CT Rain Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: What a GD disaster . Had a feeling I wonder what the latest 1" on record is for BDL. We'll probably make a run at it. 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The party starts late Dec for most. Until then, a random gtg or two for the interior. For anything big based on what the models are saying I agree it’s mid Dec at the earliest, more likely we wait until week 3 of December if not the last week. In March 2018, the blocking established itself in early March, but didn’t get clobbered by a massive blizzard until mid month (there was a big interior storm a week before, but the areas closer to the coast kinda got screwed). I’m expecting a similar progression, the first storm likely won’t be a snowy one, then we get a big interior storm where the coast gets screwed a bit, then mid to late month we get a monster blizzard for all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I wonder what the latest 1" on record is for BDL. We'll probably make a run at it. You hate to see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 GGW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You hate to see it Is the weenie train wobbling on the Tracks , can ginxy keep it going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 Not gonna lie....it's like a parallel universe in here sometimes. 5 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Well, at least the relaxation part of the pattern change looks to over produce from sne to Maine Cold and dry with that block, But that doesn't mean we can't get something to pop out of this, But that's something that i don't think is determined at long lead times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 Hopefully we aren’t doing a cold and dry wet and warm deal come mid month; or everything goes through the meat grinder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 I thought today’s GEFS look decent. Seems to offer multiple chances moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not gonna lie....it's like a parallel universe in here sometimes. Folks will take any modeled snow at this point lol. The guys at NCEP know it and make sure entire 16 day runs go by without dropping even a tenth of an inch of snow on the populous. All joking aside there is some dark humor in the “pattern finally goes cold and everything suppresses” type outcome deterministically. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: I thought today’s GEFS look decent. Seems to offer multiple chances moving forward. I do think it will get cold, but probably limited chances until it relaxes a tad. You never know though....a clipper or what have you can always squeeze in earlier. I think people assumed a switch is turned and it snows immediately. It typically does not work that way. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I do think it will get cold, but probably limited chances until it relaxes a tad. You never know though....a clipper or what have you can always squeeze in earlier. I think people assumed a switch is turned and it snows immediately. It typically does not work that way. I like that split flow look with the block keeping things under us on the long range GEFS. GEPS was much warmer. Pretty snowy look to me by mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 19 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is the weenie train wobbling on the Tracks , can ginxy keep it going 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 14 minutes ago, weathafella said: Has the MA ever been snow wise ground zero in a nina? Maybe 1995-96 but that was widespread wealth. I’m not sure, but if so I would think it would be a Nina much weaker than this one. I’m curious as well, I think some of the mets here have that data though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 11 hours ago, weathafella said: My memory of 1969 is that it was kind of meh. But we had a huge qpf bomb that turned to a driving rainstorm in Boston that probably dumped good snows west of 495. This was around the holiday period. 35 to 40 to your west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2022 Author Share Posted November 28, 2022 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not gonna lie....it's like a parallel universe in here sometimes. I'm kind of glad that I haven't started my subscriptions yet.....I remain on an oasis of sanity amidst the AMWX sea of neurosis. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 26 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I wonder what the latest 1" on record is for BDL. We'll probably make a run at it. Well... Let's hope that we can make up for what we don't see in the next several weeks. I'm hopeful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 28 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I wonder what the latest 1" on record is for BDL. We'll probably make a run at it. I remember this post in Dec 14 exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: No pattern change to see here Mowvember ends on the 25th…? Why do that if most of us threaten 60 again on the 30th? Cutting calendars for the snow weenies. I guess I’d feel desperately apologetic too, if i lead them off a forecast cliff. Especially when it was done in class @ORH_wxmanfasion—by cutting and pasting model output past 240 hrs. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 It would go a long ways if the models showed a threat or two. Any of the globals for that matter. It's like the ensembles are singing "do you see what i see?" and the OP's are like "nope"...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 30 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I wonder what the latest 1" on record is for BDL. We'll probably make a run at it. 2/2/07 We pray 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not gonna lie....it's like a parallel universe in here sometimes. Lots of beer, edibles and wine. We see it coming but until the day of, this place is an epic disaster 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Mowvember ends on the 25th…? Why do that if most of us threaten 60 again on the 30th? Cutting calendars for the snow weenies. I guess I’d feel desperately apologetic too, if i lead them off a forecast cliff. Especially when it was done in class @ORH_wxmanfasion—by cutting and pasting model output past 240 hrs. Asperita Santus una Padre Santus...All of you wops getta offa my lawn. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Mowvember ends on the 25th…? Why do that if most of us threaten 60 again on the 30th? Cutting calendars for the snow weenies. I guess I’d feel desperately apologetic too, if i lead them off a forecast cliff. Especially when it was done in class @ORH_wxmanfasion—by cutting and pasting model output past 240 hrs. Only in the Vatican is 12 days of AOB average temps after record warmth the first 10 days of the month is considered no pattern change. 3 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2022 Author Share Posted November 28, 2022 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 35 to 40 to your west. Yea, I had about 3'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 12 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Mowvember ends on the 25th…? Why do that if most of us threaten 60 again on the 30th? Cutting calendars for the snow weenies. I guess I’d feel desperately apologetic too, if i lead them off a forecast cliff. Especially when it was done in class @ORH_wxmanfasion—by cutting and pasting model output past 240 hrs. You’re unhinged. Too much wine and not enough trips to the confessional. Get it together, and fast. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lots of beer and wine. We on edibles see it coming but until the day of, this place is an epic disaster 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 So much anger 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 28, 2022 Share Posted November 28, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I had about 3'. Not in Dec '69. Feb '69 maybe. Dec '69 was huge in far western New England....but it was merely just very good over interior spots like from ORH to CON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2022 Author Share Posted November 28, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Not in Dec '69. Feb '69 maybe. Dec '69 was huge in far western New England....but it was merely just very good over interior spots like from ORH to CON. Oh, I saw 1969 and immediately assumed Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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