George001 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 hours ago, weathafella said: In some ways, sacrificing the 16th in sne for the pattern thereafter would up the ante. I am ok with that. How does sacrificing the 16th up the ante for the pattern after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Euro def looked a bit better for snow lovers in SNE. It still needs another couple ticks but you could see aloft how the H5 trough was trying to elongate W-E….if you can do that, it prevents the storm from cutting overhead and shunts it a bit more east. EPS mean had this rightward shift too. Instead of right over NYC it’s now tracking it over E LI. We will need a little more trending outside of the Berkshires in SNE, though. But still 5 days out. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Those maps are too liberal with snow....NARCAN will be worse....and more accurate. plus for most everyone whatever falls as snow would wash away one the rains move in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 hours ago, CT Rain said: There's been a lot of great research into Atmospheric Rivers by a lot of talented meteorologists. Not sure what the issue with the term is? I took it as meaning how the media started using the term Polar Vortex a few years back.... like it was something new, and all about climate change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 If the 0z gfs is anywhere close to correct, SNE closes the shades so to speak. Perhaps even leave the hobby for good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Day 3 OES big fat flakes 34. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 As to the 16th 6Z GFS is a little more interesting for SNE, at least western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, UnitedWx said: As to the 16th 6Z GFS is a little more interesting for SNE, at least western areas. Morris east shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 18 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: If the 0z gfs is anywhere close to correct, SNE closes the shades so to speak. Perhaps even leave the hobby for good Is that what you would do? Not happening man. Even if it turned to shit for the rest of this month.... I can tell you that us hardcore winter junkies aren't going anywhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Is that what you would do? Not happening man. Even if it turned to shit for the rest of this month.... I can tell you that us hardcore winter junkies aren't going anywhere. Why are we closing the shades ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Why are we closing the shades ? Just something Torch Tiger said 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: These are not big changes...its basically noise. Looks great living north of the 45th parallel! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Why are we closing the shades ? Just responding to torch tiger. He loves to stare the pot. With that said, from what I see, the models seem to be starting the east shift slightly. Again. That's a good sign. I'm sure things are going to change in the next couple of days. Nothing stays the same as far as track this far out ( Well it rarely does ). And with the way the pattern has been, I'm not surprised that will see back and forth with the models. It's not done trending. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Nice shift east on gefs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 High-level, blocking, doing its work in England. Thunder snow in London https://twitter.com/LondonSnowWatch/status/1602068732200865795?s=20&t=xSF1fpbqx610mmudWMjmRA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 High-level, blocking, doing its work in England. Thunder snow in London https://twitter.com/LondonSnowWatch/status/1602068732200865795?s=20&t=xSF1fpbqx610mmudWMjmRAWife worked the overnight flight to London. Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 28 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: High-level, blocking, doing its work in England. Thunder snow in London https://twitter.com/LondonSnowWatch/status/1602068732200865795?s=20&t=xSF1fpbqx610mmudWMjmRA That was a power flash. You can see the lights go out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Looks like two chances of rain on the euro. 1 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Have a feeling these major east trends we saw overnight are real 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 58 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Is that what you would do? Not happening man. Even if it turned to shit for the rest of this month.... I can tell you that us hardcore winter junkies aren't going anywhere. The ski resorts should be in good shape overall, so not all is bad. But for many of us: 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Euro gives Berkshire East area 24" Not bad 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have a feeling these major east trends we saw overnight are real We’ll see today. ORH to your hood really just needs one more tick and it’s prob a decent event. I think the really high end outcomes for SNE are probably out because we don’t have the block to the north linking up with the western ridge in Canada which helped shove the whole ULL under us…but if we elongate the ULL and force the midlevels more over the cape, then interior SNE can have a solid event, even if it taints a bit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 I can't find anything i didn't like in the overnight model runs, And i think they may even get a bit better for some. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like two chances of rain on the euro. Not exactly a great SNE look on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We’ll see today. ORH to your hood really just needs one more tick and it’s prob a decent event. I think the really high end outcomes for SNE are probably out because we don’t have the block to the north linking up with the western ridge in Canada which helped shove the whole ULL under us…but if we elongate the ULL and force the midlevels more over the cape, then interior SNE can have a solid event, even if it taints a bit. A net gainer of 3-6”+ would be lovely . My longitude may help back here… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We’ll see today. ORH to your hood really just needs one more tick and it’s prob a decent event. I think the really high end outcomes for SNE are probably out because we don’t have the block to the north linking up with the western ridge in Canada which helped shove the whole ULL under us…but if we elongate the ULL and force the midlevels more over the cape, then interior SNE can have a solid event, even if it taints a bit. I’m not sure if we can trend it enough for an all snow event but I do think we have a good shot at a net gain whether that’s snow to mix/rain ending as snow or some semblance of that. I think the cutter up the HRV or CTRV idea has vanished 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Not exactly a great SNE look on the models I’m just trying to get a rise. Posters like Hubbdave certainly still in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Unless we see some changes, I see nothing exciting through Christmas for most of SNE, especially east. More than likely year 13 in a row without a white Christmas here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Unless we see some changes, I see nothing exciting through Christmas for most of SNE, especially east. More than likely year 13 in a row without a white Christmas here Are you still asleep ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’m just trying to get a rise. Posters like Hubbdave certainly still in the game. Sure, but for a lot of eastern SNE. We need a lot of work for multiple threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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