Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Similar to the NAM. Hopefully we don't lose this one too. Tbh it didn't change really at all comparing 0z and 18z. Would have to dive deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Forget which model but one got it spot on yesterday with this SW-NE band setup overtop of me for the past hour or two. The model had me in the vicinity of ~5" and we're at 3" right now. It appears this may keep going for a bit longer so might just get closer to that 4~5" mark. Heavy wet snow too, I'm slipping all over the driveway. The single salt truck they sent out here was not enough, our road (a tertiary right off a secondary split from the primary state route) hasn't been touched since the end of the Bengals game. I can see people trying to make it up the steep secondary road through the trees, slow going around here for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 8 minutes ago, donyewest said: Forget which model but one got it spot on yesterday with this SW-NE band setup overtop of me for the past hour or two. The model had me in the vicinity of ~5" and we're at 3" right now. It appears this may keep going for a bit longer so might just get closer to that 4~5" mark. Heavy wet snow too, I'm slipping all over the driveway. The single salt truck they sent out here was not enough, our road (a tertiary right off a secondary split from the primary state route) hasn't been touched since the end of the Bengals game. I can see people trying to make it up the steep secondary road through the trees, slow going around here for sure. Glad people in our area are finally enjoying some winter weather. Hopefully it's the rest of the sub forums turn next. One final gfs map before bed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Sweet spot looked to be East Liverpool with around 4”. I got about 2.5”. That evening batch came together nicely, and lingered a bit overnight. Hopefully we can go thump to dry slot Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digger Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2" here in Hopewell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 About 1 inch in Ross. All coming after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Solid 3”+ now. Big fatties flying again. Beautiful morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Got some overnight. Maybe an inch on the car this morning. I'll take it. I guess the positive in this is the NWS was wrong, by a good margin for totals. Maybe they'll be too conservative for Wed.-Thurs. as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 About 2” here on the summit-was nothing until about 5:30 this morning-been snowing pretty good here-wish we could cash in on a big one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Looks like Wednesday we need to rely on a heavy thump early, then it mostly dries out, but warms up. Could help retain some pack if there isn't too much rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Finished with about 2.5-3 inches back home. Not much in Pittsburgh, but it looks like most places picked up around 1" or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 NAM alittle over 4 inches and then dry slot? Looks like a little more just north but who knows what's gonna happen with this type of set up. I'm just excited we may actually see some legit heavy snow and not just a squall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 38 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: NAM alittle over 4 inches and then dry slot? Looks like a little more just north but who knows what's gonna happen with this type of set up. I'm just excited we may actually see some legit heavy snow and not just a squall. Let’s hope the Canadians are wrong. Not liking anything the op or the RGEM or the ensemble are spitting out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windycutter Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Latest track of the Globals seem to push the WAA for PItt and south (obviously more south). 850's inch up as the low approaches the area. You can see the southerlies heading straight up through WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 The verbiage in the previous forecast for Allegheny was “Snow accumulation possible.” Now it’s “Little or no snow accumulation.” Can’t be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, TimB said: The verbiage in the previous forecast for Allegheny was “Snow accumulation possible.” Now it’s “Little or no snow accumulation.” Can’t be good. Same thing they said for this system too, and there is largely accumulation, so...maybe they're just staying lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, TimB said: The verbiage in the previous forecast for Allegheny was “Snow accumulation possible.” Now it’s “Little or no snow accumulation.” Can’t be good. We don't usually win in these scenarios so I'd temper expectations and anything that falls is a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 IIRC with past similar storms, the NAM at this range joins the CMC with a stronger WAA push. So far it has stayed steady with a more muted push, tonights 0z run will be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 GEFS ensemble mean is ugly. A little over an inch at 10:1 before changeover, so probably less than an inch with the garbage ratios I’m expecting Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 18 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: IIRC with past similar storms, the NAM at this range joins the CMC with a stronger WAA push. So far it has stayed steady with a more muted push, tonights 0z run will be interesting. That's what's confusing me is the NAM usually is the one super amped and warm. Hopefully the Euro holds serve here at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 23 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: That's what's confusing me is the NAM usually is the one super amped and warm. Hopefully the Euro holds serve here at 12z. Doesn’t look terrible. If only we could get it about 20 miles SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 It's still early but I like the way things are looking up for Wednesday. I think we all know that we are going to rain or dry slot Wed afternoon but the GFS and Canadian are trending to maybe 4 hours or so of moderate to heavy snow at the onset Wed morning until noon or shortly thereafter. We could be looking at a 3-4 inch scenario with a quick dump in the am which I would take at this point. Like Tim said if we can move it a little more southeast then the changeover slows and we get more snow. I think NWS is taking the right measures with 1 minimum and 4 maximum at this point. As bad as this winter has been thus far I think we would all be happy with a surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 23 minutes ago, PghPirates27 said: I like being the under dog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Ended up with about a half inch that all mostly fell between 3am and 9am. Never made it below freezing and it's all melted now. Can see on some higher hills nearby not much higher in elevation made a difference. Rained all day yesterday, my location sucks in these marginal setups and is equally pretty bad in the type of setup we will have Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 hour ago, CoraopolisWx said: IIRC with past similar storms, the NAM at this range joins the CMC with a stronger WAA push. So far it has stayed steady with a more muted push, tonights 0z run will be interesting. Anything like this the short range hi res models should out perform when it comes to getting the temp profile nailed down. 3k NAM seems to do well, but we all know typically the change over happens quicker. If your expectation is a quick 1-2 with a period of moderate snow that's probably a reasonable bet, then adjust as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Euro is a parade of storms that we’re on the wrong side of. Not scoring on any of them might hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 6 minutes ago, TimB said: Euro is a parade of storms that we’re on the wrong side of. Not scoring on any of them might hurt. I mean this is the difference a day makes for this threat. A week away this thing could go anyway at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 This one is officially done lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 23, 2023 Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Rd9108 said: This one is officially done lol Guess we’re putting all our eggs in the 18z HRRR basket at the very end of its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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