Ahoff Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 20 minutes ago, TimB said: Summer is easier to appreciate after a real winter and when there isn’t a 75% chance it extends deep into October as recent climo would indicate. Had a nice Fall this year. Honestly, our luck we won’t even have a summer probably, after having no winter. Watch it be 70 and rain everyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Lol this is our point and click forecast. Is it possible that we don't get anything more than a 1-3 inch storm all season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 The key to squeezing out a couple inches today could be these temps. The forecast temps are higher than the models but the obs this morning are tracking a bit lower. That might be a bit weenish, but I’m saying there is a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 16 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: The key to squeezing out a couple inches today could be these temps. The forecast temps are higher than the models but the obs this morning are tracking a bit lower. That might be a bit weenish, but I’m saying there is a chance. Naw modeling accounts for that with the HRRR and it still torches all the way up to the 40s. I wouldn't be surprised if the warm air pushes further north than predicted and even places like Central PA turn to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 hour ago, Burghblizz said: The key to squeezing out a couple inches today could be these temps. The forecast temps are higher than the models but the obs this morning are tracking a bit lower. That might be a bit weenish, but I’m saying there is a chance. I'll enjoy whatever snow we get, but pretty pessimistic with all the things going against it. My thinking is snow to start, but mainly mix / rain with the marginal temps and the weak lift / precip. The prospects of seeing much more than a slushy coating during daylight hours for my yard with a low elevation is a long shot. Areas just NW of the city may fair a little better but I think you need to really get even further than that for a satisfying event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Looking to the next threat. If you like heavy snow then the NAM may give you your wish. Looks like a quick 3-5 before the changeover. Granted it's the long range NAM but most other guidance has the same idea at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 This. This is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 51 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Looking to the next threat. If you like heavy snow then the NAM may give you your wish. Looks like a quick 3-5 before the changeover. Granted it's the long range NAM but most other guidance has the same idea at this point. I hate looking past events, but yeah right now that one has a better shot of putting down a couple inches. Plus if it's via heavy snow even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 11 minutes ago, TimB said: This. This is all. What else can you do but laugh, given the setup etc it's setting up in a way that matches our climo for this type of event. Thing that sucks is track alone this should have been better, just no antecedent cold air to work with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: What else can you do but laugh, given the setup etc it's setting up in a way that matches our climo for this type of event. Thing that sucks is track alone this should have been better, just no antecedent cold air to work with This one is easier to swallow seeing as how the ceiling is around 3 or 4 inches and places as far north as clarion aren't even progged to get any snow really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Every station in Ohio is reporting snow. Why can’t this slide a little East so we don’t get rain. ASUS41 KCLE 221600 RWRCLE OHIO REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON, OH 1100 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2023 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. OHZ001>008-015>018-024>027-034-035-043-044-221700- NORTHWEST OHIO CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS DEFIANCE LGT SNOW 31 28 89 E5 29.89F FOG WCI 26 FINDLAY LGT SNOW 32 29 88 SE8 29.88S FOG WCI 25 TOLEDO EXPRESS LGT SNOW 32 29 88 E6 29.89F VSB 1 WCI 26 TOLEDO EXEC LGT SNOW 32 29 88 SE5 29.92S VSB 1 WCI 27 LIMA LGT SNOW 31 28 89 E8 29.85F FOG WCI 23 $$ OHZ009>014-019>023-028>033-038-089-221700- NORTHEAST OHIO CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CLE-HOPKINS SNOW 31 28 89 E3 29.89F VSB 1/4 CLE-LAKEFRONT SNOW 32 30 92 E5 29.91F VSB 1/4 WCI 27 CUY CO. ARPT HVY SNOW 30 27 86 CALM 29.92R VSB 1/4 LORAIN-ELYRIA SNOW 31 28 89 SE6 29.91F VSB 1/2 WCI 25 ASHTABULA NOT AVBL AKRON-CANTON FLURRIES 33 25 72 NE3 29.88S WOOSTER LGT SNOW 28 28 100 E5 29.89F VSB 3/4 WCI 23 MANSFIELD SNOW 29 27 