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December 2022 Obs/Disc


40/70 Benchmark
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36 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Next!

NAO flipping positive right when we need it most. The block will be fleeting and escaping east as storm makes closest approach. Looks like a cutter.  I’m expecting 45-50F and rain in SE NH. Connecticut river west, gonna want to watch for sig snow chances. 
 

wave spacing awful.

AN airmass in cold source region. 
 

did I say next?

The past several winters have been like watching Franchy Cordero hit..

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

That is an insane pattern on all the ensembles....doesn't matter whether its the EPS, GEPS, or GEFS. They all show it. Looks almost El Nino in N PAC.

 

Dec12_12zEPS312.png

 

Just now, CT Rain said:

Yeah next week looks interesting

 

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I only see one major potential. 

 

I like that mean trough position and a good cold source nearby finally. 

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Even 1 more south of pike deal could do the trick...maybe another powdery CJ storm where scooter snorts streamers off of the ocean, and I get chocked out by subsidence.

All of the kid's fuc*ing toys...out from under the tree and propagating or down welling onto the street..whatever the hell you want to call it. I'm ready to decouple.

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