Season's first ...albeit minor, synoptic event late Tuesday in the Mid Atlantic ... New England on Wednesday

[Lava Rock]

To warm aloft for much of anything outside the foothills north into the mtns and Northern Maine up here.

Local Mets seem pretty bullish for our area, 1-3 or 2-4 depending on met

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[weathafella]

3 hours ago, TalcottWx said:

Maybe in Se MA or south weymouth, but not here in the great white northwest 

I just looked where Simsbury is-and your sig has you at 100 feet.   So in summary you may get some snow-certainly more than us in the east but expectations beyond an inch seem like a stretch.  We miss you here Jay-put your foot down and head up north to live next time!

[dryslot]

9 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Local Mets seem pretty bullish for our area, 1-3 or 2-4 depending on met

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GFS

[HoarfrostHubb]

Hoping to avoid freezing rain.    Give me plain rain, snow, or pellets.  

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hoping to avoid freezing rain.    Give me plain rain, snow, or pellets.  

Any freezing rain you get will be insignificant/minor at best imo. I wouldn’t be too worried if I were you. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Any freezing rain you get will be insignificant/minor at best imo. I wouldn’t be too worried if I were you. 

Yeah, not a lot if any.  Just the timing would stink if it occurs

[Damage In Tolland]

58 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I just looked where Simsbury is-and your sig has you at 100 feet.   So in summary you may get some snow-certainly more than us in the east but expectations beyond an inch seem like a stretch.  We miss you here Jay-put your foot down and head up north to live next time!

Simsbury is the valley floor. So not a great snow spot . That particular area does extremely well with CAD. In fact , one of the best in the state. Many times they retain snowcover while 95% of the state is bare. Similar to Hippy’s area. 

[NW_of_GYX]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

Local Mets seem pretty bullish for our area, 1-3 or 2-4 depending on met

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Local mets are rip and readers and Carson is a wishcaster. A sloppy inch or two for your hill. Good for lawn. 

[NW_of_GYX]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

Very reasonable right now.

Sell 4” in my area 

[NW_of_GYX]

We’ve see this too many times in these set ups. If the nam says torchy aloft, it’s gonna be torchy aloft. Many of have been deceived by fake GFS snow on the CP. many will be deceived again. But not me, NAM is my daddy 

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said:

We’ve see this too many times in these set ups. If the nam says torchy aloft, it’s gonna be torchy aloft. Many of have been deceived by fake GFS snow on the CP. many will be deceived again. But not me, NAM is my daddy 

For all of its warts, the NAM is usually pretty good at seeing the warm tongue.  

[WinterWolf]

13 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

For all of its warts, the NAM is usually pretty good at seeing the warm tongue.  

That it is. 

[weathafella]

Definitely an icy look in the deep interior of SNE.

[powderfreak]

Oh Euro.  You and the GGEM.

 

[Whineminster]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Nothings really changed… Better snow chances are C -northern New England. 

38/21  Full sun. Winter atmosphere with ease this hr  

In the interest of now casting this thing probably watch the behavior of advection over the next 24 hours.  And also it’s not so far-fetched to monitor the environmental feedback‘s… Such as if it’s clear tonight and decoupled it’s going to bottom out … then, we may actually “ CAC” tomorrow morning …end up with a low level boundary layer cold feedback that way. I think that for people north of Hartford and west of I 495 in Massachusetts up to SE VT and S NH theres a potential for some ice.  

it’s a good practice event… In a month we probably frontload this event with better snow performance… at least per guidance look. And there’s still some small chance of this thing busting colder so long as the high is draped north and the low does cut southeast 

 

So....you're saying scattered outages?

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Oh Euro.  You and the GGEM.

 

There used to be a time that when the Euro showed that two days out…it was a LOCK!  Boy how times have changed. 

[CoastalWx]

Hard not to like PFs spot (well especially the ski area) for this. Sure question of how far north the goodies get...but I feel like he's in a good spot here. Deeper into the cold, and probably near some mid level fronto. 

[powderfreak]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hard not to like PFs spot (well especially the ski area) for this. Sure question of how far north the goodies get...but I feel like he's in a good spot here. Deeper into the cold, and probably near some mid level fronto. 

Yeah I’m thinking here or a little bit south towards like MPV-Sugarbush zone.  Models have been pretty consistent with some fronto-banding somewhere arcing from N/C VT into NNH.  Just depends where and how robust.  Sometimes it not a bad thing to be a little further north if mid-level banding realizes a bit north.  NE in VT into Coos County probably a bit better for later development?

Doesnt matter… just get the ground white for the first time this year.

[MUWX]

I am in Rutland Vermont for work this week, so very interested to see how this plays out. Home for me is in southwest Missouri,  so I have no idea what places/features you all are talking about but as a big time snow lover I am excited to hopefully see some flakes before thanksgiving. 

[mreaves]

31 minutes ago, MUWX said:

I am in Rutland Vermont for work this week, so very interested to see how this plays out. Home for me is in southwest Missouri,  so I have no idea what places/features you all are talking about but as a big time snow lover I am excited to hopefully see some flakes before thanksgiving. 

Forget all about the snow (for now).  Get yourself to Gill's Delicatessen .  They make the best sandwiches in the state, bar none.  Make sure you get shredded cabbage on your sandwich instead of lettuce.  Between that and their specially baked rolls, they are amazing.

[forkyfork]

looking for the most likely outcome: science

looking for a preferred outcome: anti science 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

looking for the most likely outcome: science

looking for a preferred outcome: anti science 

I’ll tell you what’s anti science…is your avatar. Why always people with crooked faces? 

[Whineminster]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I’ll tell you what’s anti science…is your avatar. Why always people with crooked faces? 

He spends too much time in OT, it's corrupted him. 

[Cold Miser]

31 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

looking for the most likely outcome: science

looking for a preferred outcome: anti science 

Preferred outcome is for you to take the ride to Worcester for the gtg on December 10th.   Come up and tip back a pint or 2 with us New Englanders.  

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

41 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

looking for the most likely outcome: science

looking for a preferred outcome: anti science 

What the hell are you even talking about?

[forkyfork]

posts about what needs to break right for the most snow

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 hour ago, MUWX said:

I am in Rutland Vermont for work this week, so very interested to see how this plays out. Home for me is in southwest Missouri,  so I have no idea what places/features you all are talking about but as a big time snow lover I am excited to hopefully see some flakes before thanksgiving. 

Uh oh, major work distraction!

[Henry's Weather]

1 minute ago, forkyfork said:

posts about what needs to break right for the most snow

This is a weather discussion forum, not an academic journal

[klw]

1 hour ago, mreaves said:

Forget all about the snow (for now).  Get yourself to Gill's Delicatessen .  They make the best sandwiches in the state, bar none.  Make sure you get shredded cabbage on your sandwich instead of lettuce.  Between that and their specially baked rolls, they are amazing.

And hit Jones Donuts and Bakery for donuts (duh)

[Snowcrazed71]

I'm just west of Hartford Connecticut. Not looking for anything, but it would be nice to see some mood flakes and sleep just to get us set up for what is to come. Even though it's not going to be anything, it's still exciting, especially when you're a weather geek like all of us are on here