Rd9108 Posted January 29, 2023 Share Posted January 29, 2023 This would be hilarious and sad at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 On 1/28/2023 at 1:00 PM, jwilson said: It's just one of those years. I think people have attempted to over-explain this or over-attribute it to other things, but even places north of us have been getting shafted on the snow. New England included. Meanwhile, it's snowing plenty out west. The pendulum will swing the other way at some point. Maybe not next year but that's not something to predict, really. Really can't argue it's getting warmer at least compared to recent recorded history, normal temperatures are increasing, sea ice decreasing, ocean temperatures setting yearly records etc. That being said I'm of the opinion this year would have been bad in any era, just maybe not this bad. If we start stringing years with favorable patterns together and strike out plus warmer than normal I'll start to wonder if we've passed some sort of tipping point. I expect next season will be better. I haven't given up on getting a storm, but don't expect we can salvage any snow on snow cold weather. This upcoming week looks colder but dry, and the cold is in and out then all indications SE ridge torch again til at least the end of Feb by which time that deep winter feel isn't likely with sun angle, longer days, and return of birds singing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 See how this plays out. RGEM has been hot so this maybe the outcome. Small bump north and we have a minor event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 8 hours ago, Rd9108 said: See how this plays out. RGEM has been hot so this maybe the outcome. Small bump north and we have a minor event. If this is real we need some others to jump on board. GEFS had a few similar looks, Euro was in North Carolina so something will have to give lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Could we pick up a nice inch or so tonight or is this going to be a freezing drizzlefest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 You know we are in a bad stretch of winter weather when I get excited driving an hour ago and we start to get some light sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Light snow falling now. Temp is 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 3 hours ago, TimB said: Could we pick up a nice inch or so tonight or is this going to be a freezing drizzlefest? Already flipped to snow here, so barring one of those situations were there isn't sufficient crystal growth shouldn't be much issue with freezing rain / drizzle. We don't usually get ZR when a cold front drops temps, at least anything prolonged. Much more likely warm air overriding antecedent cold. As for the inch... Well think it will be a challenge but possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 10 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Already flipped to snow here, so barring one of those situations were there isn't sufficient crystal growth shouldn't be much issue with freezing rain / drizzle. We don't usually get ZR when a cold front drops temps, at least anything prolonged. Much more likely warm air overriding antecedent cold. As for the inch... Well think it will be a challenge but possible. Indeed, snowing pretty good here. NWS didn’t seem too keen on this being a snow event, but it’s working out. Not much sticking to the warm ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Nice batch of heavier snow has developed and moved in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 13 minutes ago, north pgh said: Nice batch of heavier snow has developed and moved in. Yeah, radar looks decent, hoping those returns make it into Westmoreland. 00z models seemed to improve slightly too with precip making it further in SW PA. Just a slushy dusting so far here, but if we can drop the temp another degree or two and get some better rates shouldn't have an issue accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 18 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Yeah, radar looks decent, hoping those returns make it into Westmoreland. 00z models seemed to improve slightly too with precip making it further in SW PA. Just a slushy dusting so far here, but if we can drop the temp another degree or two and get some better rates shouldn't have an issue accumulating. Yes about 1/2 inch here and my side street and driveway is covered. Visibility under a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Ended up over that 1". Nice surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Definitely a surprise to wake up to this morning. Just padding our meager numbers at this point, but always nice to see the snow. Might be around for another day or two also. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 hour ago, Gordo74 said: Ended up over that 1". Nice surprise. The HRRR nailed it. I was skeptical, but hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 First local school delay of the season here after a whopping 1" fell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 Lock it in. What could possibly go wrong or change in the next 12 days? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, TimB said: Lock it in. What could possibly go wrong or change in the next 12 days? WTF has caused that, lol?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, Ahoff said: WTF has caused that, lol?! Some stupid cold front. Good luck, lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 hours ago, Ahoff said: WTF has caused that, lol?! A new lake will form just west of Steubenville, helping to boost that areas economy, and provide us with much needed LES. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said: A new lake will form just west of Steubenville, helping to boost that areas economy, and provide us with much needed LES. Lol Or those smokestacks in Beaver County. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said: A new lake will form just west of Steubenville, helping to boost that areas economy, and provide us with much needed LES. Lol Then we will get lake effect rain and mix 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Special weather statement and snow band coming through. Not sure how far south it will make it but winds whipping about 20mph with moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 It’s cold out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 29 minutes ago, north pgh said: It’s cold out there. Yeah it is, 14 degrees now. The wind really cuts right through you, especially when our bodies are more accustomed to 30s and 40s. I happened to wake up right around 2:30am and catch the front coming through and the snow falling, could really hear the wind howling. Probably picked up a quarter inch or so but looked wintry at least for awhile. Now see who / if anyone gets lucky enough to maybe get under a lake band and pick up some extra snow. Looks like we will have a Huron connection for awhile, but other variables not favorable for better coverage. This cold snap is so quick though, midnight high today, and making it back close to 30 tomorrow it will largely be lost in the history books outside of overnight lows. Outside of that, the next 7 days looks pretty uneventful, maybe another cool / cold shot past that. Pattern looks pretty meh for any sustained winter. Still a solid 6 weeks to cash in on something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 The big 3 are all showing potential for next Saturday. The GFS finally has a vort digging into the mid south, allowing for earlier development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 Would like to see the Euro start to get onboard soon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 45 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Would like to see the Euro start to get onboard soon though. Who are the big 3 if the Euro isn't one of them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 16 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Who are the big 3 if the Euro isn't one of them? The euro is one of them, it just puts the storm in a shitty place for us. But it has a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2023 Share Posted February 3, 2023 23 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Who are the big 3 if the Euro isn't one of them? The GFS, CMC, and Euro. I just mentioned the Euro, because it tends to lead the way with these types of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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