Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The data is in front of you. Your tipper getting to tipsy? All match with here within a tenth. Enjoy your non station and use others for data 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Do we need an 11/12 storm thread? This is getting confusing. no, not needed at all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: All match with here within a tenth. Enjoy your non station and use others for data We * Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 38 minutes ago, tavwtby said: yeah I was going to say thought I remembered that from the Eastern days.. Mike Ekster is the creator of the term. We kept discussing on eastern in Dec 2007 on how to decribe all these events that kept walloping us aloft with southwest flow but stayed cold in the low levels and he said "they are basically just southwest flow events" and then we started using the term on there and it stuck. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Train needs fixing. Fixed 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Euro is looking a bit more robust with shortwave for 12/11-12/12....but the confluence to the northeast looks much stronger. The block is flexing its muscles this run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 More confluence but that shortwave is significantly deeper, so it's fighting it. Should be a good hit at least for western zones....we'll see if it can get enough moisture east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 I'll enjoy my flakes. Won't lose sleep if tis misses as it's sort of gravy anyways. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 56 minutes ago, George001 said: I still think it’s going to turn into a Miller B. Probably favors CNE and NNE though. George, no offense but you think that every shortwave the atmosphere farts out is going to be a miller B 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll enjoy my flakes. Won't lose sleep if tis misses as it's sort of gravy anyways. That's close to something a lot better...if we can just curl that little vortmax up into SE SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2022/12/active-mid-december-pattern-poised-to.html 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: That's close to something a lot better...if we can just curl that little vortmax up into SE SNE. I know. I got excited when I saw that, but then looked north and saw those blue height changes moving south. I agree...that is real close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 This is really close to a bigger hit CMC-style 0z-12z Euro trended more stout and slightly more west with ridge over Minnesota, and the diving shortwave is stronger That 50-50 low feature is stronger so it's a balancing act, but we're not far off from a bigger hit EPS trends last night making me more confident many areas in SNE see their first flakes at least (and my first season post) 30-year anniversary... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I know. I got excited when I saw that, but then looked north and saw those blue height changes moving south. I agree...that is real close. I'd hate to see you Mass guys get shit-streaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I'd hate to see you Mass guys get shit-streaked. I'll probably miss that to the southwest, then the Friday deal is good for NNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Fixed Looks good at day 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I'd hate to see you Mass guys get shit-streaked. Like I said..it's gravy. If you guys grab a few inches it's all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 To some of the comments above, I would take it as a huge step to get some OES flakes and mood snows going next week. As long as we don't have to break out the shorts in December again, I will take this as a win / step to some more sensible winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 30 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Do we need an 11/12 storm thread? This is getting confusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Like I said..I’ll make gravy. If you and a couple guys grab and tug my few inches it's all good. ???? Hopefully more than that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: ???? Hopefully more than that Before 12/20? Nah... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Euro trying to push the 50/50 PV lobe into N Maine after the 12/12 system. -20C 850 temps....maybe CAR will be cold afterall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That's close to something a lot better...if we can just curl that little vortmax up into SE SNE. Still trending IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 Models won't accurately portray a very blocked flow until it sees the whites of its eyes, no pun intended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Quick tidbit off euro, anyone ever see model show relative velocity (correct?) wave like this? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro trying to push the 50/50 PV lobe into N Maine after the 12/12 system. -20C 850 temps....maybe CAR will be cold afterall. Initially the airmass is much colder post 12/12 system but then that departing low curls up and retrogrades much more and it Looks like it wraps Slightly milder air into NNE just before that 12/16 system approachEs but not sure the effect at hour 186 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 Block looks better relative to 00z....lost that silly ULL W side of Hudson's Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 hours ago, Hoth said: As much as I’d like to believe these, I’m tossing simply on the basis that southern CT never gets warning snows before ORH. It happened in 1997....I think 12/11/97 (ironic its almost the same exact date is this upcoming system)....part of S CT got 5-8" while pike got skunked. South of pike into N CT got like 2-5". ORH prior to that had a 5" event in November, but hadn't gotten warning snows yet. They did get 18 inches though 12 days later on 12/23/97. I remember the 12/11 system though because it was originally forecasted to be 3-6" for ORH and then in the final day they kept cutting amounts and settled on 1-3" and we actually got zero. About 10 miles south had 2-3". I remember seeing cars driving north into the city on 290 with snow all over them and it made me furious. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 NNE may stay frozen on this Euro run for 12/15-16. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Conventional wisdom is unfortunately not on Dec 12ths side tho. You have S/W translating along an anti cyclonic curved trajectory … I’m not sure the models aren’t ‘magnifying’ too hmm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now