92 E9 29.85F VSB 1/2 WCI 20 YOUNGSTOWN CLOUDY 32 25 75 SE8 29.87F WCI 25 $$ OHZ042-051>053-060>062-070>072-077>081-221700- SOUTHWEST OHIO CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CINC-COVINGTON SNOW 31 31 100 E3 29.81F VSB 1/4 CINC-LUNKEN LGT SNOW 32 31 96 NE5 29.84F VSB 3/4 WCI 27 HAMILTON LGT SNOW 32 30 92 CALM 29.85F VSB 3/4 DAYTON NOT AVBL WRIGHT-PAT AFB SNOW 30 29 95 NE5 29.81F VSB 1/2 WCI 25 DAYTON GENERAL SNOW 31 29 92 E5 29.81F VSB 1/2 WCI 26 WILMINGTON SNOW 31 29 92 E3 29.82F VSB 1/4 $$ OHZ036-037-039>041-045>050-054>059-063>069-073>076-082>088-221700- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OHIO CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLUMBUS LGT SNOW 31 30 96 E3 29.85F VSB 1 OSU AIRPORT HVY SNOW 32 29 88 N5 29.85F VSB 1/4 WCI 27 BOLTON FIELD SNOW 30 28 93 SE6 29.85F VSB 1/2 WCI 24 RICKENBACK AFB SNOW 31 29 95 NE7 29.85F VSB 1/2 WCI 24 NEWARK SNOW 31 28 89 NE7 29.85F VSB 1/2 WCI 24 MARION SNOW 30 28 92 E5 29.86F VSB 1/4 WCI 25 LANCASTER LGT SNOW 31 29 92 NE6 29.85F VSB 3/4 WCI 25 ZANESVILLE LGT SNOW 33 27 78 CALM 29.86F NEW PHILLY LGT SNOW 32 27 81 CALM 29.89F $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 NWS has revised the forecast event total for Pittsburgh to exactly 0” for today’s system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Looking at the satellite loop, it seems also that we’re in between the two main pieces of energy for this broad overall system. Combo of marginal temps, limited lift, and low precip rates will be a challenge. But hopefully we’ll at least get some lower visibility snow to help the mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Snow flurries here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Next threat. Let's see what happens I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 13 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Next threat. What if we're scaring them away by calling them "threats." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 SREF Plumes have this "event" at 1". Starts jumping the next one up to 2" early in the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 We are literally riding a razor's edge for this one. Some snow returns on radar in Allegheny Co., but mostly dry slotted right now. Maybe there's a small chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Well, at least there's no shortage of activity, even in the long range. We'll likely continue to have temperature issues, but if we can time something right, we may be able to eke out a moderate event, at some point. Otherwise we may rely on tiny doses of snow to add up to something meaningful on paper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Snowing at a decent clip here. Visibility not too bad, but big, fat flakes are falling. Ground is coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donyewest Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Snowing up here in Butler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Ripping nice - temp 33 but ground white. Still think north of the city can pull a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 There a few flakes falling outside my window. I assume there's rain mixed in as well, in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Looks like it's really drying out to the south also. Looks to be over soon. Barely even started. Let down, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 1 minute ago, donyewest said: What if we're scaring them away by calling them "threats." Next "rain storm". Better? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 52 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Looks like it's really drying out to the south also. Looks to be over soon. Barely even started. Let down, I guess. Yeah, glad I looked out the window earlier and caught that brief snow shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 Going going going, Gone!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 6 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Going going going, Gone!!!!! Oh for Christ’s sake. Edit: just kidding, that’s a 12 hour map. We still get a nice little 3 inch event on the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, TimB said: Oh for Christ’s sake. Edit: just kidding, that’s a 12 hour map. We still get a nice little 3 inch event on the front end. Haha, the band looks tonhave some heavy snow too. Could see some nice rates for a bit. Also the HRRR has us getting some snow on the backend for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 22, 2023 Share Posted January 22, 2023 PIT will probably record a non-zero accumulation for today to pad the stats, judging from the obs for the past hour or two. Little comfort to those of us staring out the window at grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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