Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 4:38 PM, powderfreak said: Haha, I didn't even really pay attention as much there but does he live right where that little white dot of 0.0" is between the next week? Expand ...like a long bike ride from it, anyway. Yeah - weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 4:47 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Plenty of time to move that 0.0” pinpoint hole on the GFS a little east to center it over Methuen. Expand Bet the house on that. It has been so bad that numerous people have gotten out of the snowplowing business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Guys, the 850 mb 5-day temp anomaly progression on the 06z GEFS is yummy. Plenty of chances for snow over the next several weeks, buckle up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 5:27 PM, Henry's Weather said: Guys, the 850 mb 5-day temp anomaly progression on the 06z GEFS is yummy. Plenty of chances for snow over the next several weeks, buckle up Expand Henry's Weenie 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 4:28 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Ray gets singled out for persecution by an unjust god though - Expand Is that tiny dot of nothing right over Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:00 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: Is that tiny dot of nothing right over Ray? Expand Its over Lowell, about 10-12 mi to my SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Poor Ray-he missed out on the 0.6 inch total nearby….. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:05 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its over Lowell, about 10-12 mi to my SW. Expand You should be doing a lot better given that locale. One of these days we’re going to get a slow moving monster just inside the bm that can’t gain much more latitude giving your area 30-40 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:07 PM, weathafella said: You should be doing a lot better given that locale. One of these days we’re going to get a slow moving monster just inside the bm that can’t gain much more latitude giving your area 30-40 inches. Expand March 5, 2001 redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:05 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its over Lowell, about 10-12 mi to my SW. Expand it's actually 2 miles on methuen st. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Euro looks good for interior SNE Secondary more east and slightly faster transfer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Should be decent hit for CNE/NNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:32 PM, dryslot said: Should be decent hit for CNE/NNE too. Expand Any love for the coast? Still fighting early season climo with this type of system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:34 PM, PWMan said: Any love for the coast? Still fighting early season climo with this type of system. Expand Your going to need more help, Its borderline here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:27 PM, MJO812 said: Euro looks good for interior SNE Secondary more east and slightly faster transfer Expand I knew it would do that ... I haven't seen it yet, but I suspect you are right just because of 'why' I thought it would do so. Ha. seriously though. The stuff I was talking about more of a L/W whole-scale move (toward) the guidance, as opposed to a 'tumbler' trough would tend to offset the W position lows that materialize nearing the coast. The sad part is...the tumbler would have been the best if it could stay south. Will and I, and others ...were musing at the party last night that the runs yesterday were sort of leaning that way - it was impressive... But, alas it didn't last. Anyway, better of the loss is to have it this way - so lucky in that regard. You know...I still have a problem with the whole evolution of this period in question. The -NAO appears to move out at the convenience of the trough moving into Ontario,... but it can also happen that way. There plenty of precedence and real personal experience, however, with blocks being dismantled too quickly, or handled improperly by mid range modeling. Something else that suddenly occurred to me ... It's almost like I'm getting sick of this f'n thing and can't wait for it to just be in the rear view mirror. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/9/2022 at 8:04 PM, brooklynwx99 said: holy shit. this is an unreal look. lots of split flow too Expand Wish we lived at 500mb 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Just booked a trip for the 19-22 to North Conway. Hopefully they get a ton of snow over the next month 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:56 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Just booked a trip for the 19-22 to North Conway. Hopefully they get a ton of snow over the next month Expand It's a whole different world up there ... There was a store downtown up there, back in the 1980s that used to specialize in family crests ...don't know if they still exist anymore. But we went up there to purvey... When we left the day was a grayish hang, with moist 39 F air over moosh snow. ( Acton, MA)... By the time got up there it was in the mid 20s, with 24" of powder. I stood there about 5 or 10 minutes after sunset, with T's slipping toward 20, as the arctic night claimed the last bit of blue nw horizon light. The Presidential Range ( I think it was ...) created a dark wall beneath the sky along the left side, and there were some other elevations on the right. ...This made the allusion to a hallway. And every 3 or so minutes, out of nowhere ...the wind would rise from near calm to fill the air with blowing snow...fulled through the valley floor. It was just pure winter - 0 adulterated pureness. It's a moment in time that is indelible in memory... And I thought about that as returned later that evening, and it was the same old 37 F stale air over a rotting snow pack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:27 PM, MJO812 said: Euro looks good for interior SNE Secondary more east and slightly faster transfer Expand actually ...I think you are backward on this analysis. The point to point comparison looks like the 00z was more E 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:56 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Just booked a trip for the 19-22 to North Conway. Hopefully they get a ton of snow over the next month Expand It doesn’t snow there anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:47 PM, qg_omega said: Wish we lived at 500mb Expand wish you stopped posting 2 5 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:47 PM, qg_omega said: Wish we lived at 500mb Expand 5 is too many. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 7:08 PM, Typhoon Tip said: It's a whole different world up there ... There was a store downtown up there, back in the 1980s that used to specialize in family crests ...don't know if they still exist anymore. But we went up there to purvey... When we left the day day was a grayish hang, with moist 39 F air over moosh snow. ( Acton, MA)... By the time got up there it was in the mid 20s, with 24" of powder. I stood there about 5 or 10 minutes after sunset, with T's slipping toward 20, as the arctic night claimed last bit blue horizon light. The Presidential Range ( I think it was ...) create a dark wall beneath on the left, and some other elevations on the right ...made a like a hallway. And ever 3 or so minutes, out of nowhere ...the wind would rise from near calm to fill the air with blowing snow... It was just pure winter - 0 adulterated pureness. It's a moment in time that is indelible in memory... And I thought about that as returned later that evening, and it was the same old 37 F stale air over a rotting snow pack. Expand Funny how perspectives change… I used to think the first when I first moved up here, now I feel like North Conway is where I’d go if I got sick of the cold weather lol. Of course, it’s all relative - and in CAD situations they’re far colder than Bretton Woods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 7:16 PM, Typhoon Tip said: actually ...I think you are backward on this analysis. The point to point comparison looks like the 00z was more E Expand Any more update on the Euro now that it’s done running compared to 12z GFS ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:27 PM, MJO812 said: Euro looks good for interior SNE Secondary more east and slightly faster transfer Expand I'm really not sure what you are looking at. Latest run looks worse than last night for snow in sne. GFS actually looks a lot better to my eye. Latest Euro looked like rain up to at least the Massachusetts Vermont border EDIT: gfs looks better...maybe not a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 8:09 PM, UnitedWx said: I'm really not sure what you are looking at. Latest run looks worse than last night for snow in sne. GFS actually looks a lot better to my eye. Latest Euro looked like rain up to at least the Massachusetts Vermont border EDIT: gfs looks better...maybe not a lot Expand Often People see what they want to see the base case is an interior hit (which doesn’t mean 20 miles from coast) a good area that will likely help is where the elevation increases from west side of ORH and KFIT to 15 miles west of ASH could do better for areas closer to COastal plain or could do worse and be mostly rain for ORH KFIT Concord NH etc 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 6:56 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Just booked a trip for the 19-22 to North Conway. Hopefully they get a ton of snow over the next month Expand We’re heading up to VT 12/19. If we’re out of quarantine and free of covid maybe leave a few days early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 29f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/11/2022 at 7:32 PM, brooklynwx99 said: wish you stopped posting Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 Euro us garbage, similar to last night. I think this one is slipping. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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