Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully some snow. That’s my call. Ditto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Christmas 1983 cold coming??? Hopefully not. That's the coldest I ever remember around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 9 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: I have the day off today, I hope you all enjoy my nonsense throughout. #beer Prepping for the big party tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 6z euro looks nice river west for Sunday. Lighter stuff east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 13 hours ago, CoastalWx said: He bitches but it does need work. Are we all just assuming this is going to keep going south until it passes over Cuba? The hitman heart is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro looks nice river west for Sunday. Lighter stuff east. Shocking lol hope we can pull off something soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Christmas 1983 cold coming??? Was that the year it never got above 0? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Gfs is a whopper next Friday. I’m skeptical, but let’s keep trending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Prepping for the big party tomorrow? I approached, and asked. Do you remember I have an event on our shared calendar for Saturday. She just stared. I said, yes my weather forum weenie extravaganza. Oh yes I told you she says, don't you remember I said the family travel Trump's it. The sad part is no I don't even remember having that conversation #cte. I did ask her if she wanted to skip the family party and join us at funky Murphys which resulted in agree steps up the stairs back to her office. To be fair, holiday and family events are extremely important to her. They are hosting the entire one side of the families extended cousins brothers etc. And she is doing a good deal of the cooking. Haven't seen this side of the fam in awhile, I like them more than my own. Pretty excited about it, won't lie. But if I can get a general gauge on how long you will all be at funkys, I'll at least be able to try to manuever. I really enjoyed meeting some new faces like wxwatcher, might have been first time I met hubbdave, winter wolf is great. Other than that I have the memory of a gold fish. Scott's never shown up to a g2g I went to, I think he has a problem with me. Now he's talking about hugging ray, he seems thrilled 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 21 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Ditto. I feel comfortable with a general 1-3" forecast with ability to go up later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs is a whopper next Friday. I’m skeptical, but let’s keep trending I need you to dismiss the hell of our this thing. Work your black magic into a general HECS for the forum. Thanks in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Just now, TalcottWx said: I feel comfortable with a general 1-3" forecast with ability to go up later. C-1" here. Best is west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 56 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This is how we roll Beer, bikes and babes. ...and that sweet, custom Kenworth sleeper cab. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: C-1" here. Best is west. That sounds about right,but I'm seeing some signs areas just north of the south coast get a nice fronto band on some models. I wonder. I only just opened modeling for the first time this winter today. That by NJ SW CT snow does move east toward you. I wonder if surpringly enough, somewhere near you had a higher potential total ceiling than here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 The “cutter” is turning into a Miller B 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: I approached, and asked. Do you remember I have an event on our shared calendar for Saturday. She just stared. I said, yes my weather forum weenie extravaganza. Oh yes I told you she says, don't you remember I said the family travel Trump's it. The sad part is no I don't even remember having that conversation #cte. I did ask her if she wanted to skip the family party and join us at funky Murphys which resulted in agree steps up the stairs back to her office. To be fair, holiday and family events are extremely important to her. They are hosting the entire one side of the families extended cousins brothers etc. And she is doing a good deal of the cooking. Haven't seen this side of the fam in awhile, I like them more than my own. Pretty excited about it, won't lie. But if I can get a general gauge on how long you will all be at funkys, I'll at least be able to try to manuever. I really enjoyed meeting some new faces like wxwatcher, might have been first time I met hubbdave, winter wolf is great. Other than that I have the memory of a gold fish. Scott's never shown up to a g2g I went to, I think he has a problem with me. Now he's talking about hugging ray, he seems thrilled I'm just busting. I get it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Gfs is a whopper next Friday. I’m skeptical, but let’s keep trending You should be skeptical at this range, but this trend was expected....I would be leery of expecting a blizzard, but this is our first major winter storm of the 2022-2023 season. Full Miller B committal. That GFS run is Boxing Day all over for NYC....don't care what the model is spitting out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: You should be skeptical at this range, but this trend was expected....I would be leery of expecting a blizzard, but this is our first major winter storm of the 2022-2023 season. That GFS run is Boxing Day all over for NYC....don't care what the model is spitting out. Do you think we run the risk of this developing too far S or redeveloping too early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm just busting. I get it. I know me too. Entertaining myself. Gonna go hit the Starbucks and do middle aged adult things. I told a guy I was in my 20s at work yesterday. Better get my will in order Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 16 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Do you think we run the risk of this developing too far S or redeveloping too early? I'm not too worried about that right now. Lets just stick with the Miller B commital....I understand it makes sense given the synoptic layout, which lends credence, but these are wholesale morphologies in the evolution of this thing in short order...lets stabilize on that front before we aim for the timing of occlusion with surgical precision. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 16 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Was that the year it never got above 0? Yes. I remember it well. All the elderly relatives complaining it was midnight cold at noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Modfan2 said: Crappy model runs overnight? Amount of post appear to decrease like my snow totals. Lol Crappy posts overnight? Amount of allowed posts per day appear to decrease when that becomes a pattern lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 Too early, but I am usually not worried about that in an RNA/NAO la nina pattern....those occlusion related issues are usually more prevalent in PNA/NAO el nino regimes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 6ZEPS looked like it was continuing the trend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 13 minutes ago, George001 said: The “cutter” is turning into a Miller B Primary still makes to too far N on that for my liking....need it in OH, not MI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Breaking and developing news in g2g thread 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6ZEPS looked like it was continuing the trend. Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Primary still makes to too far N on that for my liking....need it in OH, not MI. My prayers may have been answered in short order. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 To me it looks like the Pacific is improving, which in turn is making next weeks system more favorable for coastal redevelopment. We are seeing heights building up into AK now which promotes downstream trough. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, TalcottWx said: Breaking and developing news in g2g thread When weather news breaks, he breaks it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: To me it looks like the Pacific is improving, which in turn is making next weeks system more favorable for coastal redevelopment. We are seeing heights building up into AK now which promotes downstream trough. PNA should trend towards neutral during the second half of December and perhaps some outright +PNA in January....couple that with a reoccurrence of NAO and the mid Atl should join the fray before we thaw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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