Season's first ...albeit minor, synoptic event late Tuesday in the Mid Atlantic ... New England on Wednesday

[TalcottWx]

7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

You have been on here a decade and you post that map? Woah

16 years since freshman year high school but who is counting. 

[TalcottWx]

7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

You have been on here a decade and you post that map? Woah

I've become more troll-like in my old age. I will behave. 

[amarshall]

54 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

28 here. Finally made it.

28 crispy leaves.  Rock paper scissors for bus stop duty with the wife

[CoastalWx]

39 minutes ago, amarshall said:

28 crispy leaves.  Rock paper scissors for bus stop duty with the wife

That’s always me ha ha.

[bwt3650]

28 crispy leaves.  Rock paper scissors for bus stop duty with the wife

I lost


.

[UnitedWx]

13 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Simsbury is not snowy dude .. lol. It’s a valley town . NW of Hotford .. but enjoy the retention after screamers 

Apparently you aren't too familiar with this area. In GENERAL it is a fairly snow area especially compared to the rest of the valley

[Snowcrazed71]

17 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Apparently you aren't too familiar with this area. In GENERAL it is a fairly snow area especially compared to the rest of the valley

I told him the same thing. 

[Snowcrazed71]

So.. it was 24.3 here.. now it is 26.3

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Touchy mid levels with weak primary going to W NY . Surface low also goes over SE SNE so milder side of envelope . Nam looks like less than advisory for those outside N VT on the maps I see (with exception of a couple N white mountain spots and the allegash of far N Maine and nam nails mid levels in these setups very well. Euro been pushing NW with mid level warming last few cycles . Clown maps are pointless in these set ups .

[CoastalWx]

13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Touchy mid levels with weak primary going to W NY . Surface low also goes over SE SNE so milder side of envelope . Nam looks like less than advisory for those outside N VT on the maps I see (with exception of a couple N white mountain spots and the allegash of far N Maine and nam nails mid levels in these setups very well. Euro been pushing NW with mid level warming last few cycles . Clown maps are pointless in these set ups .

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

[Spanks45]

18.9° this morning, setting the stage for at least the first flakes tonight. 12z HRRR has it's coldest run down here so far, at least a few hours of frozen precip, possibly even a slushy inch

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

ITS A POS now.  Sad. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

I would say the storm is a mess as well. Weak , no closed mid levels . Not that it was supposed to be strong but Nw ticks and weak= meh for most in NNE

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I would say the storm is a mess as well. Weak , no closed mid levels . Not that it was supposed to be strong but Nw ticks and weak= meh for most in NNE

It isn’t a big storm, but euro hasn’t been good with it. 

[UnitedWx]

28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

Such a shame, from King to gester

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, UnitedWx said:

Such a shame, from King to gester

It's more about the QPF depiction. It's all over the place.

[dryslot]

16 hours ago, TalcottWx said:

Robot!! 

Cat walking across the keyboard actually...................

[WinterWolf]

20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It's more about the QPF depiction. It's all over the place.

It sucks. 

[dryslot]

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

[NW_of_GYX]

those 850 temps are torched. The globals never seem to be able to handle these warm tongues with any skill. Congrats Quebec City. 

[WinterWolf]

27 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

That’s ok..N. Aroostook did well yesterday, and will do decent tomorrow it seems. These are from yesterday…They’re off and running

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s ok..N. Aroostook did well yesterday, and will do decent tomorrow it seems. These are from yesterday…They’re off and running

I posted totals from up there yesterday, Madawaska received close to 6" with another 6-8" on tap for the county.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I posted totals from up there yesterday, Madawaska received close to 6" with another 6-8" on tap for the county.

Just another world up there .

[dryslot]

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Just another world up there .

Totally.

[Lava Rock]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

call ch 6 and tell them to stop posting their ridiculous maps

[CoastalWx]

GFS is a nice initial thump for CT into ORH area. It's all about rates as we said earlier, if you want to grab 1-2. 

[met_fan]

Just another world up there .

Well southern New England is closer to Richmond, VA than it is to Madawaska.

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS is a nice initial thump for CT into ORH area. It's all about rates as we said earlier, if you want to grab 1-2. 

Yeah, it looked surprisingly good. I'll take it. 

[wkd]

I asked this last few winters after all of the jokes about the Euro's previous supposed superior performance.  Do any of the mets know what the major objectives were for the changes in the model?  I'm pretty sure the primary objective wasn't in predicting northeast snowstorm totals 5 days out in the Conus. 

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

Was still breezy at 11 last evening when I was out with the dog, and evidently didn't calm down until too late, so the low here was 22, just 2° BN.  That's coldest of the season but we're the farthest into fall without seeing 20° or lower here, 25 years POR.  Not often we're 7° milder than IZG.  Yesterday the afternoon max was 34 with gusts to 30, feeling extra sharp after the muggy 60s.
Snow trend is moving in the wrong direction, too.  Yesterday afternoon Farmington was shown with 58% chance of 4"+.  This morning it's 24%.  I won't be surprised if the current 1-3" forecast turns out to 1/2" of gray mush.