Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,608
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Vesuvius
    Newest Member
    Vesuvius
    Joined

December 2022 Obs/Disc


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

All Ensembles definitely looking a bit better to fight off suppression issues, but still a very long way to go.  The block can shunt it all south in a hurry.

5C061D17-4627-4AB3-80E1-FF4EB466FE8B.thumb.png.3bd4a7521f75de96d33f856eecbe8c6b.png

13074B4A-E8A1-4C06-ADA5-B14DD0535374.thumb.png.1f6a4ee0309cd9affa19cc5d975ca2d8.png

9D8FB88D-FD90-4A41-B050-0BDECB92DDB6.thumb.png.a7a75100656d0b99e547c0ed1bc7e21e.png

 

My thoughts haven't changed since Friday when so many were obsessed with suppression.

Mon.png

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Still time to go back to a more favorable result but we’ll need to see those trends start today . If it still looks like this 24 hours from now most of New England is in trouble 

Agreed.  Not looking good and hope's waning.  Everything is pointing to hugger.  At least we can have 40* and rain instead of of 55 and rain.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BOX AFD sums it up well

Thursday and Beyond... The main focus for the long term remains the potential for an impactful coastal storm sometime Thursday to Saturday. A bit of a windshield wiper effect has taken hold of the end of the long term forecast as deterministic guidance is having difficulty resolving the complex pattern that develops across the CONUS next week. As more data is incorporated into the models as the weather system tracks across the west, a better picture should develop over the coming days. Even so, some run to run consistency has begun to develop, and ensemble surface lows have begun to cluster off of the mid-Atlantic sometime in the late Thursday to early Friday timeframe. While there is significant uncertainty in P-Type at this time, confidence is growing that some sort of precipitation will fall across our CWA late week/early next weekend as the low tracks near to or over our region. NBM PoPs again range in the likely category, and unlike the last few evenings, we elected to keep PoPs at likely given growing confidence in the existence of the event. Trends will need to be carefully analyzed to evaluate the potential impacts and geographic range of accumulating snow.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ugly overnight runs flipped the script in a hurry. It is what it is…

Yup...but the extended GEFS look good

Hopefully we pick up a few inches today, but that seems to be moving north east as well. So we shall see... At least it feels like snow out there this morning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Yup...but the extended GEFS look good

Hopefully we pick up a few inches today, but that seems to be moving north east as well. So we shall see... At least it feels like snow out there this morning.

Yea. It’s active moving forward. We’ll grab something later too, not sweating every detail either. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...