Weather Mike Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Lol… that high pressure north of Maine is real, and so is the -NAO. It’s going to exert its presence imo. Will it be enough for everyone? I think at the moment, if you’re WOR and off the immediate coast, you’re in the game at least. Let’s see how the rest of 12z goes. As it stands currently with obvious changes that could occur over the next several days. If I were to chase the best chances for powder would I be better off going to Maine (Sugarloaf) or Vermont (Mount Snow) ? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol… that high pressure north of Maine is real, and so is the -NAO. It’s going to exert its presence imo. Will it be enough for everyone? I think at the moment, if you’re WOR and off the immediate coast, you’re in the game at least. Let’s see how the rest of 12z goes. Agreed. Not feeling it here in the valley at the moment, but the elevated spots a little inland could do well here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Will check your messages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masonwoods Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Will check your messages The 12Z GFS appears to be making this next event into a long duration storm. Do you see this event playing out that way? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 This won’t be powder for anyone and to be honest I don’t think the resorts want powder given how bare most non snow making trails are . They want something with “meat “ that will stick to the grass or the harder man Made conditions on the few trails resorts have had open that are still decent . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, masonwoods said: The 12Z GFS appears to be making this next event into a long duration storm. Do you see this event playing out that way? It’s a great question… my first impulse would be to say yes because of the nature of the hemisphere being in a blocky regime. We are in a climatologically favored location for slow downs, stalls, and exotic types of retrograde behavior in general, during times of blocking. however there is a conflict with the basal state of the hemisphere and the La Niña - particularly this ladder factor is of importance because the hemisphere appears to actually be coupled to the La Niña basal state. that conflict in principle is probably related to why we saw the models with unusual stuff going on over the last week. Model performance is rarely held accountable beyond day six without a degree of incredulity (ha), anyway. But there have been some really rather extraordinary large mass fields movements across modeling cycles over the past week that have been hard to predict and rather unexpected even considering that. Anyway… it’s not abundantly clear that the slowing tendency of the blocking hemisphere will be able to operate without some influence from the other aspect. I’m inclined to think that we are losing a big closed vortex going underneath our latitude because of that … but the circulation medium still has a lot of mechanics that have to resolve its way through and it’s not going to go through the block. Therein fits taking the compromise - which is often the course of lesser regret in these conflicting scenarios Right/for now I’m leaning on a moderate impact scenario by our climatological standards moving somewhat slower than we’ve seen in recent year storm budget, with profiles probably a little colder than what we’re seeing now. That “moderate” may be open to some subjective interpretation understood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 20 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Appears you were right , that is slightly more inland like you said at 12z , not sure if John Was using 84-96 hour comparisons to highlight changes at 5H but I’m no met 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 16 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: The GGEM is sort of a SWFE. Gets accumulating snow in before the changeover even around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Appears you were right , that is slightly more inland like you said at 12z , not sure if John Was using 84-96 hour comparisons to highlight changes at 5H but I’m no met Pretty sure he meant earlier in the run, it started a bit east. I was just showing why dryslot said it was north a bit, at his lat/long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Jinx Hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 13 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GGEM is sort of a SWFE. Gets accumulating snow in before the changeover even around here. Maybe briefly at the start? For HFD. Looks like a quick changeover, but I don't have soundings or 1-3hr increments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Meanwhile in a preemptive move, American Rubber has temporarily rented a warehouse just inside the city limits of Methuen, MA. The warehouse is uniquely constructed with rooms and AR is outfitting each of them for the period 12/15-1/10. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Meanwhile in a preemptive move, American Rubber has temporarily rented a warehouse just inside the city limits of Methuen, MA. The warehouse is uniquely constructed with rooms and AR is outfitting each of them for the period 12/15-1/10. Any suites available? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: Any suites available? Their number is 1-800-WEENIES (1-800-933-6437) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hi How…hi? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Their number is 1-800-WEENIES (1-800-933-6437) I should have added asking for a friend. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Mmm nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How…hi? I used to have this gf (circa mid 1970s) who when I said HI-answered-"I wish I was") 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Wrong direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 50-75 miles east and a lot of people would be happy Let’s leave it where it is, for a change 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How…hi? Day off and fought a snow blower all morning, what do you think lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Euro looks liquidy in SNE outside of Berks and maybe nrn ORH. I don't see an improvement there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Meanwhile in a preemptive move, American Rubber has temporarily rented a warehouse just inside the city limits of Methuen, MA. The warehouse is uniquely constructed with rooms and AR is outfitting each of them for the period 12/15-1/10. More are going to join me after Friday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro looks liquidy in SNE outside of Berks and maybe nrn ORH. I don't see an improvement there. Shocking...its been locked onto this since 00z Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Euro looks liquidy in SNE outside of Berks and maybe nrn ORH. I don't see an improvement there. It was the opposite of a improvement . 925’s were cooked a bit earlier and the ULL was a bit stronger but didn’t trend for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Cmc analysis ftl. Some wise folks used to say “save a horse” but do we even have a horse these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Euro looks liquidy in SNE outside of Berks and maybe nrn ORH. I don't see an improvement there. Looks a bit colder at 925, but the track didn't really improve...so the only real difference is maybe a little more snow at the onset. Was hoping to see a jog east but not this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 SLP sitting over ME is not going to cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Blocking fail ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now