powderfreak Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Hey ya 'all. I have not been on the forms much lately. Busy with other stuff. I just happened to look at the crazy 18Z GFS Kuchera clown map through the whole run. Can we lock in the 45-55" of snow for a good chunk of CNE/NNE? Wake me up when we are within about 5 days or so. Poor Tolland? Surgical strike by the NCEP guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Hey ya 'all. I have not been on the forms much lately. Busy with other stuff. I just happened to look at the crazy 18Z GFS Kuchera clown map through the whole run. Can we lock in the 45-55" of snow for a good chunk of CNE/NNE? Wake me up when we are within about 5 days or so. That map was drawn by a NE skier.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Feb 7 2003 was a real good short term bust too. 2-4” turned into 16”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Feb 7 2003 was a real good short term bust too. 2-4” turned into 16”. Some of the best snowgrowth possible. I was in NC for that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Some of the best snowgrowth possible. I was in NC for that in one It’s some of the best I’ve ever seen. Barely any wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s some of the best I’ve ever seen. Barely any wind. I hate windy powder storms. So much snow is ruined. Give me 31 with S++ and calm 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I hate windy powder storms. So much snow is ruined. Give me 31 with S++ and calm Boxing Day must have been your favorite. 50 mph winds whipping dryslot snow grains. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I hate windy powder storms. So much snow is ruined. Give me 31 with S++ and calm That was March 2019. Last year was your favorite. Deformation white out blown all over lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 18z vs. 12z EPS a touch less robust for 12/12 system... can't see H5 but guessing continues 12z-18z theme today of greater block... fluctuations in outcomes today but certainly track-worthy, especially if shortwave comes in stronger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 The thing about windy storms, is that you don’t have a lot of compaction the next day. I realize that I absolutely cannot stand seeing a softly fallen snow compact to half its depth in eight hours. The worst is when you see those lines on the fence where the snow was and then where it is currently. That just makes me angry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: 18z vs. 12z EPS a touch less robust for 12/12 system... can't see H5 but guessing continues 12z-18z theme today of greater block... fluctuations in outcomes today but certainly track-worthy, especially if shortwave comes in stronger 12/12 is a lost cause for me....Ground Hog day finding a way to LBSW. Need the one after because if that is rain, I may lose it early on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12/12 is a lost cause for me....Ground Hog day finding a way to LBSW. Need the one after because if that is rain, I may lose it early on. I messaged Ant to see if he could take some videos of him doing donuts in the cruiser in snow covered parking lots down in NYC and send them to you Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The thing about windy storms, is that you don’t have a lot of compaction the next day. I realize that I absolutely cannot stand seeing a softly fallen snow compact to half its depth in eight hours. The worst is when you see those lines on the fence where the snow was and then where it is currently. That just makes me angry. Gotta have wind. And lots of it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 air isn't snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Reservoirs still showing signs of stein around here. Believe it or not lol. Drink less water. More beer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: Gotta have wind. And lots of it... Yep Jan Blizzard 2022 was epic wind and snow wise. I love when the roof drifts 6 to 7 feet high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Yep Jan Blizzard 2022 was epic wind and snow wise. I love when the roof drifts 6 to 7 feet high. Yup, wind driven powder all the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The thing about windy storms, is that you don’t have a lot of compaction the next day. I realize that I absolutely cannot stand seeing a softly fallen snow compact to half its depth in eight hours. The worst is when you see those lines on the fence where the snow was and then where it is currently. That just makes me angry. Angry enough to attack a snowblower with a shovel? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I messaged Ant to see if he could take some videos of him doing donuts in the cruiser in snow covered parking lots down in NYC and send them to you Monday. Watch the block be strong enough to crunch Monday, but not enough to deflect Friday far enough south. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Watch the block be strong enough to crunch Monday, but not enough to deflect Friday far enough south. Oh ya…you/we know that is a distinct possibility lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: Oh ya…you/we know that is a distinct possibility lol. I may just need ro rinse this 12 year la nina out once and for all and start with a clean slate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12/12 is a lost cause for me....Ground Hog day finding a way to LBSW. Need the one after because if that is rain, I may lose it early on. Yeah I hear you. I'd say more smeared southeast than too early LBSW Maybe ensembles last night were a flash in the pan and we'll see the block dominate going forward. Still very possible to get a better outcome, e.g. if shortwave comes in stronger In any case, I'm just hoping to see my first flakes lol... Similar to your outlook, I'm keeping my higher expectations for more favorable PNA hopefully late December into January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Boxing Day must have been your favorite. 50 mph winds whipping dryslot snow grains. Those are the storms where a foot of snow is blown off certain spots on the driveway. I’m pretty sure that was the storm parts of the lawn in exposed spots had grass blades showing after 10+ while other spots had feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Yeah I hear you. I'd say more smeared southeast than too early LBSW Maybe ensembles last night were a flash in the pan and we'll see the block dominate going forward. Still very possible to get a better outcome, e.g. if shortwave comes in stronger In any case, I'm just hoping to see my first flakes lol... Similar to your outlook, I'm keeping my higher expectations for more favorable PNA hopefully late December into January Semantics...I don't mean LBSW as in occlusion. It gets shunted further se the more ne it comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Watch the block be strong enough to crunch Monday, but not enough to deflect Friday far enough south. Monday is a loss cause up here, Just watching the next one and the one after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Angry enough to attack a snowblower with a shovel? How do you have that on file? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Semantics...I don't mean LBSW as in occlusion. It gets shunted further se the more ne it comes. You’re talking two events that IMO are lower prob. Not worth getting worked up if they don’t work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I may just need ro rinse this 12 year la nina out once and for all and start with a clean slate. I’ll take slack for this.. said it for years but I hate Nina’s. In a general sense they are not good for New England .Sure a rare few have been with the right ducks lined up .. but overall we want neutral or Nino . When I see a Nina .. I always prepare for a subpar winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll take slack for this.. said it for years but I hate Nina’s. In a general sense they are not good for New England .Sure a rare few have been with the right ducks lined up .. but overall we want neutral or Nino . When I see a Nina .. I always prepare for a subpar winter I would rather have el nino all things equal, but a super el nino is the worst 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: How do you have that on file? Americanwx searches are fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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