STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 The high pressure will be in a better position for the 0z gfs 15’th system will probably help NNE this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:26 AM, Snowcrazed71 said: So wait, this is the second Canadian run showing a decent store. Could there be some truth to this? inquiring minds want to know. Expand 4th run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:26 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: The high pressure will be in a better position for the 0z gfs 15’th system will probably help NNE this run Expand Prayers answered....I'm heavily invested in Rangley 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 cmc snow to ice Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:29 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Prayers answered....I'm heavily invested in Rangley Expand It’s a step in the right direction at this range and closer to something better but ya grain of salt. That was just pure commentary not excited . Maybe a whale farted and raised heights north of Hudson Bay . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:23 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Would I ever go off... Expand On 12/7/2022 at 4:26 AM, ineedsnow said: lol same Expand I’d say the Taunton Tandem would need 24 hour supervision, but they already punted December so no measurable in their backyards shouldn’t be surprising to them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:31 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s a step in the right direction at this range and closer to something better but ya grain of salt. That was just pure commentary not excited . Maybe a whale farted and raised heights north of Hudson Bay . Expand Yeah still probably low odds of anything exciting but I’ll take a lucky strike if I can get one pre Dec 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 The cutter next week looks tamer on the models tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:18 AM, MJO812 said: Wow cmc Expand It did shift south some this run but still has a monster slow moving Miller B, it gives you over a foot now. It has been consistent and the EPS made a nod towards it earlier. OP Euro did too at H5, it looks like everything is trending towards the Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Models look better starting next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Mostly frozen precip on cmc for the 15th system north of Mass border . Much better high initially and so you get redevelopment of a low earlier and further south but still some work . Low tracks from Philly to S Weymouth (more ENE / NE) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2022 Author Share Posted December 7, 2022 This is a very fluid situation with respect to everything. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 GEFS looking better for the middle of next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:59 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is a very fluid situation with respect to everything. Expand Yes, the volatility of the pattern wrt to modeling, is why I have sat back and made very few posts the past few weeks. The pattern has snowy potential but everything is subject to change more than 3 - 4 days out. We wait. I have no doubt the interior sees a decent even before NYE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Quite the shift on gfs. Let’s see what tomorrow brings. Nothing is stable yet. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Euro trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:27 AM, ineedsnow said: Euro trying Expand good step in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Another nod by the 00z suite. Nothing major at the surface verbatim, but get a sustained trend aloft of faster/closer development and we could be onto something that gets us on the board in a more meaningful way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 6:42 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Another nod by the 00z suite. Nothing major at the surface verbatim, but get a sustained trend aloft of faster/closer development and we could be onto something that gets us on the board in a more meaningful way. Expand I noticed looking the the H5 the lobe over Maine is farther SW on the runs that are more aggressive with the 1st storm threat. Not only that, but the runs that really blow up the 1st storm threat are better with the 2nd threat. A lot of times you see patterns where it’s one or the other, this pattern looks like we get both storms or nothing. Still needs work, but it’s encouraging to see the 0z guidance trending towards the Canadian while the Canadian itself sticks to its guns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Even if we get skunked by this pattern the first 2 threats, the geps improved with the pacific in the long range so we should get more chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Hard to look at this with anything but a grain of salt, but interesting nonetheless. Now the 15th looks more mixed bag for much of the interior (CNE/NNE) on the op but obviously that’s an eternity away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 Posting for comparison but still…big grain of salt 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 0.40 of rain 55/54 I was stuck at 44F until about 930P, when temps shot up ten degrees and gusts kicked up. Nasty drive into work this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 5:30 AM, weathafella said: Quite the shift on gfs. Let’s see what tomorrow brings. Nothing is stable yet. Expand Same as 6z Shifting away from a big cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 .63 still raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 I will say.. it was nice running in shorts and summer gear this morning in this furnace.. but the rain .. not so much . 1.13” and counting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/6/2022 at 11:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: The second and I mean second Fork posted he loved the look and block and pattern for snow it ended. As soon as I saw that.. I knew . Every single thing he ever says is wrong Expand On 12/6/2022 at 11:18 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I will go out on a pretty thick limb . No measurable snow in SNE thru Dec 20th .Let’s leave that there.. and hope it’s wrong. The pattern and the overall Pacific - PNA look absolutely atrocious right thru then. Expand Dec 20th.... or maybe Monday??? You have the opposite effect as Forky so we probably measurable snow Monday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 47° and 0.91” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 4:22 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: 6”+ from ORH to Jerry and Sw with West CT Jack SE of Brockton - Attleboro looks wet verbatim Expand I am wondering if maybe, perhaps, just a little, we let the negative nancys get to us and we should all know better???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2022 Share Posted December 7, 2022 On 12/7/2022 at 10:46 AM, Ginx snewx said: Dec 20th.... or maybe Monday??? You have the opposite effect as Forky so we probably measurable snow Monday Expand Monday? 5 days out .. in a pattern modeling can’t get right 12 hours out. Nothing will go wrong . You are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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