CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Then there is the sneaky OE CJ too. Wherever that sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Then there is the sneaky OE CJ too. Wherever that sets up. Ray’s blood pressure is rising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 What the hell is going on for 12/16? GGEM and GFS both have the 50/50 low getting pushed south into Maine and the GFS then pushes it into the waters east of NE, lol. Some crazy looks ahead of that system. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ray’s blood pressure is rising Might be hours of catpaws here if I'm on the wrong side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 The 16ht looks like it may be squashed/colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: What the hell is going on for 12/16? GGEM and GFS both have the 50/50 low getting pushed south into Maine and the GFS then pushes it into the waters east of NE, lol. Some crazy looks ahead of that system. Yeah, squeeze play. I like that primary is further S and should occlude allowing secondary to develop further S too. Should be a better solution for Northeast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ray’s blood pressure is rising This one is trash here...will be the usual places. My eyes are on 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: This can still shift south. It’s a teeter totter line we are wobbling along Yeah well… I sort of hemmed myself into the ownership of the negative position on this thing and I did not mean for that. I use the word or rather the phrase “… The disappearance of… “Late last night and that’s not really what I meant. I didn’t mean that it was disappearing, as in not happening per se. The intent was really that this is differentiating towards less impact so expecting less should be the expectation here. The synoptics surrounding this thing means that it’s an a -d(system state) But the other aspect…I think that we can fill in the area with strata and light synoptic precipitation and have the mean lift still missed the area to the south. There are disparate mechanics going on here for having a long fetched Northeast flow that has a moisture source concurrently taking place. It may be difficult to parse those two out? Because if that thing impacts the region it’s probably gonna be not significantly greater than what the other aspect would also produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, squeeze play. I like that primary is further S and should occlude allowing secondary to develop further S too. Should be a better solution for Northeast. We need the "Day After Tomorrow" map that dendrite posted a few days ago. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We need the "Day After Tomorrow" map that dendrite posted a few days ago. Lets get George to help that 50/50 waddle into bed the secondary south of LI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Why is this moving at warp speed? Shouldn’t these systems be slowing down and lingering long duration lighter snows? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Nice scooter shit streak over New England preceding the 16th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice scooter shit streak over New England preceding the 16th. 15 year anniversary, too...antecedent not as good, but... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Significantly north of 00z though Trend has been...not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, Superstorm93 said: Trend has been...not great Super amped solutions with widespread 12-18" of snow are not coming back. But the way to get sneaky warning snowfall will prob be from a stripe under good fronto....like the GFS had. Pretty cool that you can actually see what the PV lobe was doing on those huge solutions....it was retrograding further west so that the shortwave had room to amplify underneath it rather than staying to the northeast and acting as an inhibitor to amplification. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Pretty solid antecedent airmass for the 16th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 I think we will end up with a nice SWFE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Track over us but gives C/NNE frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Get that primary over OH instead of lower MI and its really game on...almost there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This one is trash here...will be the usual places. My eyes are on 16. Yeah, this one is continuing last year‘s screw cycle for the Rt 2 corridor and N. Let’s hope the 16th doesn’t get squashed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, this one is continuing last year‘s screw cycle for the Rt 2 corridor and N. Let’s hope the 16th doesn’t get squashed. I highly doubt that one gets squashed under us. I'd rather take my chances with this set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, this one is continuing last year‘s screw cycle for the Rt 2 corridor and N. Let’s hope the 16th doesn’t get squashed. It’s track ESE so your longitude helps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 Give me a primary slamming into a block....I'm done praying for scraps from Ginxy's deformation table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s track ESE so your longitude helps Agreed with this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Decent front ender for 12/16 over interior SNE (prob N&W of 495) on GFS. Coast is torching with onshore flow in that setup. But obviously that could change as we get closer. That high to the north is funneling a ton of dry polar air to help prolong the frozen over interior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Decent front ender for 12/16 over interior SNE (prob N&W of 495) on GFS. Coast is torching with onshore flow in that setup. But obviously that could change as we get closer. That high to the north is funneling a ton of dry polar air to help prolong the frozen over interior. If I somehow end up close enough to the ocean for mainly rain in that one, I will legit check myself in somewhere. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Where is my sunny day as forecast? Cloudy with a light rain shower currently. 44/42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: If I end up close enough to the ocean for mainly rain in that one, I will legit check myself in somewhere. Lol....maybe wait until the pattern breaks down at least.....prob gonna be several more chances after 12/16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2022 Share Posted December 8, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Lol....maybe wait until the pattern breaks down at least.....prob gonna be several more chances after 12/16. I know he doesn't want to hear this from me....but don't get your hopes up on something that is a stretch. I would approach it with that mantra. Possible, sure. But it needs some work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2022 Author Share Posted December 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol....maybe wait until the pattern breaks down at least.....prob gonna be several more chances after 12/16. I think being NE should help me in the mid-levels, but its the BL that I worry about....probably safe once about to KASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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