ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: That has Greenfield in the 50 percentile which seems about right. It's a bit low for ORH (ORH is around 60% in reality) but those national maps are always a little smoothed around localized elevations. Also, it doesn't help that ORH stopped reporting snow depth data in 1994 and there's no real close by coop to pick up the slack. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 So far, so good....not perfect, but decent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 It doesn’t get much better than a white Christmas but falling flakes at some point in the day is required. A crusty 1” of dirty snow may qualify as a WC but that’s not festive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It doesn’t get much better than a white Christmas but falling flakes at some point in the day is required. A crusty 1” of dirty snow may qualify as a WC but that’s not festive. Merry Christmas. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: So far, so good.... I was hoping you were referring to the 12z runs for Friday… 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Merry Christmas. I’d almost prefer it 65f with Santa tanning his belly on the deck…than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 GFS looks like a good event NW CT to ORH hills and points N. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 12z GFS ticks east some more at the surface and aloft, SLP just east of ACK, Looking better as far as the track goes, Looks a smidge warmer on the coast at the surface in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Gfs ends up east of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS looks like a good event NW CT to ORH hills and points N. Ya it does, better track and just missed changing over pretty hard in the 128- Merrimack valley belt . BL temps a hair too warm as 925 tickles 1c just to W of ORh up to MHT for 6-7 hours but man I would have to think if this airmass was better that is warning snows for 128 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 It's trying to slide a weak vort out which gives it an elongated look, but not running over Kevin's fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 That is long duration up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: That is long duration up here. Right into sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 That is Phil for someone. Grid collapser in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 That 925 track is usually Decent for 495 belt isn’t it?? . Hair S of block island Over to Chatham / islands . The airmass blows balls A bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 KTOL looks good on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Wachusett getting over a foot. Someone near the western MA/CT border with 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: That 925 track is usually Decent for 495 belt isn’t it?? . Hair S of block island Over to Chatham / islands . The airmass blows balls A bit Yeah... still a bit warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 There's going to be some big totals for areas that stay all snow with the duration of this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Track looks decent, but most of SNE is skunked with putrid marine air from that easterly fetch. Mostly rain inside 495. Maybe we flash to snow at the end in that run? AEMATT crowd looks out of this though ATM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 liking these 12z runs so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: KTOL looks good on the GFS It's about 1C away from going wild over much of the interior of SNE. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: It's about 1C away from going wild over much of the interior of SNE. Not going to lie, that sim radar of a firehose has me channeling my inner Tippy with it flashing over to pounding silver dollars. Hard to get that QPF with 850s below 0C and see rain, though I'm sure onshore flow has something to do with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: liking these 12z runs so far Well, the CMC looks like azz...so there's that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 GFS spitting out a lot of 1-2"+ qpf, Juice should not be a problem with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: KTOL looks good on the GFS I think these east pumps in bumps are real . I’m starting to get that tickle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Well, the CMC looks like azz...so there's that When doesn't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Well, the CMC looks like azz...so there's that moved in the right direction though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: moved in the right direction though Not really, It went west at the surface from 0z just glancing at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, ineedsnow said: moved in the right direction though Colder rain... actually, tropical tidbits clown shows 6" of snow for you somehow. But it is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 50-75 miles east and a lot of people would be happy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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