STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Upstate New York crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 it tries to cut and gets shunted S by the block... exotic evolution here but it's possible with a block that strong this is also made possible by the 50/50 put in place by Monday's system 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Funky track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Next weeks cutter turning oh so close to Kevins icestorm ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 2:38 PM, UnitedWx said: I believe January 1st. My husband works at INSA in Easthampton. They're waiting to see if CT takes a bite out of their sales. Supposedly they're already slumping a littleWell we have five dispensaries in town and probably another 5-10 within 10 miles of downtown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:53 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Upstate New York crushed Expand At the end of next week... not for the first one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:57 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Next weeks cutter turning oh so close to Kevins icestorm ... Expand I think it was early Sunday or Monday morning .. maybe even Saturday someone posted an image and I said “ that has icestorm written all over it for this area” and Scooter had confusion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:57 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Next weeks cutter turning oh so close to Kevins icestorm ... Expand I think that set up is basically rain or snow verbatim..the Airmass is just serviceable enough for some - 850’s-925 like -1 to -3 in Montreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 12z EURO joins the OP GFS idea of bullying the "cutter" underneath the block now We've entered the shenanigans phase of the models 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 EPS more bullish for the 12th. No surprise there. Still has work to do. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:38 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still trending IMO. Expand AO now forecast to dip to an impressive -4 around that time too. I think the stronger block has merit. Best case scenario is the trends continue and there's a double whammy of winter weather as 12th system acts like a 50/50 low for the next one. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:00 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I think it was early Sunday or Monday morning .. maybe even Saturday someone posted an image and I said “ that has icestorm written all over it for this area” and Scooter had confusion. Expand Too warm there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:01 PM, SnoSki14 said: AO now forecast to dip to an impressive -4 around that time too. I think the stronger block has merit. Best case scenario is the trends continue and there's a double whammy of winter weather as 12th system acts like a 50/50 low for the next one. Expand Gist of the blog post I just made...'"Double Jeopardy" next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 That thing is pulling in a ton of maritime flow. It almost looks like a RA or SN situation, maybe eastern foothills of Maine and NH have ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:00 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think that set up is basically rain or snow verbatim..the Airmass is just serviceable enough Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:02 PM, CoastalWx said: That thing is pulling in a ton of maritime flow. It almost looks like a RA or SN situation, maybe eastern foothills of Maine and NH have ice? Expand just have to push it SE, cold air mass that morning temps 15-25 over all of the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:02 PM, CoastalWx said: That thing is pulling in a ton of maritime flow. It almost looks like a RA or SN situation, maybe eastern foothills of Maine and NH have ice? Expand Exactly and the 12/12 storm retrograding further left the airmass a tad more tainted for its arrival Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:03 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: Expand I was just speaking for New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:03 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Exactly and the 12/12 storm retrograding further left the airmass a tad more tainted for its arrival Expand I think the retro helps lock in colder air on the backside though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:04 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I was just speaking for New England Expand well ya thats why i said close to an icestorm .. just push it all a bit SE .. not that hard this far out.. temps will be more than cold enough.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gist of my the blog post I just made...'"Double Jeopardy" next week. Expand I'll have to read it then. Even if those systems don't work out the pattern looks good post 15th for more attempts. I don't think many were expecting much before mid month anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 We'll see how the airmass is prior tot he storm....this run had a very chilly airmass advected down int he wake of 12/12 when that PV lobe retrgraded into Maine....it leaves us with a pretty cold airmass. This is 12/14 at 12z. IF you start crushing the system off to the west a little sooner, then you are going to hold this airmass in a bit better upon approach. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Is it gonna snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:06 PM, SnoSki14 said: I'll have to read it then. Even if those systems don't work out the pattern looks good post 15th for more attempts. I don't think many were expecting much before mid month anyway Expand Agree....first several days of the post 12/10 period are a bonus. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:01 PM, CoastalWx said: Too warm there. Expand It’s still trending friend 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:05 PM, CoastalWx said: I think the retro helps lock in colder air on the backside though. Expand It seems to prevent a Torchy warm up but I think you give up a couple degrees in retrogradIng a taint (and that just doesn’t get much warmer ) 925’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:00 PM, CoastalWx said: EPS more bullish for the 12th. No surprise there. Still has work to do. Expand Getting closer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:38 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Still trending IMO. Expand Yep, and 12z EPS ticked up and in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: We'll see how the airmass is prior tot he storm....this run had a very chilly airmass advected down int he wake of 12/12 when that PV lobe retrgraded into Maine....it leaves us with a pretty cold airmass. This is 12/14 at 12z. IF you start crushing the system off to the west a little sooner, then you are going to hold this airmass in a bit better upon approach. Expand Love to see the primary blow up west and spawn a secondary to cut off southerly flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 7:06 PM, moneypitmike said: Is it gonna snow? Expand Not until after Dec 20... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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