RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 8, 2023 Share Posted January 8, 2023 4 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Really looks as though some of these minute shifts of the mesos trended slightly north? Yeah maybe a slight tick, gonna be close for much over a coating / half inch north of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 On 1/8/2023 at 9:34 AM, RitualOfTheTrout said: Looks like that trend has continued. I'm actually rooting it just stays dry at this point. Personally I have no use for a slop slush dusting that melts by 9am anyways. Well, got my wish, woke up to dry bare ground. Not complaining though, maybe it's the start of a hot streak. Next I'll try my wish hand at a Blizzard of 93 redux and mega millions jackpot. Sad thing is I'm not sure which has lower odds. Next "storm" continues to evolve with some ENS members hinting there is a path to some snow on the backend of the secondary. Nothing else weatherwise to follow but day 10+ pattern changes. Could end up being something more interesting than a straight up rain storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 @TheClimateChanger You’re usually my go-to for local climate record stuff so I’ll ask you. I’ve always assumed the January 1880 data (+15.7 temp departure relative to current normals with zero measurable snow, both all time records) was fake but I’m starting to reconsider that now that I see places like Columbus and Cincinnati were in a similar ballpark for temp departures. Is there a chance it could be real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 After one of the best fall seasons we’ve had in awhile, it’s been an unusual winter so far. Had a bad feeling about all of our cold air reserves being emptied at one time. Hopefully we luck into something sooner than later. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Gfs actually looks better fwiw. Doesn't cut as hard and brings some backend snow. I don't it's possible to get a pure snow storm but maybe we sneak out like 1-3 from the backend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 10, 2023 Share Posted January 10, 2023 Hmm interestingly enough the long range data is starting to show a return of colder air. Get the cold air established and then we can start tracking again. Maybe we can still salvage a 3-4 week period of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 19 hours ago, Rd9108 said: Hmm interestingly enough the long range data is starting to show a return of colder air. Get the cold air established and then we can start tracking again. Maybe we can still salvage a 3-4 week period of tracking. Right now the period around the 20th or so should offer some better chances. PAC fire hose slows down with that low finally shifting to the Aleutians and a -EPO / +PNA ridge popping. I'm skeptical right now on how long it lasts though. Early December the "pattern change" that really ended up only being a 5-7 day cold snap looked similar to what we are seeing now in the mid / long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 2 weeks away but we can only hope. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecanem Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 Just enjoying some mid-January thunder and lightning. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 12, 2023 Share Posted January 12, 2023 3 hours ago, north pgh said: 2 weeks away but we can only hope. You're correct, we can only hope, because we know that's not happening, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Might as well give up on this winter. All the guidance is now starting to return the Pacific fire hose. Let's see what happens when we hit this "favorable" period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Rd9108 said: Might as well give up on this winter. All the guidance is now starting to return the Pacific fire hose. Let's see what happens when we hit this "favorable" period. There seems to be too much conflicting information. I see on other forums a good period coming end of month, then more warmth, but also professionals on twitter suggesting a PV split and massive cold that can flow from ultra cold Siberia. I just think we don't have any real clue what will happen. I think it's safe to say though, that this season will end below average snow wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Give me two clean, 8-12” storms and I’ll be OK with a sub 30” winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 33 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: Give me two clean, 8-12” storms and I’ll be OK with a sub 30” winter. Whoa, those are high hopes in even good seasons. We're lucky to get one 6"+ storm let alone two 8"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Ahoff said: Whoa, those are high hopes in even good seasons. We're lucky to get one 6"+ storm let alone two 8"+. I want one warning criteria event per year, even if it doesn’t pan out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Give me one 8-12 event this year and even though winter will be still be awful, I'll atleast get my snow fix. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 13, 2023 Share Posted January 13, 2023 Lightest of dustings after work at home today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Too bad the weather hasn’t been more favorable, because today was one of those days where the snow hung around all day. We score well with those kinds of days in better winters. Though, there is a coating out there now, and on the roads. Little victories. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 There’s almost a slight easterly component to the precip, interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 It snowed all day here and have about an inch-I went down the summit to Uniontown and there was nothing at all-must be elevation dependent today?… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 It's nice to wake up to a frozen ground and some snow on the ground instead of. 5 inches of rain and mud. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Maybe near an inch on the windshield this morning. Better than nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Who is ready to get hurt 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 18 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Who is ready to get hurt Lol, with no HP in place, this would be the upset of the decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoraopolisWx said: Lol, with no HP in place, this would be the upset of the decade. I mean eventually one of these storms won't cut right. These storms can't cut west of us forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Is anybody else having to log in more often lately ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 15 hours ago, CoraopolisWx said: Is anybody else having to log in more often lately ? Can't say I've noticed that myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 21 hours ago, Rd9108 said: I mean eventually one of these storms won't cut right. These storms can't cut west of us forever. The upcoming pattern looks very gradient like. There is a chance we get on the right side of a couple storms riding along that depending on wave spacing / SE ridge strength. I'd feel better for more dice rolls the further North and West you go. To many other variables to say much past that but hopefully we can get something. Longer range would lean towards SE Ridge really building into Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 Any other winter and this low track would crush us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 But not a bad look from the EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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