George001 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 The gefs mean moved way north, at least 3-400 miles north of the previous run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 GFS added more separation between the main ULL and the one in the PAC. Need a little bit more, almost there. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 5 hours ago, weathafella said: Nice little FU to CT there. Downslope with a ginormous easterly fetch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 11.3° coldest of the season so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 11 minutes ago, mreaves said: 11.3° coldest of the season so far. 20.6° with a breeze. Looks like winter is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Cold advecting from off the water and 33.5. Legit airmass. Looks like CJ has begun down by PYM. Wonder if that is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cold advecting from off the water and 33.5. Legit airmass. Looks like CJ has begun down by PYM. Wonder if that is all snow. Little spits of drizzle here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 47 minutes ago, mreaves said: 11.3° coldest of the season so far. Fake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Cold advecting from off the water and 33.5. Legit airmass. Looks like CJ has begun down by PYM. Wonder if that is all snow. mostly wet here. radar has snow just over the canal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: mostly wet here. radar has snow just over the canal Temperatures just above us continue to drop into the night, so it will be interesting to see what happens where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 A few tiny flakes drifting down now. First of the season. 33. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Snowing here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A few tiny flakes drifting down now. First of the season. 33. Your gonna have to get updates from home at gtg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Interesting overnight runs with respect to the end of the week. I don’t think out to sea is an option right now. I do think some of the members starting out kind of tucky into New Jersey certainly could happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Snowing in north Carver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Snowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 6z GEFS have some huge hits Thanks id like to see this again at 12z GEFS and euro holds serve We will be all on our phones at funky Murphy’s as they roll in yelling like deranged weirdos 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Snowing Same here. Glad we live near the ocean 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 let’s wait until Monday to get too excited, but this is an amazing look 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Any SNOW is good SNOW! I'd be going to the GTG in a heartbeat only if I lived 1k miles closer. Today I can envision the uproar when the 12z comes rolling in reminiscent to the gathering in the South-end of Boston years ago, (almost booted out) LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: let’s wait until Monday to get too excited, but this is an amazing look So is that the upper level h5 primary in those pictures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 I missed the red eye flight overnight (still back around page 145 or whatever too many this is) but... the morning note was that the 06z GFS made a significant move back in the other direction ... However so telling that is, remains to be seen. In my snark late last evening resides elements of truth ... such that the previous ... I think 3 cycles of that model, the first in the series of which it went from a complete juggernaut on the previous ... to modeling that state of affairs on Pluto, neither of those 3 runs looked very much like the other. In other words, it was a continuity break to leap from the previous into the abandon state, but then it could not establish a consistent vision within the 3, either. So good luck parsing that out before 9 am on a Saturday morning... But upon seeing the 06z solution make at least a paltry attempt to rejoin the pack ... does two things: it pulls away from credibility over the recent GFS runs even farther; makes me yet again existentially question my purpose of being when I'm spending this much time writing about it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 CT PEEPS: Taking a scenic morning drive north and west of Simsbury. Any particular roads anyone recommends? I've looped the Barkhamsted reservoir on Rt 20 once prior... Might check out some of the more remote towns far closer to border in the higher elevations to scout property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 8 hours ago, WinterWolf said: C’mon boys….that hurt. I did say yesterday when I snarled at TBlizz, that this might be gone by Wednesday…didn’t think it would be gone by today lol. So give me a lil pat there. GFS is struggling with this…it’s in its “lose the storm phase”, as it does most every system at some point. Lol all in good fun. Love the overnight runs and 6z gfs/gefs. Clear nod to a big dawg. No reason to sweat details and qpf…don’t melt down yet @Hoth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lol all in good fun. Love the overnight runs and 6z gfs/gefs. Clear nod to a big dawg. No reason to sweat details and qpf…don’t melt down yet @Hoth I know..was just laughing when I read it. ya overnight runs were encouraging…ingredients seem to be in place…exciting days ahead. Tomorrow kicks off some fun. Looking forward to meeting folks today too. Gonna be a nice afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 1 minute ago, TalcottWx said: CT PEEPS: Taking a scenic morning drive north and west of Simsbury. Any particular roads anyone recommends? I've looped the Barkhamsted reservoir on Rt 20 once prior... That’s the best route but you can take it further west after the reservoir on 44 into Colebrook and Norfolk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 18 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So is that the upper level h5 primary in those pictures? 30 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: let’s wait until Monday to get too excited, but this is an amazing look So it's looking like the GFS is back closer to the euro again, is that what I'm reading with these two maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS…still quite a lot of spread Still a couple pages back ... but if it's any worth, the overnight GEF mean was hugely improved ( for winter enthusiasts ) wrt to this system over the prior mean/spreads.... The prior wasn't as freakishly miserable as the operational 's rather abrupt deviation toward oblivion during those 3 runs... but it was mid way. Don't want to over emphasize here ...but, the 18z GEFs late yesterday afternoon was beginning to side with the operational run, with only a vague impression remaining... escaping seaward. Here is the 18z vs the ensuing 00z Almost smacks as though some bad data got absorbed into the DNA of the handling during the last 3 or 4 cycles, and we've been getting green-eyed babies ...stressing the father's faith and trust in the mother. But the 06z mean leaped quite a bit back toward a major risk avn, with some members in there beneath climo depth, too. Yeah...stating the obvious, also... this is all beyond 120 hours, this last run -away child consternation... Maybe expectations for stability in the guidance isn't proportional to modeling skill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Hoth said: Nice little FU to CT there. Downslope with a ginormous easterly fetch? I have looked at this phenomenon a lot, seems that if you are directly north of the LP there is a tendency for dry slotting after the fronto passes. Perhaps the METS can opine with the actual specifics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Just coming out of the marsh from duck hunting . Big fat flakes . Mood snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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