WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: After next week we in the game. Hell much of SNE could be later next week if this were to go near or SE of ACK. I’m just not sold yet. But the fact we are even talking about this compared to a few days ago is pretty cool. Things have trended better for Sunday afternoon and night and also later next week for the time being. Great post. This was precisely my thoughts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 8.8% posts kicking in right there. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Great post. This was precisely my thoughts. Thanks friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So far west and dying. But yea I guess. Many examples of primaries into Detroit with Buffalo 60 degrees while we dump. The bigger issue is antecedent air mass from top to bottom , strength and location of HP and dewpoint feed. Obviously so far out it could revert to a soueaster for all we know. I’m trying to understand if the general set up favors an initial heavy thump (before the deep easterly Flow cooks the BL for most SE of MHT to ORH or wether there isn’t really that thump aspect where many can score a quick several inches , or otherwise I Think we depend on significant chances at 5H to get that secondary to keep winds Favorable for BL temps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 I’m expecting a burial on Friday. Even if the low track sucks, it can snow east of the low. We got over a foot of snow from a storm with a primary into Chicago a couple of years ago. Now the primary for this one is in Wisconsin, and yeah that’s not great. Does it need work? Yeah, but the pattern supports not only more aggressive secondary redevelopment offshore, it also supports a strong low, and a slow mover. This drastically increases the ceiling for all of us, even the cape, Long Island, and NYC are in the game for this. We have the NAO and EPO negative, the PNA is also negative. We have 2/3 favorable teleconnections which is very good for us. I don’t even think we had a negative NAO for that storm, this time we do have one. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 How’s it looking for Georges Bank? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: How’s it looking for Georges Bank? It’s creating its own cold 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 13 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m expecting a burial on Friday. Even if the low track sucks, it can snow east of the low. We got over a foot of snow from a storm with a primary into Chicago a couple of years ago. Now the primary for this one is in Wisconsin, and yeah that’s not great. Does it need work? Yeah, but the pattern supports not only more aggressive secondary redevelopment offshore, it also supports a strong low, and a slow mover. This drastically increases the ceiling for all of us, even the cape, Long Island, and NYC are in the game for this. We have the NAO and EPO negative, the PNA is also negative. We have 2/3 favorable teleconnections which is very good for us. I don’t even think we had a negative NAO for that storm, this time we do have one. 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: How’s it looking for Georges Bank? Like money apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 23 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m expecting a burial on Friday. Even if the low track sucks, it can snow east of the low. We got over a foot of snow from a storm with a primary into Chicago a couple of years ago. Now the primary for this one is in Wisconsin, and yeah that’s not great. Does it need work? Yeah, but the pattern supports not only more aggressive secondary redevelopment offshore, it also supports a strong low, and a slow mover. This drastically increases the ceiling for all of us, even the cape, Long Island, and NYC are in the game for this. We have the NAO and EPO negative, the PNA is also negative. We have 2/3 favorable teleconnections which is very good for us. I don’t even think we had a negative NAO for that storm, this time we do have one. JFC George. settle down Beavis 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: How’s it looking for Georges Bank? looking like it’s going to be overdrawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 26 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m expecting a burial on Friday. Even if the low track sucks Me too 2 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 This place is too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 I know it’s hard to believe, but George might be even more in fantasy land than James ever used to be. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I know it’s hard to believe, but George might be even more in fantasy land than James ever used to be. Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I know it’s hard to believe, but George might be even more in fantasy land than James ever used to be. It's still a little sus that George appeared almost immediately after James left us too soon. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Truth I cannot imagine what a broken weenie spirit would look like for him. Just picture the melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: It's still a little sus that George appeared almost immediately after James left us too soon. Nah. I thought that once a long time ago. But nope. James was James. He wrote his book. Then he passed. RIP 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Truth James, you couldn't fault that guy for trying. He truly believed what he said. God rest his soul 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Pants tent on weeklies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Nam fizzles our as precip reaches central parts of SNE, thankfully it’s not in its wheelhouse but I trust euro most in this set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 0z gfs fizzles this at CT River . Decent snows for C PA/ NY over to Hudson valley and Berks /W CT then things sorta shredded So far ..12z gfs was basically on a Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Modestly intriguing look at mid levels astride the NE coast at 120 hrs. Weird meso low out there roo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 0z gfs fizzles this at CT River . Decent snows for C PA/ NY over to Hudson valley and Berks /W CT then things sorta shredded So far ..12z gfs was basically on a Island CMC more robust, especially for New London area. Better for BOS area, too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: CMC more robust, especially for New London area. Better for BOS area, too. Yes , good call S CT- S RI nice band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Next weekends storm trended more favorable Earlier secondary with the primary further south. Great hit for the interior . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Hoo boy. That block is doing its job for Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Next weekends storm trended more favorable Earlier secondary with the primary further south. Great hit for the interior . Was waiting for this...so much talk about the south coast circle jerk. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Was waiting for this...so much talk about the south coast circle jerk. Wow a hair away from an all snow monster solution for most of us.. PA and interior SNE demolished 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Next weekends storm trended more favorable Earlier secondary with the primary further south. Great hit for the interior . I’m actually more concerned about this whole thing weakening in the guidance. The total manifold of the trough has been steadily losing mechanics in small percentages the last 6 consecutive runs. It could even end up being ironically weak and S in the end. But yeah … cross that bridge. Classic Minnesota squeeze happening in the models for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 GFS is a snowstorm next weekend. Still trending too.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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