SnoSki14 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: airmass is not great SW of NYC-probably mostly rain if that's the case A small piece of the PV has been shifting SW with each run so there is cold air to be found Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 CNE/NNE will wait until the block relaxes some, I don't see any chances until after the 15th or so up here, 12/12 looks to be more of a SNE deal down thru NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Pre-Christmas miracle coming on the GFS? Rainer…. for SNE anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Rainer…. for SNE anyway PF frolicking by the picnic tables and Mitch burying bodies with a smile as Ray sets fire to his Christmas tree and Kev takes a baseball bat to his beloved truck in anger. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: PF frolicking by the picnic tables and Mitch burying bodies with a smile as Ray sets fire to his Christmas tree and Kev takes a baseball bat to his beloved truck in anger. Bbbbuutt the block . No worries ! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Bbbbuutt the block . No worries ! I feel great. We’re in the game for real now. That gfs run was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: PF frolicking by the picnic tables and Mitch burying bodies with a smile as Ray sets fire to his Christmas tree and Kev takes a baseball bat to his beloved truck in anger. Bit too suppressed here. Must be the block . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Bbbbuutt the block . No worries ! Blocka! Blocka! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Blocka! Blocka! Glock it in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That was kind of the trend at 12z. I find it hard to believe that shortwave is going to beef up enough to counter the pressing block. Lmao…You found it hard to believe any snow, or winter type weather at all would be possible most all month, just a day or two ago.…funny how that works. Ginxy gonna rip your ticket! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 The 22nd/23rd would work on the GFS Megalopolis grid collapse just in time for Christmas. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The 22nd/23rd would work on the GFS Megalopolis grid collapse just in time for Christmas. Holy smokes…that’s the end of power for Xmas on that depiction..you ain’t kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lmao…You found it hard to believe any snow, or winter type weather at all would be possible most all month, just a day or two ago.…funny how that works. Ginxy gonna rip your ticket! He’s been finding rain and misses since 2013. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Excited to have lots to track the next few weeks. Let’s do this! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Ended up with 1.43 over 4 in 10 days. Old swamp Yankee once told me winter doesn't take hold until the river banks are full. It's time 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ended up with 1.43 over 4 in 10 days. Old swamp Yankee once told me winter doesn't take hold until the river banks are full. It's time Checking the creeks running near bankfull on the way into work today all I could picture was Ginxy nodding along like Jeremiah Johnson. 2 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s been finding rain and misses since 2013. Ain’t that the truth… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Reservoirs still showing signs of stein around here. Believe it or not lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reservoirs still showing signs of stein around here. Believe it or not lol. If only you actually knew how much rains you’d had other than the 3 other soup can rain gauges down the street in S Wey 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 26 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Holy smokes…that’s the end of power for Xmas on that depiction..you ain’t kidding. Obviously an op that has been all over the place so its mostly posted in jest because I find it incredible that we've basically gone from punting December to the GFS showing multiple nuclear detonations over the region in the days before Christmas. The roller coaster is something else around here and I love it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If only you actually knew how much rains you’d had other than the 3 other soup can rain gauges down the street in S Wey Mine says 0.0 must have poop? Other gauge was about .9 eyeballing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Obviously an op that has been all over the place so its mostly posted in jest because I find it incredible that we've basically gone from punting December to the GFS showing multiple nuclear detonations over the region in the days before Christmas. The roller coaster is something else around here and I love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Mine says 0.0 I’ve been drunk beer pooping in it . Other gauge was about .9 eyeballing. I don’t know even know what to say here. …. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: It happened in 1997....I think 12/11/97 (ironic its almost the same exact date is this upcoming system)....part of S CT got 5-8" while pike got skunked. South of pike into N CT got like 2-5". ORH prior to that had a 5" event in November, but hadn't gotten warning snows yet. They did get 18 inches though 12 days later on 12/23/97. I remember the 12/11 system though because it was originally forecasted to be 3-6" for ORH and then in the final day they kept cutting amounts and settled on 1-3" and we actually got zero. About 10 miles south had 2-3". I remember seeing cars driving north into the city on 290 with snow all over them and it made me furious. Wow, Will. Your memory never ceases to amaze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 18z euro actually looks more amped than 12z for 12/12. Wish we could see another couple panels past 90h 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro actually looks more amped than 12z for 12/12. Wish we could see another couple panels past 90h EPS at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 48 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Holy smokes…that’s the end of power for Xmas on that depiction..you ain’t kidding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Wow, Will. Your memory never ceases to amaze. Funny part was when we whiffed on that event and then got nothing for another week, I was really bummed because I thought it cost us a white Xmas, but then 12/23 happened and all worries were buried under 18” in 6 hours. Tip is correct that this was probably THE generational short term bust in our area (central to east-central MA). I don’t recall one prior to that or since then that was worse. We’ve had plenty of bad ones but nothing of that magnitude. The forecast was literally 1-3” at start time. I think a couple Mets saw the radar to the south and upped it to 3-5” pretty fast (I remember Todd Gross on WHDH that morning saying something like “there could be some surprises with this one” as it looks to be developing a lot faster than models showed.”) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: EPS at all Not out yet. Prob 20 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Hey ya 'all. I have not been on the forms much lately. Busy with other stuff. I just happened to look at the crazy 18Z GFS Kuchera clown map through the whole run. Can we lock in the 45-55" of snow for a good chunk of CNE/NNE? Wake me up when we are within about 5 days or so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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