MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Let’s get it 100 miles e/se over the next 5 days. Shouldn't be hard with the block 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 After today's system, May start getting some idea on the next once it clears the Northeast and begins to interact with the 50/50 low to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t know, it’s got work to do outside of the Berks. We hope and pray. Interior pattern as you said...as in up and in (interior ) We haven’t seen the ULL trend like we need it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Shouldn't be hard with the block Agree, there’s no reason to kick the can with this look. There’s no way in hell the low cuts with this blocking in place, and there’s bo way in hell the low stays weak with a storm this powerful. Could I be wrong? Sure, but despite the bad trends im not going to give up on the potential for a slow moving Miller B like that Canadian run had a few days ago. It could easily trend back to that. Yeah there’s a threat xmas week, but there is a big threat this week as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 So in this era of supposed global warming - we now have "Atmospheric River Events". We used to call them … wait for it … storms. We get all this breathless reporting as if we never had weather before. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11525523/Atmospheric-river-event-crashes-California-West-coast-millions-brace-storms.html I guess the media needs something new to replace the scary "polar vortex". 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Longitude (and elevation) is going to be a factor for the Friday storm me thinks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: So in this era of supposed global warming - we now have "Atmospheric River Events". We used to call them … wait for it … storms. We get all this breathless reporting as if we never had weather before. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11525523/Atmospheric-river-event-crashes-California-West-coast-millions-brace-storms.html I guess the media needs something new to replace the scary "polar vortex". There's been a lot of great research into Atmospheric Rivers by a lot of talented meteorologists. Not sure what the issue with the term is? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Longitude (and elevation) is going to be a factor for the Friday storm me thinks. Yeah - going to be pretty tough for many in SNE unless we see some fairly big changes. There's just not a lot of cold to work with as it looks now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 22 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Shouldn't be hard with the block I'd say odds are better than usual for positive trends 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 There was 6 straight days of precipitation on that 00z GFS run. Several runs have shown the synoptic QPF plus the meso-scale QPF. But that run was literally a week of snow. The strong blocking regime can lead to some solid upslope precip events as upper level lows get stacked over the low level heights. Cyclonic moisture and cold temps. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Longitude (and elevation) is going to be a factor for the Friday storm me thinks. As it looks now, plenty of time to change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlashFreeze Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 24° and 5.70” Snow so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: As it looks now, plenty of time to change. We all know the Day 6-9 progs will not verify. Literally anything is possible at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 In some ways, sacrificing the 16th in sne for the pattern thereafter would up the ante. I am ok with that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 It's going to be a lonnnggg week ahead. The emotional Roller-coaster of despair to elation. The "storm" is exactly why it's the best group of Weeners out there and when this forum shines. I'll state the obvious. Go ensembles, watch the trends AND avoid the pissin as-to-say from the OP's until Wednesday. Let the freak flags fly. Read more from the METS, try to keep the IMBY bellyaching to a minimum. It doesn't look bad for a crush-job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Santa needs 6 coats 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Season’s Greetings from the GFS 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t know, it’s got work to do outside of the Berks. Yeah. We have time but I’m not really feeling it right now tbh. Step in the right direction tonight I suppose. 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Santa needs 6 coats I love me some big cold, but that’s totally useless if I wake up without snow cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4.2" new snow here. Just missed the heaviest stuff to my S and SW where 8-8.5" fell in parts of the Berkshires. Although there wasn't much wind, I think there was a little upslope assist in that area with the SW flow in the mid levels. A decent little event that serves as a nice appetizer for what could be a very high ceiling snow event here late in the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 30 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: 4.2" new snow here. Just missed the heaviest stuff to my S and SW where 8-8.5" fell in parts of the Berkshires. Although there wasn't much wind, I think there was a little upslope assist in that area with the SW flow in the mid levels. A decent little event that serves as a nice appetizer for what could be a very high ceiling snow event here late in the week. Yup. I'd say 8+ in Lenox. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmo09001 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: So in this era of supposed global warming - we now have "Atmospheric River Events". We used to call them … wait for it … storms. We get all this breathless reporting as if we never had weather before. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11525523/Atmospheric-river-event-crashes-California-West-coast-millions-brace-storms.html I guess the media needs something new to replace the scary "polar vortex". Uhm, what? Come live in CA and you’ll understand. It’s not a gimmicky term. We have “storms” and we have storms that set up with atmospheric rivers. They can be mutually exclusive. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 EC is better from the snow lover's perspective than yesterday's 0z, weaker and further south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 Someone with Wxbell access or something can compare with 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 Tell tale sign a storm blows in when you are inside of 5 days, people talk about "positive steps" and you look to see that it's still nowhere close to giving you snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 These are not big changes...its basically noise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2022 Author Share Posted December 12, 2022 Those maps are too liberal with snow....NARCAN will be worse....and more accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: These are not big changes...its basically noise. How does it compare with 0z from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 ^This is a dumb question, disregard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: These are not big changes...its basically noise. I'll take that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said: EC is better from the snow lover's perspective than yesterday's 0z, weaker and further south Weaker is bad we want the low to get to the 970s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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