Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 1:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That was my early season call, too. Hopefully more like a I495 thing, and not a Berkshires thing. Expand May be more an interior Central Hills thing . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 2:21 PM, Damage In Tolland said: May be more an interior Central Hills thing . Expand Could be a Tolland, CT, YBY thing, too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 2:21 PM, Damage In Tolland said: May be more an interior Central Hills thing . Expand This time of year, for sure. West and North of an I-84/I-190 type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 2:32 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Could be a Tolland, CT, YBY thing, too Expand May or may not be a Metheun, MA thing too 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 1:26 PM, ORH_wxman said: Expand i moved into a new house that day. what a disaster. 1 year old furniture being moved in the back of a pick up truck in a raging snowstorm. snow on peoples feet virtually destroying brand new carpets. lost power that night, so first night in new house sleeping on the floor of the living room next to the fireplace, our only source of heat. woke up to pine tree branches on both vehicles. What a great day that was! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 2:52 PM, SJonesWX said: i moved into a new house that day. what a disaster. 1 year old furniture being moved in the back of a pick up truck in a raging snowstorm. snow on peoples feet virtually destroying brand new carpets. lost power that night, so first night in new house sleeping on the floor of the living room next to the fireplace, our only source of heat. woke up to pine tree branches on both vehicles. What a great day that was! Expand That sounds fantastic! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 2:52 PM, SJonesWX said: i moved into a new house that day. what a disaster. 1 year old furniture being moved in the back of a pick up truck in a raging snowstorm. snow on peoples feet virtually destroying brand new carpets. lost power that night, so first night in new house sleeping on the floor of the living room next to the fireplace, our only source of heat. woke up to pine tree branches on both vehicles. What a great day that was! Expand More please 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 Actually wouldn't be surprised if we saw some LES bands migrate well into portions of SNE tomorrow night. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 2:07 PM, Typhoon Tip said: There is a little solace in the fact that when you step back and look at it from orbit the hemisphere appears that it has no choice but to end up in a negative NAO. I’m just hoping that model magnification will actually be our ally in this case and that what verifies is a more moderate negative NAO blocking …such that doesn’t become overbearing Expand Being further south I am selfishly hoping the NAO is on the stronger side though even that isn't always good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 3:12 PM, weatherwiz said: Actually wouldn't be surprised if we saw some LES bands migrate well into portions of SNE tomorrow night. Expand Do you think it would be a good idea if I took my clothes off? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 3:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Do you think it would be a good idea if I took my clothes off? Expand I do but your skin may feel otherwise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 1:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: That was my early season call, too. Hopefully more like a I495 thing, and not a Berkshires thing. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 3:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Do you think it would be a good idea if I took my clothes off? Expand Not if you are over 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 3:45 PM, Brewbeer said: Not if you are over 30 Expand But of course its cool that I'm male...just worried about the contour of my pecs with the advance of middle age 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 3:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Do you think it would be a good idea if I took my clothes off? Expand On 11/29/2022 at 3:19 PM, weatherwiz said: I do but your skin may feel otherwise. Expand On 11/29/2022 at 3:45 PM, Brewbeer said: Not if you are over 30 Expand Good morning 40/70, WWiz, Bb. I finally and fully understated the meaning of the term click bait. Thank you, as always … 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2022 Author Share Posted November 29, 2022 Anyway, my data streams are up and running, so just a waiting game for the first system of note, which should arrive shortly after the 10th IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 1:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: do irreparable damage to therapy clients Expand You mean half this forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 We wait down here is SE MA until mid month before I see anything noteworthy. Pattern looks hostile truly builds in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 12z GFS looks pretty hideous short and long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 4:45 PM, greenmtnwx said: 12z GFS looks pretty hideous short and long range. Expand Good because we know how accurate the op runs in the long range . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 3:47 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: But of course its cool that I'm male...just worried about the contour of my pecker with the advance of middle age Expand Believe me, there are some things we need not dwell on........ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 4:48 PM, MJO812 said: Good because we know how accurate the op runs in the long range . Expand I think it’s fair to point out that things may not progress like we hope. There are signs that although we will get a block in Canada, it could be fairly transient and the ridge in east or at least zonal type flow resumes shortly after. There is a window but it may not be great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 4:48 PM, MJO812 said: Good because we know how accurate the op runs in the long range . Expand That SE ridging is pretty darn stubborn on guidance as well. It might get flattened but seems to want to pop up and even retrograde NW. It seems as if at least early on here the SE ridge wants to be a feature this winter. At least on the op runs it wants to put most of us on the SE side of any systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 5:02 PM, greenmtnwx said: That SE ridging is pretty darn stubborn on guidance as well. It might get flattened but seems to want to pop up and even retrograde NW. It seems as if at least early on here the SE ridge wants to be a feature this winter. At least on the op runs it wants to put most of us on the SE side of any systems. Expand Sure we could all strike out here, however I will take my chances anytime in December with the following: 1.) AO -3 2.) NAO -1.5 3.) MJO progression through 8,1,2 4.) RNA at only -0.75 Really all we can hope for at this stage. We will see is success is ultimately realized. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 5:02 PM, greenmtnwx said: That SE ridging is pretty darn stubborn on guidance as well. It might get flattened but seems to want to pop up and even retrograde NW. It seems as if at least early on here the SE ridge wants to be a feature this winter. At least on the op runs it wants to put most of us on the SE side of any systems. Expand The SE ridge is good it prevents suppression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 5:07 PM, EastonSN+ said: Sure we could all strike out here, however I will take my chances anytime in December with the following: 1.) AO -3 2.) NAO -1.5 3.) MJO progression through 8,1,2 4.) RNA at only -0.75 Really all we can hope for at this stage. We will see is success is ultimately realized. Expand Thank you. He’s another worry wart. It looks about as good as it can look, and whether that ends up delivering snow or not, nobody knows. But I’ll take the look as you pointed out any day…over something less attractive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 This is why we have ensembles people. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 5:10 PM, WinterWolf said: Thank you. He’s another worry wart. It looks about as good as it can look, and whether that ends up delivering snow or not, nobody knows. But I’ll take the look as you pointed out any day…over something less attractive. Expand Yeah I don’t see how you can possibly be negative about our chances with this look. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 here is the run-to-run change from the 06z to 12z GFS OP. OP models always struggle at range, but they're going to struggle even more with a blocked up pattern with tons of amplification gotta use the ensembles, and they still look good 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2022 Share Posted November 29, 2022 On 11/29/2022 at 5:12 PM, CoastalWx said: This is why we have ensembles people. Expand Absolutely. But we have GreenMountain Coffee, and a few others constantly complaining about OP runs…WTF? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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