Rd9108 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Some hope I guess lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 One little streamer put down a solid dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 2 hours ago, north pgh said: One little streamer put down a solid dusting. Same, not much, but love snow falling while it's like 12 degrees out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Dang, think somebody needs to replace the cyan toner in the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 13 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Dang, think somebody needs to replace the cyan toner in the 18z GFS. Just for the kicker, very back end is rain for us, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 8 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Just for the kicker, very back end is rain for us, lol. The green pixels don’t show up on pivotal, lol. But the temp is 20 degrees at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 Gfs doesn't look terrible. Starts as rain and we transition to snow. Verbatim around 6-7 inches. Butler and counties north of course do the best since they start and stay as snow. Cmc is suppressed. Still a long ways out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 3 hours ago, TimB said: The green pixels don’t show up on pivotal, lol. But the temp is 20 degrees at that point. It'll be rain, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 4, 2023 Share Posted February 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ahoff said: It'll be rain, lol. Yep 12z euro agrees. Same storm as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 GFS and Canadian are starting to come around to something possibly next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 On 2/3/2023 at 8:17 AM, RitualOfTheTrout said: Yeah it is, 14 degrees now. The wind really cuts right through you, especially when our bodies are more accustomed to 30s and 40s. I happened to wake up right around 2:30am and catch the front coming through and the snow falling, could really hear the wind howling. Probably picked up a quarter inch or so but looked wintry at least for awhile. Now see who / if anyone gets lucky enough to maybe get under a lake band and pick up some extra snow. Looks like we will have a Huron connection for awhile, but other variables not favorable for better coverage. This cold snap is so quick though, midnight high today, and making it back close to 30 tomorrow it will largely be lost in the history books outside of overnight lows. Outside of that, the next 7 days looks pretty uneventful, maybe another cool / cold shot past that. Pattern looks pretty meh for any sustained winter. Still a solid 6 weeks to cash in on something. Especially considering the temp somehow managed to jump to thirty-#%$&ing-nine at PIT before midnight. Probably the most pathetic looking cold snap on record for our area by a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 10 hours ago, north pgh said: GFS and Canadian are starting to come around to something possibly next Saturday. All 3 00z runs had some sort of secondary wave develop for the weekend. Highly timing dependant for where it tracks. 06z GFS for example gets it going to late / North. It's our best shot at something, need it to track close enough behind the initial storm during the week while heights are suppressed in the east, but not amplify to soon / late since we aren't getting any help. Really the proverbial thread the needle setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 12z models seem to confirm it’s just going to be a continuation of the same goddamn pattern we’ve been in all winter. There’s no escape, at least not this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 31 minutes ago, TimB said: 12z models seem to confirm it’s just going to be a continuation of the same goddamn pattern we’ve been in all winter. There’s no escape, at least not this season. Heck with all this rain showing up on the models it might be a good time to plant some grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 5, 2023 Share Posted February 5, 2023 Such a boring sports weekend too…bad timing to have no real threats to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 Hard to look at something like the 18z GFS run with anything other than complete despair. The ensembles don’t look quite as awful, but yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 6, 2023 Share Posted February 6, 2023 19 hours ago, Burghblizz said: Such a boring sports weekend too…bad timing to have no real threats to track. I have to admit one of the best parts of tracking is when we are all collectively tracking together and the storm starts trending better as we close in. I'm on the edge of my seat refreshing the model pages as excitement builds and you can't keep up with the new posts. That and when a storm hits and we are all posting obs of heavy snow etc. Really missing one of those right now. Still looks like maybe a shot at some wintry weather this weekend, better than 50s and rain I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 A. The depiction is hilarious with the rain on the northern side of the storm B. This wouldn't take much verbatim to trend favorably for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 7, 2023 Share Posted February 7, 2023 Idk how but this next wave is gonna get squashed south. Pretty incredible since most storms have trended into cutters. Also looks like by the end of Febuary we switch to possible winter. I'm betting we get our biggest snowstorm somewhere between March 5-9 since I'll be in Texas then. Book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 On 2/5/2023 at 12:06 PM, north pgh said: Heck with all this rain showing up on the models it might be a good time to plant some grass. I made that mistake last year right as the snow was melting and then we got two weeks of below 50F weather. I can't tell how people are supposed to seed their lawns here. Does everyone just buy sod? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 Wind Advisory URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1121 AM EST Wed Feb 8 2023 PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021- 509>514-090100- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WI.Y.0002.230209T1600Z-230210T1200Z/ Mercer-Venango-Forest-Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Beaver- Allegheny-Armstrong-Indiana-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-Fayette-Higher Elevations of Fayette- Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia-Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker- Including the cities of Wheeling, Oil City, Bruceton Mills, Greensburg, Kittanning, Latrobe, Canonsburg, Uniontown, Punxsutawney, Davis, Washington, Donegal, Ohiopyle, New Castle, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Beaver Falls, New Martinsville, Monessen, Clarion, Champion, Franklin, Saint George, Indiana, Wellsburg, Moundsville, Kingwood, Brookville, Weirton, Follansbee, Hazelton, Monaca, Tionesta, Ambridge, Canaan Valley, Thomas, Hendricks, Butler, Ligonier, Hermitage, Rowlesburg, Coopers Rock, Ellwood City, Lower Burrell, Sharon, Aliquippa, Morgantown, Terra Alta, Grove City, Parsons, Ford City, Fairmont, Waynesburg, New Kensington, and Murrysville 1121 AM EST Wed Feb 8 2023 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwest, southwest, and western Pennsylvania. Portions of northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 11 AM Thursday to 7 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ CJM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 8, 2023 Share Posted February 8, 2023 We finally got a vort to dig further south for the weekend, it’s just too far south. Unfortunately with no blocking it goes ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 9, 2023 Share Posted February 9, 2023 Sneaky 71 at AGC last hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Didn't mention it to my wife or anyone so as to not jinx all of us but I heard birds singing during that far above average run at the end of January. Early in the day too. I said to myself that it sounded like Spring and it was then that I knew our winter was in its last gasps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 It's 8:35pm in early February and the temperature is 62F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 That wind is definitely whipping right now keeping me awake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Another one of these heat waves coming next week? Could we hit 70 in February for the 5th day in the past 7 years? 70 degree days in February at Pittsburgh international: 1952-1996: 0 1997-2016: 5 2017-2023: 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 1 minute ago, TimB said: 1952-1996: 0 1997-2016: 5 2017-2023: 4 This is a good comparison. I honestly don't understand why we trust the precision or accuracy of measurements before 1940~1950. Instrumentation was rudimentary and nowhere near up to the specs or requirements we have for present-day. Official temperature readings are to be 2m off the ground, out of the sunlight, away from obstructions, and more. Downtown Pittsburgh was already sweltering because of industry during the early records, bias is everywhere, pointing at pre-1950 data is disingenuous at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 10, 2023 Share Posted February 10, 2023 Just now, donyewest said: This is a good comparison. I honestly don't understand why we trust the precision or accuracy of measurements before 1940~1950. Instrumentation was rudimentary and nowhere near up to the specs or requirements we have for present-day. Official temperature readings are to be 2m off the ground, out of the sunlight, away from obstructions, and more. Downtown Pittsburgh was already sweltering because of industry during the early records, bias is everywhere, pointing at pre-1950 data is disingenuous at best. I’d say there are 3 days that would have definitely been 70 at the current location in the older era: the 77 on 2/8/1900, the 76 on 2/16/1883, and the 75 on 2/11/1932. The rest are iffy - a couple of 72’s and the rest 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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