch us....while heights behind it have to build....simple conservation of mass going on there. It's a nice look....hopefully it produces snow before Xmas, otherwise lots of melts, lol. whats that thing that comes across the 21st and 22nd? that looks nice under pressing hi pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah here's the animation on day 7 through day 10....this isn't in total clown range. You can see how the big Baffin block just forces the trough to move east and not torch us....while heights behind it have to build....simple conservation of mass going on there. It's a nice look....hopefully it produces snow before Xmas, otherwise lots of melts, lol. 6 Inch mean ORH 12/23 12/24. I am fully expecting a major to fall before this pattern flips. Would be rare if we escaped this look without one. Sick teleconnections around the 22 to 25th. Lag in EPO dump matches as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 8 hours ago, CoastalWx said: That was a power flash. You can see the lights go out. Lol! I was deceived! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Big Baffin Block... that's the title of my next 90's rap album 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, bristolri_wx said: Interesting information... taken with a grain of salt. https://www.washington.edu/news/2022/10/03/study-suggests-la-nina-winters-could-keep-on-coming/ but our work suggests that climate change could currently be weighing the dice toward La Niña,” said lead author Robert Jnglin Wills, a UW research scientist in atmospheric sciences. “At some point, we expect anthropogenic, or human-caused, influences to reverse these trends and give El Niño the upper hand.” So, anthropogenic climate changes causes La Nina and El Nino. I wonder how much government grant money they received to come up with this crap? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Let’s get Friday to be snow or net gain at least before getting excited about next week. Tip and Will’s points about trends colder scenarios and reasons why still on target 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Somebody start a thread for friday............. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s get Friday to be snow or net gain at least before getting excited about next week. Tip and Will’s points about trends colder scenarios and reasons why still on target Yup, it may be a cliché, but you don't wanna be in the bullseye this early! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Somebody start a thread for friday............. Not me. My Fairfield County Crusher definitely did not crush me. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Weeklies look Nino ironically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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