December 2022 Obs/Disc

[512high]

27F very light snow ASH......

[STILL N OF PIKE]

There was really only one good euro  run for a decent part of SNE yesterday at 12z 

looks like a Berks  S VT Monads to Whites deal with that ULL and antecedent airmass needing many in Sne to almost thread the needle . But I say almost bc we still got 5 days to trend this

[Ginx snewx]

Dec 12th 1992 Worcester 

[MJO812]

14 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Troll

[Snowcrazed71]

So give it to us. Who thinks this this storm is over for anywhere south of Vermont? 

Or.. Who thinks we still have a shot. 

Discuss.  

[George001]

Still time for the bad trends to reverse

[mahk_webstah]

25 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

It is good to see a high perched n of Maine?  Or is that your nao se ridge hookup you’ve been rubbin it to?

[dryslot]

Its out at hr 144, Every scenario is still in play.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Its out at hr 144, Every scenario is still in play.

From beer to running out of beer 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

14 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

It is good to see a high perched n of Maine?  Or is that your nao se ridge hookup you’ve been rubbin it to?

It’s the jma and ya the H is in a good spot but the  orientation is pure garbage as it’s oriented SE into gulf of Maine  and to add insult the return flow just West of that high is screaming north as the squeeze play from the Minnesota low aids that 

[wxmanmitch]

1.3" so far on .09" liquid, 21° F. Heavier snow has been trying all afternoon to push in from the SW, but keeps weakening as it pushes NE. 

Someone in the I-90 corridor from Albany into the southern Berkshires pulls a 6-8" out of this, while I probably finish with 2.5-3". 

Looking forward to what could be a good dump here on Friday, but whether it's a glorified SWFE that dumps 6-10", 8-12" or a slow moving nor'easter that dumps 18-24"+ is still very much up in the air right now. Regardless, I think this is more of an interior elevation threat given marginal temperatures and low that may very well cut inland across SNE.

[dryslot]

That's also at hr 240 on that map.

[Torch Tiger]

plenty of time for the 16th to get worse too

[Weather Mike]

1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So give it to us. Who thinks this this storm is over for anywhere south of Vermont? 

Or.. Who thinks we still have a shot. 

Discuss.  

any snow maps from the recent Euro ?

Tring to decide to snowboard somewhere in Vermont or Maine to chase this powder  

[alex]

8 minutes ago, Weather Mike said:

any snow maps from the recent Euro ?

Tring to decide to snowboard somewhere in Vermont or Maine to chase this powder  

 

[Weather Mike]

9 minutes ago, alex said:

 

thank you 

I may be heading to killington if that stays over the next several days. 

[EastonSN+]

GFS looks roughly the same as 12z. Looks frigid behind the storm.

[Cold Miser]

45 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

GFS looks roughly the same as 12z. Looks frigid behind the storm.

Because...

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

GFS looks roughly the same as 12z. Looks frigid behind the storm.

Nothing like a frigid airmass behind the rain....Regan era pattern. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nothing like a frigid airmass behind the rain....Regan era pattern. 

I didn’t want to say anything after looking at the OP runs, but it does kind of have the look of Rainer, frigid, Rainer, rinse, and repeat.

That would be a swift kick in the groin, to be sure.

[40/70 Benchmark]

If that one just before Xmas is rain, too, then I'll be in a rubber room.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I didn’t want to say anything after looking at the OP runs, but it does kind of have the look of Rainer, frigid, Rainer, rinse, and repeat.

That would be a swift kick in the groin, to be sure.

Yea, I know you are usually very reluctant to point out what sucks

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If that one just before Xmas is rain, too, then I'll be in a rubber room.

We haven’t even figured out Fridays storm yet in terms of mix/ ice/ rain / snow. My guess says snow to mix rain but net gain and then quick freeze behind front. Tremendous amount of spread on ens. 

[dryslot]

At 12z, They're a few more members east in the Atlantic then at 06z on the EPS.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Yea, let’s take it one storm at a time. 

[dryslot]

Ha, Just saw RJ Heim on news13 up here, Some of you must know him in SNE.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 hour ago, Weather Mike said:

thank you 

I may be heading to killington if that stays over the next several days. 

I just am not sure if will be powdah

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Regan era pattern

Yes, a bad president for NE winter weather.

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

If that one just before Xmas is rain, too, then I'll be in a rubber room.

That rubber room will be crowded.

[Damage In Tolland]

Man.. Ray just vanished